He is the highest rated novice hurdler around right now. He’s trading odds on for what looks, on paper, a really hot race and I’d not be a layer for a big clock.
No horse has impressed me more this season and he’s looked better each and every time I’ve seen him.
Willie Mullins is responsible next five in the current ante-post market but it’s 8/1 bar YANWORTH and that’s about right, I’d say.
Profiling will hopefully throw up one that can hit the frame at a decent price but I’m doubtful we’ll get this favourite beaten.
The RSA Chase looks a two horse race. NO MORE HEROES and MORE OF THAT appears to be where we look for the winner right now but with four of he last six winners going off at 8/1 or bigger, I’ll be looking to profiling to help me find one to put up a fight.
That pair most certainly have a job on based on one very pertinent statistic that will be revealed to those subscribed to the Cheltenham Special on the Tuesday evening. I also know which one of that pair I’ll be on if profiling suggests it’s “the one”.
What looks “Mission Impossible” comes next, the Coral Cup. I’ll be profiling and rating this race, and looking forward to finding us a very nice priced winner. That’s the plan, anyway!
I’ve several ways into this one and it’s not actually as difficult to find this winner as might first appear, despite the number of horses that will go to post. Most certainly, you need to be looking for a horse that won it’s last race.
The rest of this jigsaw will be put together on the Tuesday and hopefully none of the pieces are missing.
The Champion Chase looks as weak as this years Champion Hurdle. The previous winners of this race all look extremely vulnerable and I’m yet to be 100% convinced by UN DE SEAUX.
The problem for me right now is that the only danger to this odds on favourite would appear to be the obstacles. I’m going to let profiling point me towards a decent place option, rather than punt this one odds on. He’s unbeaten in all completed races over fences but there is always that opportunity to belt one here and if he does, it could be curtains.
On RPR figures he’s only a single pound better that both SPRINTER SACRE and SIRE DE GRUGY and whilst age is against both of that pair, the favourite getting one or two wrong might well level the playing field.
Profiling will tell me what to do, I’m sure.
I’m a bigger fan of Jedward than I am of the Cross Country race and I personally do not bet on that event. Profiling will be carried out but I’m guessing I already know what it’s going to tell me.
Every year I say, “if I find you the winner of this one, you owe me a beer”, about one or two races here and the Fred Winter is definitely one of those.
The last four winners have gone off 40/1, 25/1, 33/1 and 25/1. But that is now a stat I can use to my advantage when looking for the winner and profiling is going to be very interesting.
Mines a Guinness, by the way!
The Bumper is more for looking forward to what might happen next year and you only punt this event if you’ve shekels to burn.
Before the gamble on MOON RACER was landed last year, the returned SP of the four previous winners were 14/1, 16/1, 25/1 and 16/1.
The most interesting news regarding this race is the purchase of NEW TO THIS TOWN by Alan Potts.
I had heard good reports of this one in the last month and have it “notebooked” but I didn’t take the 20/1 and it’s best priced @ 14/1 now. As interesting is the fact Jessica Harrington, who trains it, is 1-2 with her runners in the Cheltenham Bumper, CORK ALL STAR winning for her in 2007.
If profiling throws this one up then I’ll definitely have a punt but we’ll not know that until Tuesday evening next week.
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Have a great day