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Today’s Full Ratings 14/09/17

It was absolutely “biblical” when I got up this morning. The rain was coming off the conservatory roof and reminded me of my visit many years ago to the Plitvice Falls in Croatia!

Ok, a slight exaggeration but it was definitely more than a trickle!

Looking at my weather apps it does seem local to me….probably just me getting it!….and all three tracks look to be safe from the wet stuff this afternoon.

It is a pretty busy day and below you have seven rated races plus three OF INTEREST selections.

I have only had time to post up the top six for each race so will make sure everything is on the website by 10-30am plus, send out a second Newsletter containing everything, plus text applied to any race that has stats worth mentioning.

A week today I down tools for two weeks and it’s very much fingers crossed that between now and then we add a little more to the profit gained this season. I received the latest screenshot from the guys at Astech Gold, which took into account Tuesday’s figures and it’s just further proof of just how accurate the figures have been this flat season. Pretty stunning really.

I’ll be responding this morning to the e-mails I have received regarding this but having a profit of that kind in less than a month of betting is not half bad, is it!

Have a great day!

Kindest regards

Ron

OF INTEREST SELECTIONS

GLOBAL EXCEED
(Chepstow 2-15) – 20/80
MELODIC MOTION
(Doncaster 3-00) – 20/80
MUSIC LESSON
(Epsom 3-45) – 20/80

TODAY’S RATINGS AND ADVICE

CHEPSTOW 3-25 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-H-M

T3 – ALEMARATALYOUM….+16
§* – WAHAAB….+13
3* – MEDICEAN BALLET….+8
TH3 – RIGHT ABOUT NOW….+8
DYNAMIC GIRL….-5
FIT FOR THE JOB….-6
* – UNISON….-12
3 – MOUILLE POINT….-14
3 – NATIVE SOLDIER….-19
§3 – SPIRIT OF BELLE….-21
§3 – HABBAD….-25
§ – NUTINI….-35
§ – HOUSE OF COMMONS….-40
3 – MESOPHERE….-40
3 – MULSANNE CHASE….-40

NOTES: We have seen a softening of the ground here and my figures are no longer accurate. I will try to adjust them but in all honesty time will be an enemy.

To give you a “for instance”…WAHAAB….has winning form on good to soft, which it was when I finalised my work but since the going update to soft, I’m aware the horse is 0-4 on it….you will need to make a decision of your own regarding punting at Chepstow, I’m afraid.

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

CHEPSTOW 3-55 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

H* – GORING….+8
3* – THE DALEY EXPRESS….-13
* – CLEAR SPRING….-20
* – SIGNORE PICCOLO….-26
MAJOR VALENTINE….-40
3 – LETMESTOPYOUTHERE….-40
3 – GLORY OF PARIS….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

CHEPSTOW 4-30 – CLASS 6

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

3* – MEYANDI….+11
T3 – BIG SIGH….-2
HOWARDIAN HILLS….-18
3 – CASACLARE….-21
TURNBURY….-25
* – INCREDIBLE DREAM….-30
H3 – BREEZE UP….-35
H – EASTERN LADY….-40
3 – ILEY BOY….-40
MONAR BOY….-40
PERSHING….-40
3 – NETLEY ABBEY….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY

DONCASTER 4-35 – CLASS 2

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

3 – NATHALIE….+3
* – PACHARANA….-3
STONEY BROKE….-7
RENFREW STREET….-21
3 – WHAT A HOME….-33
T3 – CAMERONE….-38

NOTES: This was impossible to rate accurately because of the three year olds. The current odds on favourite, WHAT A HOME, has only had three runs and I cannot get a figure any higher than that I have, based on what she has done before.

A no bet race for me.

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY

EPSOM 2-00 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

3 – FAVOURITE ROYAL….+4
3* – COLONEL FRANK….+4
3 – LORD CLENAGHCASTLE….+1
H3* – LIMELITE….-13
* – MUNFALLET….-21
* – OUTER SPACE….-27
* – BLACK CAESAR….-30
BUMPTIOUS….-36
T3* – SCOFFLAW….-40
H3 – EL TORITO….-40
GOLD HUNTER….-40

NOTES: Stats are so thin on the ground because again, this race is top heavy with 3-y-o’s. If I play this one it’ll be my top three to October Rules only!

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

EPSOM 4-15 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS:

* – HARLEQUIN STRIKER….+9
* – SHIFTING STAR….+8
* – LADY PERIGNON….-2
* – SQUIGGLEY….-9
* – BUZZ LIGHTYERE….-21
* – MASARZAIN….-23
* – GROOR….-33
* – DUKE OF NORTH….-36
PACIFIC SALT….-40
BRIDGE OF SIGHS….-40
STOSUR….-40

NOTES: My top rated will be my 20/80 but I’ll personally be dropping SHIFTING STAR from my dutch as he’s already 0-4 track.

I’ll have LADY PERIGNON and SQUIGGLEY in my dutch/exotics but staking will again be minimal.

DUTCH: HARLEQUIN STRIKER, LADY PERIGNON, SQUIGGLEY
20/80: HARLEQUIN STRIKER
EXOTICS: HARLEQUIN STRIKER, LADY PERIGNON, SQUIGGLEY
LAY: NONE

EPSOM 4-45 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: M-L/H

* – BONJOUR STEVE….+15
§* – AMOOD….+5
BRIDGE BUILDER….+2
FLOWING CLARETS….+1
* – GRANDAD’S WORLD….-6
* – PERFECT PASTIME….-11
* – VIVA VERGLAS…-20
§ – TOPOLOGY….-29
3 – BELLA ALISSA….-31 – NR
RED STRIPES….-36
§ – FLYING SAKHEE….-36
H – SANDACRES….-40 – NR
§3 – KOWAIYESS….-40

NOTES: Three have now come out, two since I finalised my work, which is annoying as it will impact on the draw bias I had boxed off.

I’m personally going to pluck the three highest rated runners, that are already winners on genuine good ground, in my top six….and hopefully no more come out!

DUTCH: BONJOUR STEVE, AMOOD, GRANDAD’S WORLD
20/80: AMOOD
EXOTICS: BONJOUR STEVE, AMOOD, GRANDAD’S WORLD
LAY: NONE

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