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Today’s Full Ratings 12/08/17

Tony posted up a bit about the game just about to kick off earlier this morning and I’ve just completed the Ayr figures.

We will not be betting at Lingfield tonight (well, I won’t be, anyway!), so four from Scotland for you to look through.

Full figures will be on the website as soon as I have grabbed some lunch….right now my stomach thinks my throat has been cut!

Have a great day!

Kindest regards

Ron

REDCAR 2-40 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-M-H

§* – KENNY THE CAPTAIN….+8
* – ADAM’S ALE….+8
APROVADO….+8
* – TRICKY DICKY….-5
3 – MUSCIKA….-8
§3 – BLACK SALT….-9
§3 – JESSINAMILLION….-16
MAGICAL EFFECT….-18
§ – NINJAGO….-21
QUESTO….-24
T§ – TOMMY G….-25
DUKE COSIMO….-29
MAJDOOL….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY: NONE

REDCAR 3-15 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-M-H

§ – CURZON LINE….+8
* – FAVOURITE TREAT….+2
3 – RIGHT ACTION….-3
§3 – HAJJAM….-10
* – ROLL ON RORY….-21
FIELDSMAN….-24
§3 – MALDONADO….-36
§3 – PARYS MOUNTAIN….-40
FORENCIO….-40
3 – RASELASAD….-40
§ – KIRKHAM….-40
OREGON GIFT….-40
3 – OUR CHARLIE BROWN….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

REDCAR 3-50 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

BOUCLIER….+1
3 – RASHFORD’S DOUBLE….-3
3* – VENTURA SECRET….-20
TIMELESS ART….-28
* – PULLMAN BROWN….-32
3 – TOWN CHARTER….-33
T – STRONG STEPS….-35
H* – INTENSE STYLE….-40
ZODIAKOS….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

REDCAR 4-25 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: L-H-M

§* – POLAR FOREST….+4
* – GRACEFUL ACT….+2
ROYAL RESERVE….-14
BLING KING….-17
§ – DIAMOND RUNNER….-21
H§3 – ROCK ISLAND LINE….-24
3 – AKKADIAN EMPIRE….-29
3 – LUCY’S LAW….-31
HERNANDO TORRES….-36
HIGHLAND LASS….-37
3 – SPIRITOFHAYTON….-37
YENSIR….-38
§ – ARIZONA SUNRISE….-40
HUSSAR BALLAD….-40
§ – LA HAVRESSE….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

REDCAR 5-00 – CLASS 6

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

MIDNIGHT WARRIOR….-4
* – ADHERENCE….-18
* – YASIR….-27
SLIPPER SATIN….-28
OLIVER’S GOLD….-40
3 – VINDICATOR….-40
MISTER BOB….-40
ROCK A DOODLE DOO….-40
PERCY VERENCE….-40
CALLIPPE….-40
STANARLEY PIC….-40
JAN DE HEEM….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

HAYDOCK 3-00 – CLASS 3

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

* – CALDER PRINCE….+10
* – DARK DEVIL….+9
* – JUST HISS….+8
* – FINGAL’S CAVE….-17
LITTLE LADY KATIE….-28
T3 – EL CAP….-32
T3 – MUSTARRID….-35
BRIYOUNI….-40
TWO FOR TWO….-40

NOTES: Just a 20/80 my top rated here. The only previous course winner in the field (2-4), ground and trip fine, top trainer/jockey combo onside, and four previous runs here producing form figures of: 1, 4, 2, 1….I have to play.

DUTCH:
20/80: CALDER PRINCE
EXOTICS:
LAY: NONE

HAYDOCK 4-35 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: M-H-L

§* – CLEAR SPRING….+11
H§* – LATHOM….+11
§* – LUCKY BEGGAR….+10
* – GABRIAL THE GREAT….+10
* – SIGNORE PICCOLO….±0
3 – MONKS STAND….-3
§* – RUSSIAN REALM….-6
3 – SOMEWHERE CREEK….-9
LEXINGTON TIMES….-32
TH – TOOFI….-37
3 – LETMESTOPYOUTHERE….-40
CAPTAIN LARS….-40

NOTES: I’m looking nowhere other than my top three rated for my winner. All have copped for a decent draw to work with, all are good to go on the ground and my top rated has ground/trip/track stats reading 1-7, 6-46, 1-2 respectively.

mY haydock figures over the two days here have been bang on the money….hopefully today sees a third day produce a profit.

DUTCH: CLEAR SPRING, LATHOM, LUCKY BEGGAR
20/80: CLEAR SPRING
EXOTICS: CLEAR SPRING, LATHOM, LUCKY BEGGAR
LAY: LEXINGTON TIMES

HAYDOCK 5-05 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: H-M-L

§* – IMPERIAL LEGEND….+8
HAMISH MCGONAGAIN….+8
PEARL ACCLAIM….+2
* – SHOW PALACE….-4
§ – FIRST BOMBARDMENT….-6
§ – ONE BOY….-7
* – SAVANNAH BEAU….-13
SECRET ASSET….-20
§ – ORIENTAL SPLENDOUR….-22
§ – RED STRIPES….-30
PUSHKIN MUSEUM….-31
THE HOODED CLAW….-40
BIG AMIGO….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

NEWMARKET 3-05 – CLASS 2

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

3* – ANYTHINGTODAY….+2
T* – SPEED COMPANY….-15
3 – ATKINSON GRIMSHAW….-21
* – EDDYSTONE ROCK….-23
* – DOLPHIN VISTA….-25
THUNDERING BLUE….-40
3 – AY AY….-40
IN THE RED….-40

NOTES: Listening to the trainer speaking on RUK yesterday you have to think my top rated is here to win. He was having a problem deciding whether to run here or save this horse for bigger handicaps a month or so down the line but, he’s here and with this horse also being a 3-y-o topping my figures, the only runner with three ticks – 1-1 ground, 2-5 trip and 1-1 track – I will simply have a straight win play.

DUTCH:
STRAIGHT WIN: ANYTHNGTODAY
EXOTICS:
LAY:

NEWMARKET 4-15 – CLASS 2

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

T3* – KHAMAARY….+9
T* – THAT IS THE SPIRIT….-6
THE WARRIOR….-18
3 – GULLIVER….-21
* – ACCESSION….-24
WAR GLORY….-30
SUZI’S CONNOISSEUR….-39
T – VON BLUCHER….-40
T – EASY TIGER….-40

NOTES: Another 3-y-o topping the numbers, three icons, the only runner obtaining a + figure….I’ll play exactly as I have done above.

DUTCH:
STRAIGHT WIN: KHAMAARY
EXOTICS:
LAY:

AYR 6-50 – CLASS 6

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: M-L-H

§* – GONINODAETHAT….+9
* – CHEENI….+9
* – JEBEL TARA….-3
T – RACQUET….-14
3 – HAMIDANS GIRL….-16
TH3§ – ELTANIN….-19
T§3 – TERMSNCONDITIONS….-31
T – ROMAN TIMES….-33
H – SS VEGA….-37
§ – INSURPLUS….-39
T3 – DAPPER MAN….-40

NOTES: Look at that thing sitting sixth best! I do not like races in which Jim Goldie saddles a third of the field but I cannot help but have a very small 20/80 ELTANIN. This is the lowest grade the horse has contested in six previous runs, they’ve put first time headgear on, sent it on a trip, they’ve copped for a decent draw and I’ll have that play.

DUTCH:
20/80: ELTANIN
EXOTICS:
LAY: NONE

AYR 7-20 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

* – DESERT ACE….+8
TH – MEMORIES GALORE….-20
T* – FOXY BOY….-22
T* – ECONOMIC CRISIS….-24
T – POMME DE TERRE….-29
TH* – ROSINA….-31
T – GNAAD….-35
T – FAST ACT….-40
T – GAMESOME….-40

NOTES: I have one miles clear on my numbers and, whilst this looks and feels skewed, I’ll have a 20/80 my top rated.

It’s not a classic by any means and the current tissue leader, POMME DE TERRE, whilst no lay, has yet to win on genuine good ground.

DUTCH:
20/80: DESERT ACE
EXOTICS:
LAY:

AYR 7-50 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

* – MAULESDON MAY….+9
* – ARCHIPELIGO….+8
T3* – SNOOKERED….-3
* – INTIWIN….-18
3* – AKAMANTO….-22
T – BEAUDEN BARRET….-32
3 – SOMNAMBULIST….-36
T3 – BROADWAY DREAMS….-40
3 – RED STAR DANCER….-40

NOTES: My top three look absolutely rock solid and if the winner lurks below them I’ll drop a few quid here. Being just a 3-y-o I’d be expecting SNOOKERED to improve past my figure and the market already favours him over the top pair.

All three won last time we saw them and the fact the market has them so close together indicates how tough it looks.

A top three dutch won’t get a profit so I’m going to work with 1 & 3…..ARCHIPELIGO won a ladies race last time out and is older than that other pair….now watch him sluice in!

DUTCH: MAULESDON MAY, SNOOKERED
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

AYR 8-20 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

* – DARK CRYSTAL….+4
* – ROYAL DUCHESS….+1
T* – CHAPLIN BAY….-17
T3 – CHIPPING….-26
FLINTY FELL….-28
T3* – LADY IN QUESTION….-37
3 – INGLORIOUS….-40
LOTARA….-40
3 – CORAL PRINCESS….-40

NOTES: several 3-y-o’s in here and a race I’ll swerve myself for betting purposes.

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

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