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Today’s Full Ratings 10/08/17

I believe we have a green light to go betting at Haydock!

It will be no worse than good to soft all over by the time racing starts, if the morning going update is accurate and I have worked on five races for you.

Right now I am interested in betting two horses only….PUNKAWALLAH and ALWAYS THANKFUL.

Both are 3-y-o’s that top my figures and the latter has the feel of a bet, for sure.

The first named is taking on INDIAN CHIEF, currently trading around 7/4 but that one has only been winning Ladie’s races and has to cart 10st 5lb here….giving a stone to my top rated. I feel it’s between the two but would rather have the 4/1 about the younger horse.

ALWAYS THANKFUL is miles clear on my numbers and the market hasn’t missed her….currently 6/4 favourite. I’m again very much aware of my second highest rated FULL OF PROMISE but what definitely puts me off that one is the record Fahey has with older horses here….he has sent 143 horses aged 4+ here over the last five years and saddled just five winners. For a stable as powerful as his, that’s a shocking stat.

I’m more worried about LYRIC HARMONY…..a fellow 3-y-o who rates 3rd best on my figures, has the T3* icons and has been punted from 7/1 > 5/1 this morning.

Just a pair of small straight win plays for me….PUNKAWALLAH and ALWAYS THANKFUL.

I’ve had a peek at the other meetings, including Sandown, and sorted out three OF INTEREST. One would normally come from a Rated race but I already have three non-runners and, with the potential for more to come out, you might want to wait until they are going into the stalls before betting!

We have just about half as many non-runners across the four meetings as we had yesterday so that’s a sign things are looking up.

I’m now starting work on tomorrow’s Musselburgh, Newmarket and Haydock cards and Tony has just sent me a message letting me know he will have his piece up on tomorrow’s game between Arsenal and Leicester by 8-00pm tonight….that’s handy!

Have a great day!

Kindest regards

Ron

HAYDOCK 1-50 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

3 – PUNKAWALLAH….+7
* – INDIAN CHIEF….-17
* – ANTON CHIGURH….-21
DREAM FREE….-32
3 – DAILY TRADER….-35
* – PADDY’S ROCK….-35
T – BISHOP OF BLING….-40
STRUMMER….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

HAYDOCK 3-20 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

DODGY BOB….+15
H* – CASTERBRIDGE….+6
* – SPECIALV….-5
* – CHAMPAGNE BOB….-10
* – DANISH DUKE….-23
PUSHKIN MUSEUM….-31
NIQNAAQPAADIWAAQ….-40
MR CONUNDRUM….-40
AMOOD….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

HAYDOCK 3-50 – CLASS 2

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

COURIER….+11
* – ISEEMIST….-11
T3* – SHAMSAYA….-13
T – SAINTED….-17
3 – QUEEN IN WAITING….-24
T – CLEAR WATER….-28
T – SOUTHERN BELLE….-40
3 – HOPE SOLO….-40
FUTOON….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

HAYDOCK 4-20 – CLASS 5

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

T3 – ALWAYS THANKFUL….+15
FULL OF PROMISE….-3
T3* – LYRIC HARMONY….-32
3 – CHAMPAGNE PINK….-38
BELLA’S VENTURE….-40
BUSH BEAUTY….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

HAYDOCK 4-50 – CLASS 4

PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS: NONE

T – STARPLEX….-2
T* – THE NEW PHAROAH….-13
INDY….-36
AZZIR….-38
ISLAND FLAME….-40
BUSY STREET….-40

NOTES:

DUTCH:
20/80:
EXOTICS:
LAY:

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