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Cheltenham Preview – Day 3

Ron RobinsonThe JLT is the opener on this card and right now I’ve not got a clue what will, and what will not, line up.

Most entries are double entered…triple entered in some cases and it’s like they are all waiting to see what Mullins enters where, before committing their own.

I’d like to see OUTLANDER running here but whichever Mullins opts to let loose will be competitive…he’s won two of the last four of these.

The best of those from the mainland would appear to be BRISTOL DE MAI and GARDE LA VICTOIRE but until I’m clued up as to what is going to run where I can do nothing with this.

Will Harry Fry let UNOWHATIMEANHARRY go for this one….or will it be the Coral Cup….or another? In the last four years it’s got “easier” to find the winner of this and we were all on CAPE TRIBULATION in 2-12 when he won it @ 14/1.

The winner in 2013 saw the picture turn back to normal as a 25/1 shot got up but 2014 and 2015 have seen a 9/2f and a 9/1 winner so, I’m not going to let those huge priced winners that came in earlier years put me off my stroke. I’ll profile it, I’ll rate it and you’ll hopefully have enough information to put a winner on your plate.

A plate would be most appropriate if TAGLIETELLE wins it. I thought he ran a cracker last time out when I was on at what I thought was a ridiculously big price. He made a mistake two out which cost him a winning chance and he came home third to CUP FINAL.

The Ryanair at 2-50 is the race for horses that fall between two stools…QM…Gold Cup….and if VAUTOUR was allowed to go for this, he’ll kill them stone dead in my humble opinion.

One horse I’m still sceptical of is JOSSES HILL. Touted as a future champion over fences when still over hurdles, he patently couldn’t jump a twig….until last time out when he jumped like a buck and sauntered home.

I need to see him jump like that again before I could part with hard cash. One mistake here could blow his confidence and they’ll not be hanging around waiting for him.

Traditionally it’s a race where the winner can be found in the front four in the betting but we’ll have a good trawl through when profiling and hopefully make a profit from it.

The World Hurdle looks a gimme for THISTLECRACK. He’s been the form horse for this race all season and only if we saw cash coming for AUX PTITS SOINS should we consider looking elsewhere.

A more than strong whiff of the impossible about finding the winner of the Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Plate. Only one horse in the last 10 years has won this at a single figure price. We’ve had a 66/1 winner, 50/1, 2 x 33/1, 25/1, 18/1….but I’ve found us a way to profit from it if my stats are right.

Profiling will determine that and I’m looking forward to seeing how that pans out. More a week tomorrow!

If DOCTOR HARPER goes for the Kim Muir, I’ll be on. This horse came oh so close to being “the one” that I saw as the horse to get us the profits to cover the meeting but those subscribed have know of “that” horse for a week now.

I’m feeling pretty comfortable about this one. I’ll not be rating the race on the day simply because it’s an amateur riders race but, for sure, profiling will get us in.

The last race on the card this day is the Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle and LIMINI was actually put up as one of Rich Ricci’s three horses to follow this season, way back when leaves were still on the trees. She is going to be an odds on shot in this but Brian Ellison is quoted as recently saying that if SMART TALK is in the lead going over the last, she’ll win.

We’ll see. It’s not a race I’ll be able to profile I’m afraid because this is the first year the race has been run. I’ll still offer up an opinion if I have one in that Wednesday night Newsletter.

If you have yet to subscribe for the Cheltenham Special you can do so by clicking here.

It’s going to be a brilliant week of racing and tomorrow I’ll preview the final day, then get down to finding us all as many winners as I can.

Have a great evening

Kindest regards

Ron

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