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Flat season summary end 21/9/17

Top Rated
129/772 +39.88pts after 5% deduction -34.93pts (2016 133/872 +96.94pts 11.17% ROI, +30.91pts 2015 138/1006 -183.34pt after 5% -264.44 industry)

28/183 texted/play race -30.39pts betfair SP after 5% deduction -47.91pt industry SP. NB top rated won’t always be Ron’s advised play in the race+++

0-9 44/257 +27.43pts (2016 38/307 -86.32pts loss 2015 72/436 -4.14pts after 5%)

10-19 65/402 -9.84pts 2016 79/450 +181.03pts 40.23% ROI 2015 52/442 -153.56pts after 5%)

2017 Cl4+ +10 to +19 rating 35/241 -46.81pts after 5%, Cl2+ +10 to +19 8/64 -19.97pts
2016 51/300 +154.04pts after 5% 51.35% ROI (Cl2+ +10 to +19 7/73 +26.27pts 35.99% ROI)
2015 26/257 -113.3pts loss (Cl2+ +10 to +19 11/81 -14.39pts loss)
2014 23/251 +25.16pts (Cl2+ +10 to +19 9/73 +65.73pts Treasure the Ridge 64.2)
2013 45/290 +109.26pts (Cl2+ +10 to +19 12/78 +31.41pts)

20+ 3/17 -0.82pts (2016 3/17 +4.78pts 2015 0/9 -9pts)

– rated 17/96 +24.66pts (2016 13/98 -18.72pts, 13.42 2015 14/119 -6.08pts after 5%)

Natural Progression 11/54 +55.65pts (2016 12/60 +31.01pt 2015 9/71 -34.2pts after 5%)

5f 21/126 +29.87pts after 5% (2016 20/135 +51.48pt 2015 20/162 -59.6pt 2014 17/168 -34.49 2013 33/186 +86.74pt) total 111/777 +74pt
6f 25/142 +16.88pts (2016 20/160 -21.7 2015 21/173 -25.91 2014 23/161 +14.06 2013 25/199 +10.66) total 114/835 -5.47
total sprints 46/268 +46.75pts betfair SP after 5% deductions (total 225/1612 +68.53pt)

3y-o 2017 29/123 +19.28pts (2016 31/130 +44.39pts)

Given the concentration on the summer jumps on Cl3+ +10 to +19 rather than Cl4+ I am going over the past flat seasons for Cl4 only performance

2017 17/119 -43.63pts after 5% 2016 27/137 +68.74pts after 5% 2015 7/116 -76.99pts after 5% 2014 10/112 -5.16pts after 5% 2013 28/145 +47.77pts

T factor

Sole T* (can also include other symbols, ie T*S as long as no other T*) 16/151 -35.3pts (2016 19/146 -3.57pts 2015 23/211 -76.98pts)
Sole TS 10/61 +47.07pts (2016 6/89 -7.79pts after 5% deduction 2015 12/94 +87.59pts after 5%)
Sole TH 2/64 +68.74ptpt win 137.97 (2016 3/47 +12.2pt 2015 6/50 +12.17pts)
Sole T*S 8/62 +9.45pts (2016 6/75 -23.78pts 2015 11/90 +48.33pts)
Sole TSH 0/10 -10pt (2016 1/10 +24.25pt 2015 1/12 -6.63pt)
Sole T*H 3/27 +131.34pt win 137.97, 25 (2016 0/20 -20pt 2015 2/18 +4.09pt)
Sole T*SH 0/4 -4pt (2016 0/7 -7pt 2015 0/3 -3pt)

Highest with T* 36/298 -22.35pts after 5% deduction 2016 N/A 2015 N/A
highest TS 21/134 +59.78pt 2016 N/A 2015 N/A
highest TH 4/80 +79.28pt win 137.97 2016 N/A 2015 N/A
highest T*S 11/89 +0.31pt (2016 13/112 +39.39pts 2015 12/140 -18.32pts)
Highest TSH 1/11 +4.73pt 2016 N/A 2015 N/A
Highest T*H 4/28 +137.15pt win 137.97, 25 2016 N/A 2015 N/A
Highest T*SH 0/4 -4pt 2016 N/A 2015 N/A

Top T 25/163 -4.44pts (2016 29/167 +54.29pts 2015 36/211 -7.05pts)
Top T* 16/108 +7.89pts (2016 23/119 +77.79pts 2015 28/147 +25.38pts)
Top TS 3/26 -5.32pt (2016 9/38 +58.09pt 2015 7/54 +0.71pt)
Top TH 0/8 -8pt (2016 0/9 -9pts 2015 1/8 +4.49pt)
Top T*S 2/22 -12.9pt (2016 6/29 +45.27pt 2015 7/40 +12.71pt)
Top TSH 0/1 -1pt (2016 0/3 -3pts 2015 0/2 -2pt)
Top T*H 0/2 -2pt (2016 0/8 -8pts 2015 1/5 +10.49pt)
Top T*SH 0/0 (2016 0/2 -2pt 2015 0/0)

Top 3 T 47/451 -103.2pts (2016 60/500 -94.32pts 2015 70/549 -34.87pts)
Top 3 T* 33/286 -44.65pts (2016 44/331 -19.58pts 2015 51/382 -48.45pts)
Top 3 TS 7/53 -0.75pts (2016 14/104 +6.41pts 2015 15/144 +91.4pts)
Top 3 TH 3/31 -5.04pt (2016 0/14 -14pts 2015 1/20 -17.51pt)
Top 3 T*S 4/59 -31.96pts (2016 7/82 -3.29pts 2015 11/89 +19.59pts)
Top 3 TSH 1/7 +8.73pt (2016 0/3 -3pts 2015 0/5 -5pt)
Top 3 T*H 1/12 -5.19pt (2016 0/11 -11pts 2015 1/10 +5.49pt)
Top 3 T*SH 0/2 -2pt (2016 0/2 -2pts 2015 0/1 -1pt)

All T 154/1393 +173.57pts wins 24, 38.14, 50, 38, 38.21, 62.8, 25.31, 21, 137.97, 44.1, 25, 20.54, 29.2, 20, 18.14 (2016 195/1941 -386.92pts (2015 198/1922 -235.14pts)
All T* 70/616 +184.7pts win 137.97, 44.1, 25, 20.54, 18.14 (2016 89/889 -197.63pts 2015 85/863 -148.39pts)
All TS 35/279 +97.46pts (2016 43/472 -57.05pts 2015 43/433 +61.36pts)
All TH 8/93 +108.91pt win 137.97, 25 (2016 5/70 +3.8pts 2015 6/61 +1.17pt)
All T*S 16/134 +20.61pts (2016 19/226 -56.27pts 2015 13/200 +5.9pts)
All TSH 2/13 +12.28pts (2016 2/14 +20.69pt 2015 1/10 -4.63pt)
All T*H 4/31 +134.13pt win 139.97, 25 (2016 1/25 -19.88pt 2015 2/22 -1.91pt)
All T*SH 01/3 -3pt (2016 1/11 -5.88pt 2015 0/3 -3pt)

Top 3 rated/exotics

316/773 -189.79pts betfair SP, before 5% deductions (2016 283/873 -302.3pts betfair SP before 5% deductions if all 3 played level stakes, not dutched)
CSF/exacta look to min £60/70 payout across a reverse forecast, a minimum of £50, 20/517 (2016 8/602, -1921.50(CSF)/-1910.50(exacta) (2015 137/997 5982pt staked (4894pts (4350+544) if only 2 bets for <7 runners), -654/+191pts)
Tricasts look to min £200 payout across reverse forecast 2/410 £227.33/£461.50, £367.11/£467 (2016 2/547 £631, £443 = -2208pts 2015 8/725 tricasts 4350pts staked, loss of -£2644pts)

-40 bottom

bottom rated 71/759 -67.47pt betfair SP after 5% deduction, SP -177.61pts industry SP (2016 76/872 -126.7pts betfair SP, -149.45pts after 5%, -249.16pts industry 2015 bottom 98/1006 +18.39pts, -22.84pts 5%, -161.13pts industry. Heavy losses early June/mid-season when +90pts (+78 after 5%)
1st month 12/104 +20.87pt after 5% 29/5/17 2016 15/125 +74.61pts after 5% 28/5/16 23/196 +84.77 5/6/16 2015 5/6/15 +78.18 after 5%, next highest 8/6/15 +71.5 after 5% 2014 2/25 +59.08pts after 5% deduction (5/5/14)
Bottom rated -40 55/626 -100.62pts betfair SP after 5% deduction, -166.87pts industry SP (2016 56/667, -134.37pt betfair SP, -159.02pts after 5%, -230.14pt industry SP 2015 -40 59/680 -7.92pts, -37.77 pts after 5% deduction, -138.85pts industry SP. Profit +60pts first week of June

potential -40 system 35/339 +19.46pts betfair SP after 5% deduction, -35.75pts industry SP. This was different from the NH version in that this is 7-16 runners, max 9f distance, max OR 85, and for bottom rated -40 only. 2016 25/353, -126.24pt loss betfair SP, -145.34pts after 5%, -169.94pt loss industry SP

Ron’s play/preview

32(70)/170 as straight win +24.98pts (-12.68pt advised play) after 5% (2016 80(167)/451 +30.02pts straight win (+89.99pts advised play) before 5% deductions

Also including the preview section in here too, as, for now, only applying those that Ron plays, rather than count every horse mentioned as a potential play within the race

3(4)/22 -6.37pts loss as straight win bet betfair SP after 5% deduction, (-11.21pts loss as advised) 2016 N/A

Of interest

44(59)/200, +0.59pt as straight win (-11.06pts as advised play) before 5% deduction, one winner @27.72 (2016 51(103)/277 -32.67pts to betfair SP before 5% (-10.58pts as advised play) 2015 75(134)/337 win (advised) +18.53pts before 5% (+29.16 pt)

Advised as straight win only plays, 36/135 -9.89pts betfair SP before 5% deduction 2016 N/A 2015 N/A

Race Profiling

8(18)/35 -3.03pts as straight win (+1.85pts advised play) to betfair SP before 5% (2016 10(17)/44, +25.21pts to betfair SP +7.22pts as advised play before 5% deductions 2015 4(11)/31 -12.91pt straight win (-5.41pt advised play) before 5% betfair SP
Royal Ascot results alone 6(11)/30 -9.68pts (+3.18pts as advised) to betfair SP before 5% (2016 6(10)/28 +22.65pts as straight win bet to betfair SP (no 5% deduction), +4.44pts as advised play

20 to Follow

2017 N/A (2016 21/80, +7.33pts to betfair SP, before 5% deduction 2015 20/104 -42.58pts before 5% @ Betfair SP)

Outsider 25/1

1/152 -120.7pts betfair SP after 5%, -127pts industry SP
1st month 1/27 +5.3pts (31/5/17) high point 19/5/17 1/15 +17.3pt 2016 4/65 +60.34pts (28/5/16) 2015 4/65 +77.24pts after 5% deduction (4/6/15)

2016 Season

Top Rated season stats
133/872 +130.84pt Betfair SP, +96.94pts after 5% 11.17% ROI, +30.91pts industry SP (2015 138/1006 -134.34pt, -183.34pt after 5% -264.44 industry)
0-9 38/307 -86.32pts loss winners 13.5, 19.48 (2015 72/436 -4.14pts after 5%)

10-19 79/450 +181.03pts 40.23% ROI winners 13, 22.27, 14, 25.3, 25.36, 18.81, 21, 12.5, 13, 14, 16, 19, 14.53, 11.53, 14, 14.1, 12.55, 15, 17.97 (2015 52/442 -153.56pts after 5%)

Cl4+ +10 to +19 rating 51/300 +154.04pts after 5% 51.35% ROI (Cl2+ +10 to +19 7/73 +26.27pts 35.99% ROI)

2013 Cl4+ +10 to +19 45/290 +109.26pts betfair SP after 5% deductions (Cl2+ +10 to +19 12/78 +31.41pts)
2014 23/251 +25.16pts (Cl2+ +10 to +19 9/73 +65.73pts Treasure the Ridge 64.2)
2015 26/257 -113.3pts loss (Cl2+ +10 to +19 11/81 -14.39pts loss)

20+ 3/17 +4.78pts (2015 0/9 -9pts)
– rated 13/98 -18.72pts, 13.42 (2015 14/119 -6.08pts after 5%)
Natural Progression 12/60 +31.01 winner 20.27, 13.42, 17.97 (2015 9/71 -34.2pts after 5%)

T factor season stats
Sole T* (can also include other symbols, ie T*S as long as no other T*) 19/146 -3.57pts (2015 23/211 -76.98pts)
Sole TS 6/89 -7.79pts after 5% deduction (2015 12/94 +87.59pts after 5%)
Sole TH 3/47 +12.2pt (2015 6/50 +12.17pts)
Sole T*S 6/75 -23.78pts (2015 11/90 +48.33pts)
Sole TSH 1/10 +24.25pt (2015 1/12 -6.63pt)
Sole T*H 0/20 -20pt (2015 2/18 +4.09pt)
Sole T*SH 0/7 -7pt (2015 0/3 -3pt)

Highest rated with T*S 13/112 +39.39pts after 5% deduction (2015 12/140 -18.32pts)

Top T 29/167 +54.29pts (2015 36/211 -7.05pts)
Top T* 23/119 +77.79pts (2015 28/147 +25.38pts)
Top TS 9/38 +58.09pt (2015 7/54 +0.71pt)
Top TH 0/9 -9pts (2015 1/8 +4.49pt)
Top T*S 6/29 +45.27pt (2015 7/40 +12.71pt)
Top TSH 0/3 -3pts (2015 0/2 -2pt)
Top T*H 0/8 -8pts (2015 1/5 +10.49pt)
Top T*SH 0/2 -2pt (2015 N/A)

Top 3 T 60/500 -94.32pts (2015 70/549 -34.87pts)
Top 3 T* 44/331 -19.58pts (2015 51/382 -48.45pts)
Top 3 TS 14/104 +6.41pts (2015 15/144 +91.4pts)
Top 3 TH 0/14 -14pts (2015 1/20 -17.51pt)
Top 3 T*S 7/82 -3.29pts (2015 11/89 +19.59pts)
Top 3 TSH 0/3 -3pts (2015 0/5 -5pt)
Top 3 T*H 0/11 -11pts (2015 1/10 +5.49pt)
Top 3 T*SH 0/2 -2pts (2015 0/1 -1pt)

All T 195/1941 -386.92pts (2015 198/1922 -235.14pts)
All T* 89/889 -197.63pts (2015 85/863 -148.39pts)
All TS 43/472 -57.05pts (2015 43/433 +61.36pts)
All TH 5/70 +3.8pts (2015 6/61 +1.17pt)
All T*S 19/226 -56.27pts (2015 13/200 +5.9pts)
All TSH 2/14 +20.69pt (2015 1/10 -4.63pt)
All T*H 1/25 -19.88pt (2015 2/22 -1.91pt)
All T*SH 1/11 -5.88pt (0/3 -3pt)

Ron’s play
80(167)/451 +30.02pts straight win (+89.99pts advised play) before 5% deductions. As best as I can interpret, to LSP

Race Profiling season stats
10(17)/44, +25.21pts to betfair SP +7.22pts as advised play before 5% deductions (2015 4(11)/31 -12.91pt straight win (-5.41pt advised play) before 5% betfair SP

Royal Ascot alone 6(10)/28 +22.65pts as straight win bet to betfair SP (no 5% deduction), +4.44pts as advised play

20 to Follow season stats
21/80, +7.33pts to betfair SP, before 5% deductions.(2015 20/104 -42.58pts before 5% @ Betfair SP)

Of Interest season stats
51(103)/277 -32.67pts to betfair SP before 5% (-10.58pts as advised play) (2015 75(134)/337 win (advised) +18.53pts before 5% (+29.16 pt)

NB these figures are the newsletter plays only, and don’t include the recent whatsapp/site updates as it appears not all members have registered for this. This will change at the start of the NH season when all plays will be recorded

Top 3 rated season stats
283/873 -302.3pts betfair SP before 5% deductions if all 3 played level stakes, not dutched

CSF 18/602, -1921.50(CSF)/-1910.50(exacta) (2015 137/997 5982pt staked (4894pts (4350+544) if only 2 bets for <7 runners), -654/+191pts)
Tricasts 2/547 £631, £443 = -2208pts (2015 8/725 tricasts 4350pts staked, loss of -£2644pts)

-40/bottom rated season stats
Bottom 76/872 -126.7pts betfair SP, -149.45pts after 5%, -249.16pts industry (2015 bottom 98/1006 +18.39pts, -22.84pts 5%, -161.13pts industry. Heavy losses early June/mid-season when +90pts (+78 after 5%)

1st month 15/125 +74.61pts after 5% 28/5/15 23/196 +84.77 5/6/16 (2015 5/6/15 +78.18 after 5%, next highest 8/6/15 +71.5 after 5%)

Micro Cl6 6f 3/24 +26.88 after 5%, Cl6 11f 1/4 +18.09pts (2015 Cl3-5 7-11f 46/390 +83.88pts to betfair SP after 5%)

only Cl6 in profit blind 10/131 +37.57pts, only 6f and 11f profit blind by distance 6f 16/160 +5.7pt after 5% 11f 3/22 +16.45pts

-40 bottom 56/667, -134.37pt betfair SP, -159.02pts after 5%, -230.14pt industry SP (2015 -40 59/680 -7.92pts, -37.77 pts after 5% deduction, -138.85pts industry SP. Profit +60pts first week of June

No Cl in profit blind after 5%, only 6f and 11f in profit by distance

Micro Cl3 6f 2/13 +8.24pts after 5% (2015 Cl3-5 6-11f 41/337 +112.42 after 5%)

-40 prospective flat system 25/353, -126.24pt loss betfair SP, -145.34pts after 5%, -169.94pt loss industry SP. Kaaber 46

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Ron’s play stats updated w/e 19/11/17

4(10)/32 -11.93pts betfair SP after 5% (-9.25pts as advised play)

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