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Wales v Northern Ireland

Tony DavidsonI’m not the only bloke that thinks Northern Ireland have ridden their luck am I?

When I was going through the Opta stats for the game against Germany I found that Kroos completed more passes on his own that game than the Irish lads completed in total.

They should have been smashed up though and would have been but for the goalie having one of those days. I have heard of the luck of the Irish and now I have seen it.

I don’t see them getting other than a good hiding today. They’ll battle like gooduns but just don’t have anything and have lost 4 and drawn 4 of the last 8 games against Wales.

Wales are defending brilliantly so far. That fact and the one that says Ireland only score from set pieces and 7 of their last 10 goals have come from corners or free kicks, tells me I can only look for bets that get me a profit if Wales win.

Don’t get me wrong, Wales without Bale are average but, they have Bale.

They have scored 4 goals of their 6 goals at the Euros so far in the 1st half of a game and I’m going to work with that stat.

WALES TO BE WINNING HT/FT – 1 POINT @ 5/2
WALES TO WIN – 5 POINTS @ 11/10
WALES TO WIN 2-0 – 1/2 POINT @ 7/1

Good luck

Tony

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