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Greatwood Hurdle Profile 13/11/15

Ron RobinsonMuch is going to depend on what happens to the ground between now and off time.

In the last four years this has gone to a horse that went off a double figure price on three of those occasions. Strangely they have been for the bigger yards of Hobbs, Pipe and Nicholls!

Horses older than six have struggled. Only one of the last 10 was older and that’s where I’ll start.

We can only rule out four STARLUCK, OLOFI, REDERA and SERENITY NOW.

That leaves us just 16 to sift through.

Nine of the last 10 winners were in the first six on the tissue and we need a short shortlist at this point:

WAXIES DARGLE
NABUCCO
MICK JAZZ
SUPERB STORY
RENNETI
TOTALIZE

Only one favourite has managed to win this in the last 10 years and so I’m dropping my top one.

NABUCCO
MICK JAZZ
SUPERB STORY
RENNETI
TOTALIZE

Four of the last five winners carried 10st 11b or more and four of the last 10 winners did actually manage to cart 11st 7lb or more across the finishing line in first place.

Six of the last 10 winners had either won or placed on their last visit to a track and of that quintet only TOTALIZE falls down.

NABUCCO
MICK JAZZ
SUPERB STORY
RENNETI

I want a horse onside that has been to a track at least once recently and three fit that criteria.

NABUCCO
SUPERB STORY
RENNETI

I’m going to disregard those carrying less than 10st 11b and see what that leaves us.

RENNETI

The ground softening will not hinder this one but what just might is the fact he could refuse to start!

He is the horse that fits the bill though and the 10/1 I’ll take with that risk attached, 20/80

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