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-40/bottom rated stats updated w/e 20/3/16

40 system 28/350 -108.46pts betfair SP -120.06pt after 5%, -146.42pt industry SP

win 18.2 (in running high 140, never saw that but did see it often around 40-50 mark), 22.8, 18.1, 17.3

13/135 16f only -24.69pts betfair SP, -30.5pts after 5%, -41.67pts industry SP

12/191 -85.09pts if bottom only qualifier to betfair SP after 5%

-40 53/565 -113.79pts betfair SP, -133.16pts after 5%, -184.87pts industry SP

29/244 chase -9.97pts betfair SP, -20.211pts after 5%, -15.12 industry SP

win 14, 27, 25. 12.58, 12.5, 13

bottom 74/669 -68.28pts betfair SP, -98.62pts after 5%, -166.29pts industry SP

chase 45/314 +27.68pts betfair SP, +5.2pts after 5%, -28.04pts industry SP

win 14, 27, 25, 12.58, 12.5, 16.2, 13

Bottom rated chases perform better and are in profit, and again highlights peak point as around end of 1st week January. From my observations, that is at least 4 years in a row for this date

-40 system, a reliable performer over the past few years, is busted, and the worry is it has run its course, especially with small fields and small prices; especially as it was designed for large outsiders. However, like last season, it seems that sticking to the 16f (+/- .5f) is the micro angle to concentrate on, despite losses.

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