Leicester winning the league was a fluke. It won’t happen again as long as I live but it has got the press wondering if we might see another shock winner of the 2016 Euros. Will anyone do a “Greece”?
Not a chance.
The winners, to my mind, will be Germany. You only have to look at their record in this and other International competitions to understand they know how to prepare for these tournaments.
Germany are one of the most successful national teams, having won a total of four World Cups (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014) and three European Championships (1972, 1980, 1996).
They have also been runners-up three times in the European Championships, four times in the World Cup, and have won a further four third places.
Germany is the only International team to have won both the men’s and women’s World Cups.
At the end of the 2014 FIFA World Cup, Germany earned the highest Elo rating of any national football team ever, with a record 2200 points and, they are also the only European side that has won a World Cup in the Americas
They have reached the finals of 6 of the last 11 of these competitions, come into this the reigning world champions, and they have the man between the sticks I rate as the best keeper in the game right now.
To me that’s as important as having the best striker and in Muller they have one of the very best at International level.
They are always strong defensively, have pace in midfield and are so well organised they make up for any deficiencies through concentration.
A lot of side will have better individual players and that includes Wales. In Bale they have a world class player and that word is used to often about just good ones.
But as a unit nobody beats Germany. Its a mental thing and they do have a capability to keep a mind set.
Of the rest France obviously have to be considered being at home. How often have they just imploded though?
The French are solid on home soil in the top tournaments, having won Euro 1984 and the 1998 World Cup as the host nation, but is to much being read into this?
France have one of the easier groups at Euro 2016, taking on teams like Albania, Romania, and Switzerland, and are likely to face one of the poorer sides in the round of 16 due to playing the third-place finisher from Group C, D, or E, but they could face Spain in the semi-finals, a side who should be too good for them all over the pitch.
England were the only side to qualify with a 100% record but our defence is awful and if offered 9/2 Germany or 8/1 England, I know where my money goes.
You do not win this competition without a team attitude and I only see the Germans having that
My bet is 5 points @ 9/2
The opening game of a tournament most often fails to get going due to nerves but France should best Romania. You can keep your 4/11 though.
I would rather have a look at a price about France winning to nil.
France have also made the decision to put their best striker on the bench. I would have Benzema before Giroud, wouldn’t you?
Romania struggle to score goals and their record in this competition is just 1 win from 13 games and that came against England, when Neville gave them a penalty.
I will have 2 x 1 point bets on the game
FRANCE TO WIN 2-0 @ 9/2
FRANCE TO WIN 3-0 @ 7/1
Tomorrow morning I will be looking at the games involving England, Wales and Albania.
Looking forward to a good month of football and betting.