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-40/bottom rated stats updated season end 31/3/16

40 system 30/389 -136.62pts betfair SP -148.66pt after 5%, -174.92pt industry SP

win 18.2 (in running high 140, never saw that but did see it often around 40-50 mark), 22.8, 18.1, 17.3

14/150 16f only -35.99pts betfair SP, -41.94pts after 5%, -53.17pts industry SP

14/213 -96.7pts if bottom only qualifier to betfair SP after 5%

-40 61/621 -101.71pts betfair SP, -124.06pts after 5%, -179.37pts industry SP

33/265 chase +11.2pts betfair SP, -0.74pts after 5%, -41.12 industry SP

win 14, 27, 25. 12.58, 12.5, 13, 18.3, 14.7

bottom 83/733 -47.63pts betfair SP, -80.83pts after 5%, -156.54pts industry SP

chase 50/342 +45.19pts betfair SP, +20.65pts after 5%, -16.29pts industry SP

win 14, 27, 25, 12.58, 12.5, 16.2, 13, 18.3, 14.7

Bottom rated chases perform better and are in profit, and again highlights peak point as around end of 1st week January. From my observations, that is at least 4 years in a row for this date

-40 system, a reliable performer over the past few years, is busted, and the worry is it has run its course, especially with small fields and small prices; especially as it was designed for large outsiders. However, like last season, it seems that sticking to the 16f (+/- .5f) is the micro angle to concentrate on, despite losses.

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