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York 3-40 Profiling (17/08/16)

Ron RobinsonPOSTPONED is most probably the best horse on the planet right now but you are getting nearly 2/1 for a reason…several of them, actually.

First off, only one 5+ year old has won this from the 24 that have tried over the last 10 seasons. That was TWICE OVER for Sir Henry back in 2011.

Only three others have placed.

If I therefore narrow this down first by age group, taking out anything older than four:

ALMODOVAR
DARIYAN
EXOSPHERE
HIGHLAND REEL
KING BOLETE
SIR ISAAC NEWTON
HAWKBILL
WINGS OF DESIRE

I’m not looking for anything outside the front four on the tissue so from that list I’ll take those trading shorter than 8/1 because last seasons 50/1 winner was simply a fluke.

HAWKBILL
HIGHLAND REEL

The latter did us a good turn recently and the record of his trainer in this race (four winners and two placed from 19 entries in the last 10), suggest HIGHLAND REEL is the one to work with but the record of the three and four year olds is remarkably similar over that same time period and this time we have not got Ryan Moore in the saddle.

I’m still thinking that he’s the best of this lot away from POSTPONED and with the Varian yard bang out of sorts I’ll again play the 20/80.

MY PLAY

HIGHLAND REEL 20/80

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