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Today’s Free Rated Race 26/10/15

Ron RobinsonWe are very light on racing today and that card up at Ayr this afternoon is a bit of a mutt but, I believe I might have a winner to offer up.

Nobody will get rich off it but it looks solid, sits second best on my figures, and if it pulls it off, it’ll be a good start to the week for those happy to be betting during October.

AYR 3-20

* – TOO COOL TO FOOL….+8
* – MONBEG RIVER….+6
CASTLELAWN….-8
BALLYCOOL….-14
* – CARTERS REST….-30
FORMIDABLEOPPONENT….-35
HARRYS WHIM….-40

We have three of the seven still standing their ground having won previously. However, they have won just one each on the ground, despite 19 shots at it. My top rated is 1-10 on good to soft but, his record over the trip is a very decent 3-6 and, he’s 5-16 at the track. A tick in each box but, his record first time out each season reads 3, 6, 0, 5, 6, 3, P…..that, allied to the going issue, means I favour MONBEG RIVER.

Sitting second best on my figures he’s “match fit”, having won under today’s jockey at Perth a month ago. That was this horse’s first run over fences under rules and so, he’s a 100% record to protect! That race was run on good to soft…big tick….he’s 1-3 at this trip….and whilst his only previous run at Ayr resulted in a 6th of seven in March, that came over a longer trip on slower ground and I’d be prepared to give it another chance. I’m thinking it’ll most likely win.

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