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Today’s Full Ratings 20/09/17

I hope you found time to visit the website yesterday and my apologies for not getting the work up until 11-15am. I had forgotten all about a physio appointment at 9-50am.

This is what was posted up.
REDCAR 2-20 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-M-H

§T3 – SAMARMADI….+13
3* – SUMMERGHAND….+11
* – GEOFF POTTS….+11
* – SEE THE SUN….+4
* – COSMIC CHATTER….-3
3 – LEXINGTON SKY….-11
RACQUET….-13
§T – INTERLINK….-22
§ -PENNY POT LANE….-24
§ – DUKE COSIMO….-26
POINT OF WOODS….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY: NONE

REDCAR 2-55 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-M-H

§ – SHORT WORK….+9 – WON 2-1 > 11/8
* – DANISH DUKE….+8 – 4TH 16/1
H§3* – METISIAN….+8 – 2ND 13/2
§* – MANATEE BAY….-1
* – MARKET CHOICE….-2
* – HONEYSUCKLE LIL….-6
3 – PERFECT SYMPHONY….-15
§ – GYPSY MAJOR….-28
ROUND THE ISLAND….-29
3 – ALFIE’S ANGEL….-30
H – MADRIHNO….-31

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

REDCAR 3-25 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

TH3 – OMEROS….+12
* – FINN CLASS….+8
* – FATHER BERTIE….-3
FIELDSMAN….-5
3* – KYNREN….-12 – WON 2/1
* – SILVERY MOON….-17
3 – MORNING SUIT….-17
* – SHOWBOATING….-20
T – POET’S BEAUTY….-29
WOODY BAY….-35
T – FASHAAK….-40

NOTES: FATHER BERTIE is 3-6 here and it’s at this time of year he comes alive so I’d expect a decent run from that one this afternoon. In my dutch, for sure.

I have a 3-y-o sitting top rated and we know how well they’ve been performing so again, in my dutch. First run since being gelded, too.

KYNREN will make up my three though as he’s totally unexposed, a winner of his last two and whilst ground/track are totally “unknowns” he’s in simply because he can be expected to improve again.

DUTCH: OMEROS, FATHER BERTIE, KYNREN
20/80: OMEROS
EXOTICS: OMEROS, FATHER BERTIE, KYNREN
LAY: NONE

CHEPSTOW 3-15 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

* – ANOTHER BOY….+16
3 – MOHSEN….+12
3 – POWER….+9
T3* – SALT WHISTLE BAY….+9 – 3RD 7/2
* – SARANGOO….+8
T3 – THOMAS CRANMER….+6
3* – REDGRAVE….-24
3 – BERKSHIRE BOY….-32

NOTES: Top heavy with 3-y-o’s and I came within an ace of not bothering with this one.

If I punt it’ll be that 3-y-o sitting fourth best to a 20/80….ground right, trip right and they’ve tanked up the horse box to get him here.

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY

CHEPSTOW 4-20 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

T3 – SABLE ISLAND….+12 – 3RD 7/2
* – YA JAMEEL….+10
* – ARGUS….+9
3 – EARTHLY….+9
H3* – SEE OF ROME….-5
3 – KNIGHT DESTROYER….-12
* – MURGAN….-18
T – TIME TO BLOSSOM….-40
T3 – FOOLS AND KINGS….-40

NOTES: I’m happy to work with my top two here. Dutch, a straight win pop at my top rated and an exotic.

YA JAMEEL is a standing dish here and in my top rated we have a Sir Michael Stoute improver again having been sent on a trip to race here.

DUTCH: SABLE ISLAND, YA JAMEEL
WIN: SABLE ISLAND
EXOTICS: SABLE ISLAND, YA JAMEEL
LAY: NONE

With that 3/1 winner in the OF INTEREST section it was another decent enough day of punting.

The 3-y-o’s at Chepstow got me again though. They really are impossible to rate accurately and there seems to have been many more than usual this term.

Today we’ve got five more Rated races from Sandown and Beverley. With just this afternoon and tomorrow left to work with now before I fly off into the sun for two weeks, I am slowly slipping into holiday mode and the ironing and packing is on the agenda this afternoon.

Full figures will be up by 11-00am and I’ll also make sure they go out in a second Newsletter for those unable to get onto the website.

We had received reports of people being unable to use the Lost Password facility to get on….Brian has very kindly fixed that for us so if you cannot recall your password, you can now do something about it.

Whilst I’m away you’ll receive a minimum of two Newsletters, one of which will contain the names of two horses I’m looking for running next month, over jumps. It could well be they go before I get back so you will need to get them into your trackers.

When I get back you’ll have plenty to look forward to with regards the new NH season about to begin. I personally cannot wait to get stuck into it!

Have a great day!

Kindest regards

Ron

OF INTEREST SELECTIONS

NONE TODAY

TODAY’S RATINGS AND ADVICE

SANDOWN 1-30 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

* – AFRICAN FRIEND….+1
H* – ARTSCAPE….-3
* – OPERATIVE….-17
3 – LITTLE MISS DAISY….-18
LOOK SURPRISED…-33
H* – PIAZON….-35
T – MAD ENDEAVOUR….-40
3 – COASTAL CYCLONE….-40
TAAJUB….-40

NOTES: The top three are in the front four on the tissue and I’ll run with them as stats are simply non-existent.

We have a very lightly raced 4-y-o sitting 5th best and with that one draw never a hinderance here, could improve past my figure but staking will be kept low just in case.

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

SANDOWN 4-45 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

3 – LUMINOUS….+14
DELLA VALE….+11
3 – FLOOD DEFENCE….+9
* – BECCA CAMPBELL….+5
* – RUM SWIZZLE….-11
T3 – EVERLASTING SEA….-26
3 – PRECIOUS ANGEL….-40
3 – BERMONDSEY BELLE….-40
3 – BEATISA….-40
3 – LUNA MAGIC….-40

NOTES: I have just noticed the ground has now dried out a bit and is officially good all over.

The only runner in here now with winning form on it is BECCA CAMPBELL….4-11….also 4-13 trip….but we also have a plethora of 3-y-o’s in here and it’s just got a smell about it.

With 2 x 3-y-o’s in my top three and BECCA CAMPBELL sitting fourth best, I’ll play that trio in my dutch, go 20/80 my top one and set up exotics but everything is going to be to October Rules levels of betting.

DUTCH: LUMINOUS, FLOOD DEFENCE, BECCA CAMPBELL
20/80: LUMINOUS
EXOTICS: LUMINOUS, FLOOD DEFENCE, BECCA CAMPBELL
LAY: BEATISA

SANDOWN 5-15 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

3 – LINE OF BEAUTY….+14
3 – ANCIENT LONGING….+2
3 – BRADFIELD MAGIC….-1
3* – FANFAIR….-3 – NR
H3 – SHIMMERING LIGHT….-37
* – GHINIA….-40
DOODLE DANDY….-40
H3 – DUBAITWENTYTWENTY….-40
3 – DELIRIUM….-40
3 – MILLIE’S KISS….-40

NOTES: Six 3-y-o’s in here and all I’ll think about playing is my top three to October Rules.

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY

BEVERLEY 3-25 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

* – MEDALLO DE ORO….+5
3* – BOLDER BOB….-4
T* – OVERHAUGH STREET….-32
* – TAPIS LIBRE….-35
MARMION….-37
* – AUXILLIARY….-40
3 – CLENYMISTRA….-40 – NR
SERENITY NOW….-40

NOTES: If the winner sits outside my top pair I’ll be surprised so, a dutch, a straight win my top one and exotic.

DUTCH: MEDALLO DE ORO, BOLDER BOB
WIN: MEDALLO DE ORO
EXOTICS: MEDALLO DE ORO, BOLDER BOB
LAY:NONE

BEVERLEY 4-00 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-M/H

§ – LYDIA’S PLACE….+20
MININGGOLD….+9
ASTROPHYSICS….+8
§* – ONE BOY….+5
VAN GERWEN….-16
H3 – DURCHILL….-19
§ – FLASH CITY….-21
§3 – FOXY BOY….-23
JACOB’S PILLOW….-25
3 – SUWAAN….-34
3 – TAN….-35
SAVANNAH BEAU….-36

NOTES: This is a horrible race to finish on. ONE BOY is the only runner with winning form on soft but being just 1-10 means nothing really. The 0-6 track stat does though so, despite a good draw, I’m glad he’s fourth best and not in my top three because that’s where I have to go if I’m considering a play.

My top rated, who has also been given a good low draw to work with, is 2-3 here so, despite the 0-2 ground stat, I’ll go 20/80.

It’s that pair underneath for my dutch/exotics but, yet again staking here will be to my absolute minimum.

DUTCH: LYDIA’S PLACE, MININGGOLD, ASTROPHYSICS
20/80: LYDIA’S PLACE
EXOTICS: LYDIA’S PLACE, MININGGOLD, ASTROPHYSICS
LAY: NONE

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