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Bayan Kasirga 11/1, Ellaal 9/2 top rated winners at Musselburgh!

Ron RobinsonThe sun doing what the sun is supposed to do is really helping us to find some very nice winners right now.

I couldn’t have been more positive about NORMANDY BARRIERE on Saturday and today the Musselburgh figures proved superb.

Below are my figures that were provided to Post Racing members at around 7-15am this morning and they even managed to help us find a 1-2 at Brighton, something I’m very impressed with!

I don’t treat racing from tracks such as Brighton and Yarmouth seriously but diamonds can sometimes be found in the dirt!

BRIGHTON 3-50

T* – IFAN….+12 – 2ND 10/11
GLASGOW CENTRAL….+8 – WON 2/1

T* – CASSANDANE….-19
FARRAH’S CHOICE….-40
SOLVER’S SONG….-40
NORPHIN….-40

NOTES: If stats allied to figures mean anything, my top rated is a straight win bet. He is 2-3 here, 2-5 on the ground and 3-7 at the trip. The rest of these put together don’t hold a candle to him BUT…it’s a Class 6 at Brighton and my staking will certainly take that into account.

BRIGHTON 4-20

MISS LILLIE….-4
* – HARRY BOSCH….-15 – 2ND 5/1
T – TOGETHERWECAN….-19
* – WORDISMYBOND….-35 – WON 5/1

LUTINE CHARLIE….-40
POETIC LICENCE….-40
WHALEWEIGH STATION….-40
LADY ZODIAC….-40

NOTES: I’m simply going to dutch that pair holding onto that * icon. My top rated is 0-11 at the trip…..0-3 on the ground….it’s a shocker!

BRIGHTON 4-50

* – ASK THE GURU….+8
* – PANDAR….-1
T* – SECRET MILLIONAIRE….-4
DIAMOND CHARLIE….-16
ELAND ALLY….-27
MORE SPICE….-40

NOTES: On figures/stats, I can only play my top rated with SECRET MILLIONAIRE in a dutch….both have three ticks. I’ll have a small 20/80 that one with the T* icons but staking here all day will be to my minimum.

MUSSELBURGH 3-10

T* – ELLAAL….+11 – WON 9/2
T* – SUREWECAN….+10 – 2ND 7/2

* – OPT OUT….+9
T* – JUST PAUL….-10
T – INGLEBY SPRING….-11
LET RIGHT BE DONE….-16
T – SAKHALIN STAR….-38
T – GONE WITH THE WIND….-38
SILVER DUKE….-40

NOTES: Rated horses 1 & 3 are the most statistically sound….ELLAAL 1-13 ground, 3-29 trip and 2-7 here. OPT OUT 4-21 ground, 1-4 trip and 4-16 here.

JUST PAUL loves this place….3-8 here. However the trip is an issue….0-9. It’s the trip also causing me to think SUREWECAN might struggle, too….0-6.

I’m just going to work with rated horses 1 & 3 to small staking, a 20/80 going to OPT OUT, simply because he has superior stats to ELLAAL.

MUSSELBURGH 3-40

DANCIN ALPHA….-6
T* – SHAMAHEART….-7
* – DARK CRYSTAL….-11
T* – PICKS PINTA….-20
T – MR COOL CASH….-32
MR SUNDOWNER….-40
T – TELLOVOI….-40
T – ADEVENTUREMAN….-40
CALL ME CROCKET….-40

NOTES: A poor race but SHAMAHEART will be a 20/80 and my only bet in this one. Very weak on stats this horse does have three ticks and is 1-2 here, something that certainly counts at this track.

MUSSELBURGH 4-10

T* – BAYAN KASIRGA….+9 – WON 11/1
* – LOVE MARMALADE….+5
* – JAMMY MOMENT….+2
T – NONCHALENT….-4
T* – SAN CASSIANO….-8
* – TESTA ROSSA….-9
T* – THANKYOU VERY MUCH….-10
T – COMPETENT….-27
ARCHIPELIGO….-27
MCVICAR….-40
T – INDIAN CHIEF….-40
T – MEMORY CLOTH….-40
T – SHALAMAZAR….-40
NORFOLK SOUND….-40

NOTES: I wonder if BAYAN KASIRGA can be translated as buttered toast in any language? If so, my top three would have to be played in a dutch!

BAYAN KASIRGA is unbeaten here…2-2 and is 7-27 at the trip but just 1-13 on the ground is a concern.

He is by far the strongest stats wise and sitting top rated, is my 20/80.

I’ll add a dutch rated horses 1, 2 and 3 and hope my figures/stats don’t do me up like a kipper.

MUSSELBURGH 5-45 (L-H-M)

T – ATREUS….+10
T§* – SMALLJOHN….+9
T§* – TED’S BROTHER….+2
* – YAIR HILL….+/-0
T§ – PRINCESS PEACHES….-15
BLUE JACKET….-18
JOYFUL STAR….-18
T§ – COOKIE RING….-33
TAKAHIRO….-37
T – VECHEKA….-40
T – TOP OFFER….-40
RIPONIAN….-40

NOTES: The only race today I can see the draw making a difference of any significance. I had a Bryan Smart horse joint top rated a couple of days ago and it went in at 14/1….SMALLJOHN runs for him here and with that trio of icons, he’s my 20/80.

This is the weakest race here statistically and none of those that have raced here previously did much of anything. SMALLJOHN is currently 0-3 here.

I’ll just go top three dutch to October rules and play the Smart horse 20/80.

The key to success is, without a doubt, the ground. As I always say, “give me the ground, I’ll give you the winners!”.

Have a good evening,

Ron

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