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Today’s ratings and Advice 16/08/16

Ron RobinsonThe lone race I punted yesterday saw my principle play beaten into third and I’m not sure his being short of room a furlong out stopped him winning. SEAMSTER now looks to be a case of a horse having reached his peak….expect him to lose a few now as his trainer looks to get him handicapped to win again.

In the second of my three rated races at Thirsk my top rated finished third @ 20/1….beaten by….two 3-y-o’s.

The winner was picked up cheaply at the sales and had never finished better than 6th in all previous starts for the Balding yard. On his first step up to 12 furlongs he is punted from 20/1 > 12/1 and wins pulling a caravan.

No ratings system or handicapping genius is ever going to find those.

Thankfully I read the draw spot on yesterday but, it helped me not a jot. In the last SOVEREIGN BOUNTY, who is obviously improving, bolted home having been upped in grade following a recent win at Beverley. A nice 10/1 winner for those that “knew” but I was not one of them!

I had him 9th best on my figures and having looked again, that was about right. My top rated had more trouble in running than Mo Farrah the other night but was only five lengths off winning having had to switch left, then right inside the final furlong.

TODAY

Compare and contrast the field sizes at Ripon today, to those we enjoyed on Saturday just gone.

It’s all very much pre-York and I’m not interested in betting those races myself. The first is one of those I discussed recently…small field, half of them 3-y-o’s….no thanks!

The second is better in that regard, just one younger horse in there but a 3-y-o stops me betting tonight. I really do like the look of my top rated in the 7-40 at Leicester but lurking in 5th spot on my figures…yep, a 3-y-o.

Instead of betting today I’m taking my grandkids out for a picnic and will enjoy a few hours r&r with them before getting back to my office to work on the York meeting. This week I will be looking at profiling a few races that will not be rated there and what a week of racing it looks.

Right, I’m off to butter some buns, get the coolbox ready and sprayed up with my factor 5000, or whatever it is. It’s looking like a hot one!

ASSUMPTIONS:

Ripon / Tue 16 Aug
First Race: 2:00 pm Going/Track Good (Watered) (GoingStick: 8.1 on Monday at 14:45)
Updated @ 3:14pm, Mon 15 Aug

Rails: Rail on innermost positions, no additional yards added
Updated @ 10:45am, Sun 07 Aug

Stalls: Straight Course & 2 Miles – Stand side Round Course – Inside Rail
Updated @ 3:14pm, Mon 15 Aug

Watering: 2mm of watering applied overnight Sunday into Monday, no further plans to water
Updated @ 3:14pm, Mon 15 Aug

Weather Dry since Saturday morning Monday – Partly cloudy, sunny periods, 20c Tuesday – Partly cloudy, sunny periods, 21c
Updated @ 3:14pm, Mon 15 Aug

Leicester / Tue 16 Aug
First Race: 5:40 pm Going/Track Good to Firm(Watering) (GoingStick: 7.2 on Monday at 07:45)
Updated @ 7:49am, Mon 15 Aug

Stalls: Straight-Stands side Round-Inside
Updated @ 7:54am, Tue 09 Aug

Weather Dry overnight. Forecast: Dry with sunny spells max temp 23c.
Updated @ 6:07am, Sat 13 Aug

ICONS

§ – Indicates ideally drawn
* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)
3 – 3-y-o running in all aged handicap

FINAL FIGURES

RIPON 4-00 (3)

T3 – CAPE OF GLORY….+8
* – SILVERY MOON….+5
* – FINAL….+4
* – GREEN HOWARD….-25
3 – COTE D’AZUR….-40
T3 – PURE FANTASY….-40

RIPON 4-30 (5)

* – BORDER BANDIT….+17
* – JANAAB….+9
TADAANY….±0
* – CABAL….-18
MIDLIGHT….-30
RELIGHT MY FIRE….-34
VENUTIUS….-40
3 – THE KING’S STEED….-40

LEICESTER 6-40 (4)

STRAIGHTOTHEPOINT….+9
SIGNORE PICCOLO….+9
* – EXPLAIN….+8
3* – REPUTATION….±0
BALLYMORE CASTLE….-8
3* – TANASOQ….-12
* – CLASSIC PURSUIT….-18
3 – EASY CODE….-36
MISSISSIPPI….-40

LEICESTER 7-10 (6)

EXCLUSIVE DIAMOND….+5
* – MONOPOLI….-15
* – ANNEANI….-33
GOODWOOD MOONLIGHT….-40
FREE ONE….-40
BUNKER HILL LASS….-40
3 – BECCA CAMPBELL….-40
KANTARA CASTLE….-40
MASTER CHOICE….-40
3 – CANNY STYLE….-40
3 – GRACEFUL LADY….-40
INVINCIBLE WISH….-40

LEICESTER 7-40 (4)

* – ALNASHAMAH….+11
* – HE’S NO SAINT….+1
* – ABUSHAMAH….+8
3 – TOP BEAK….-10
3* – COMPANY ASSET….-17
* – HULCOLT….-18
* – STEEL TRAIN….-23
INTRUDE….-31
POSTBAG….-35

Have a great day!

Ron

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