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Today’s Ratings and Advice 15/09/15

Ron RobinsonIt is akin to a Saturday in terms of volume of racing today and very conscious of the fact this needs to be out by 7-30am latest.

How was the weather with you yesterday? We had some very heavy rain, that came down for a good few hours last night and I’ve no idea where it went after that!

Please be sure that you know the state of the going at the time racing starts compared to that I worked with, before betting using my work today. If you witnessed Brighton yesterday you’ll know that it was bad horses in bad racing on bad ground and they were stretched out all over Sussex in the races I watched myself. After race three the anchor man in the ATR studio simply said, “25/1, 10/ 9/1….it’s not easy today”.

Nope. He got that right.The next three on the card were slightly easier to predict but that just lulled punters into a false sense of security and those 12/1 and 9/1 winners of the last two races will have had the layers coming out on top.

I’m just going to crack on now!

I have added text to only one race currently but will add more to those races I will be looking at for betting purposes myself…it will certainly not be all of them….a fair few Yak taking to the track today and they’ll be best avoided.

ASSUMPTIONS:

Catterick Bridge / Tue 15 Sep
Updated @ Mon 14 Sep

Going/Track Good (GoingStick: 8.4 on Sunday at 07:45)

Stalls: 1m 4f – Centre Remainder – Inside

Weather Dry Sunday and overnight 9.5mm rain Saturday Forecast – Monday showers (2-3mm), Tuesday mainly dry

Chepstow / Tue 15 Sep
Updated @ Mon 14 Sep

Going/Track SOFT Further 12mm of rain from 08:00 to 16:30 9mm of rain overnight to 08:00 Dry on Saturday and most of Sunday 8mm of rain on Friday night (GoingStick: 6.8 on Monday at 08:00)

Stalls: 6f & 7f Centre 1m2f & 1m4f Inside

Weather Forecast: Blustery showers on Monday evening. Sunny spells with a few showers on Tuesday, max temp 17C.

Great Yarmouth / Tue 15 Sep
Updated @ Mon 14 Sep

Going/Track Good to Firm (GoingStick: 8.2 on Monday at 15:30)

Rails: The straight has been railed out 10 yards from the golf course bend past the winning line.

Stalls: Straight – stands side, 1m3f – inside, 1m6f – stands side

Weather 5mm of rain yesterday a further 3.5 today. Forecast is for the possibility of light showers tonight into early Tuesday morning.

Carlisle / Tue 15 Sep
Updated @ Mon 14 Sep

Going/Track Good to Firm, Watering to Maintain. (GoingStick: 9.1 on Friday at 07:00)

Rails: Rail back on inside. All distances as advertised.

Stalls: Inside

Watering: Putting 4mm of water onto the track on Monday.Weather3mm of rain on Saturday. Sunday dry. Forecast Monday dry and showers on Tuesday.

ICONS
* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURES

CATTERICK 3-30

* – PERFECT PEAK….+9
§* – IRISH GIRLS SPIRIT….+9
H* – YOUCOULDNOTMAKEITUP….+9
* – SARTORI….+9
§* – BUSY BIMBO….+9
* – PASTUREYES….+7
MAKIN A STATEMENT….+1
§ – PACNGO….-1
* – PRIGSNOV DANCER….-12
§ – LADY POPPY….-16
THREES GRAND….-18
§ – COISTE BODHAR….-23
LAZY SIOUX….-23
ELAND ALLY….-26
SCORELINE….-37

CATTERICK 4-30

CABELO….+18
* – READY….+17
* – LAYLA’S HERO….+10
T* – RASAMAN….+9
§* – CARA’S REQUEST….+8
§* – CLUBLAND….+8
T* – EDGAR BALTHAZAR….+8
TH§* – MEZZOTINT….+4
MANATEE BAY….-2
* – WOODY BAY….-7
§* – PERCY’S GAL….-11
SHAMAHEART….-20
BEST TAMAYUZ….-18
§ – SLINGSBY….-37
FLEUTILLE….-39

CATTERICK 5-00

* – BONDI BEACH BABE….+10
§* – CIRCUITOUS….+9
* – WHITE FLAG….+8
LOGANS LAD….-12
DEBT FREE FAME….-17
MUNJALLY….-18
§ – CHARLIE LAD….-27
GOADBY….-28
H§ – BOLD SPIRIT….-31
LUCKY MARK….-38
PANCAKE DAY….-39
§ – CLOAK AND DEGAS….-40

CATTERICK 5-30

* – SILVER SHUFFLE….+8
* – SCOPPIO DEL CARRO….-1
* – VITTACHI….-8
* – PATAVIUM….-12
* – AMAZING BLUE SKY….-19
ROCKABILLY RIOT….-21
* – TOURTIERE….-30
HOUSEWIVES CHOICE….-33
FILLYDELPHIA….-40
ARISTOCRATIC DUTY….-40
STRAIT RUN….-40
TUKITINYASOK….-40
DIDDY ERIC….-40

CHEPSTOW 3-40

* – PEAK STORM….+10
* – PORT LAIRGE….+9
* – MIDNIGHT RIDER….+7
* – MYBOYALFIE….+2
SARANGOO….+/-0
* – DAVIDS PARK….-14
T – SUBVERSIVE….-26
AQUA ARDENS….-37
GORING….-39
GOLD HUNTER….-40

CHEPSTOW 4-40

* – MEDBURN CUTLER….+12
CAPE VICTORIA….+10
DESCHIDARO….+3
* – DEEP SAND….-14
* – DARK AMBER….-20
* – EMILIO LARGO….-26
* – BORAK….-31
* – LA PYLE….-36
LATE SHIPMENT….-40

CHEPSTOW 5-10

DISTANT HIGH….+13
H§ – KIND OF HUSH….+10
* – FLAG OF GLORY….+8
§ – RAKAAN….-9
§ – DOVIL’S DUEL….-10
§ – JAZRI….-13
§ – AZURE AMOUR….-36
AYLA’S EMPEROR….-39
KRAFTY ONE….-40
§ – MANDRIA….-40
MY SON MAX….-40
ESTOURNEL….-40
INVINCIBLE WISH….-40
CASTANEA….-40
STARLIGHT JUNE….-40
MAID OF TUSCANY….-40

CARLISLE 3-45

§ – DALMARELLA DANCER….+10
* – TECTONIC….+8
§ – SPIRIT OF WEDZA….-1
§* – QUEST OF COLOUR….-4
§ – ALMUHALAB….-19
* – OUTLAW TORN….-21
§* – SPLASH OF VERVE….-25
§ – SIR LANCELOT….-32
§ – VECHEKA….-37
MUJAAHER….-37
§ – MISS RANGER….-39
T – STAR ASCENDING….-40
T§ – EVERVESCENT….-40
SMIRFY’S SILVER….-40

NOTES: If track form means anything then TECTONIC has to be in the mix but, that’s a poor draw he’s got to race from and that, added to the fact he’s one of the most dodgy horses in training (he’ll travel great then drop the lot when asked to go and win his race), means you have him in your play for place purposes only.

Philip Makin has been on board for the last two wins and he’s got the horse sussed. I’ll wait for him to get back in the saddle for win purpose betting.

My top rated has produced his last two wins at Windsor on genuine good ground, the three runs on good to firm producing 3 x 3rd placings. Jordan Vaughan retains the ride and he’s been on top for this horses last two wins.

In truth, a fair bit of dead wood in here and I’ll prune it down to DALMARELLA DANCER, TECTONIC and QUEST OF COLOUR. My 20/80 goes to the last named. who has ground/trip/draw right. The track is a slight concern, the only previous visit here producing a fourth of 12 – only beaten a length though and it could have been a combination of things that got him beaten.

A dutch the three named, that 20/80 and exotics.

CARLISLE 4-45

* – INCURS FOUR FAULTS….-7
* – TANAWAR….-9
* – DECLAMATION….-18
* – FERDY….-21
* – TED’S BROTHER….-31
T – MAKE ON MADAM….-40
MOUNT CHEIRON….-40
HOME FLYER….-40
BIG RED….-40

CARLISLE 5-15

MASTER CLOCKMAKER….-8
* – YAIR HILL….-24
ON A PAR….-40
THE FULWELL END….-40
REGAL MISSILE….-40
LORD AVONBROOK….-40
GONE WITH THE WIND….-40
MAGICAL MISCHIEF….-40
GLEN LEA….-40

CARLISLE 6-15

* – MEANDMYSHADOW….+3
* – SCARLET BOUNTY….-2
* – EXOTIC GUEST….-4
* – SLIM CHANCE….-8
* – ANOTHER ROYAL….-13
* – MERCERS ROW….-17
H – KENNY THE CAPTAIN….-25
NEW LEASE OF LIFE….-34

CARLISLE 6-45

* – CHISWICK BEY….+9
* – NAOISE….+9
* – MUSTAQBAL….+8
* – IN FOCUS….+8
* – JUST PAUL….-22
* – SHOTTINGSTA….-23
DUAL MAC….-31
LOVER MAN….-35
TWIN POINT….-36

YARMOUTH 4-50

BELVOIR DIVA….-1
T* – EMJAYEM….-10
* – FLEXIBLE FLYER….-15
* – DESERT COMMAND….-16
T* – MONUMENTAL MAN….-20
* – DOCTOR PARKES….-21
INDIAN TINKER….-40
T – MAJOR PUSEY….-40

Have a brilliant day and the best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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