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Today’s Ratings and Advice 12/09/15

Ron RobinsonI will be e-mailing those that contacted me yesterday and made a firm commitment to join us in the Nicky Henderson syndicate. if you have a “tentative” iron in the fire I will need to know by close of play tonight that you are genuinely interested in getting involved.

The flat syndicate, which would have seen five members involved in two horses worth around £75k each and racing with Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes has proven a very damp squib and I’ll be honest, I’m very surprised.

What I will be doing is looking to purchase that remaining share solely for Post Racing 500 Club members who renew their annual subscription fees by the end of September.

I will contact each of you individually over the next few days.

Three year olds….they’ve been a pain recently.

This race got me good and proper:

SANDOWN 4-40

* – HOT MUSTARD….+12 – 2ND 4/1
§* – HANNINGTON….+8
ROBINS PEARL….+8 – NR
BERKELEY VALE….+8
DOUBLE HEAVEN….+6 – WON 14/1
HERCULIAN PRINCE….+4
§* – GRACIOUS GEORGE….+3
* – WOOFIE….-12
§ – DERULLO….-24
* – ELUSIVE GUEST….-25
§ – FRANCO’S SECRET….-28
§ – TATTING….-35
FRANTICAL….-40
BIFF JOHNSON….-40
UNNOTICED….-40

NOTES: My top rated has the worst of the draw and with seven x 3-y-o’s in here it’s been labelled “tricky!”. I’ll just have a 20/80 HANNINGTON but will not be in the least bit surprised to see one of the younger horses whizzing in. ROBINS PEARL is the highest rated 3-y-o….we’ll all be wiser after the event.

RESULT – The highest rated 3-y-o was taken out and the then highest rated 3-y-o wins, beating my top rated by a nose.

I had one or two go my way and the lone rated at Chester proved very profitable with the three utilised coming home 1st, 2nd and 3rd.

TODAY

A typically busy one and we have just three Saturdays left of the flat season….you will hear the sigh of relief from where you are!

We have rain falling up and down the country. I have no idea if will cause a going change at any of the tracks I have worked on today but if you have a doubt, leave the racing alone today.

ASSUMPTIONS:

Bath / Sat 12 Sep
Updated @ Fri 11 Sep

Going/Track Firm, Good to Firm in places (GoingStick: 8.9 on Thursday at 07:30)

Stalls: 5f, 5.5f & 2m1f – Centre 1m2f & 1m – Inside 1m5f – Outside

Weather No rain overnight. Forecast: Thursday/Friday – Dry outlook with sunny spells. Saturday/Sunday – Turning more unsettled with light showers, poss 3-4mm on Saturday and similar amounts possible on Sunday. Max Temps 16/17C.

Chester / Sat 12 Sep
Updated @ Fri 11 Sep

Going/Track Good, Good to Soft in places (GoingStick: 6.9 on Friday at 09:00)

Rails: The rail between the 6f and 1 1/2f point will be moved out by a further 3yds after racing on Friday. This means actual race distances will be: Race 1- 6f 42y(+24y), Race 2- 7f 146y (+24y), Race 3- 1m 4f 104y (+38y), Race 4- 5f 132y(+22y), Race 5- 1m 2f 101y(+26y), Race 6- 5f 36y(+20y), Race 7- 2m 21y(+46y).

Stalls: 1m 2f- Outside, All other races – Inside

Weather Dry overnight. Forecast: Dry and settled, max daytime temps of 20c until Friday night. Saturday – Early morning showers (3mm) due to clear away by 11am, turning to a largely dry afternoon with just the threat of a light shower.

Doncaster / Sat 12 Sep
Updated @ Fri 11 Sep

Going/Track Good, Good to Firm in places (Good to Firm from 1mile to 7f on the straight) (GoingStick: 8.4 on Friday at 06:30)

Rails: Races returned to advertised distances on the round course. All railing out removed.

Stalls: Straight course Centre Round course Inside

Weather Forecast to remain Dry Friday. Heavy rain early hours Saturday morning.

Musselburgh / Sat 12 Sep
Updated @ Fri 11 Sep

Going/Track Good to Firm Watered (GoingStick: 7.9 on Thursday at 13:00)

Rails: The Bottom Bend moved out adding 10 yards to all races except 5f

Stalls: 5f and 2m Centre Remainder Inside

Watering: Watered Tuesday 7mm Wednesday 7mm Thursday 5mm

Weather Sunny calm Morning Friday – Lots of Sun and Dry 17c Saturday – Rain and Cloud 4mm clearing late morning then a afternoon of Sunny spells might catch the odd shower 15c

ICONS
* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURES

BATH 3-20

* – FREE TO LOVE….+13
T§ – EFFUSIVE….+12
DUSTY BLUE….+11
§* – PIXELEEN….+10
* – EDGED OUT….+10
T – CLOUDS REST….+8
STAR FIRE….+2
§* – LEAD A MERRY DANCE….+1
T – STOCKING….+/-0
§ – DAWN CATCHER….-25
T – RUBY’S DAY….-33

NOTES: A good race for Bath! I’ll go with rated horses 1, 2 and 4…dutch, a 20/80 PIXELEEN and exotics.

CHESTER 2-15

T§* – MIME DANCE….+11
§* – CLOCKMAKER….+10
§* – GABRIAL’S KAKA….+9
* – DUBAI DYNAMO….+8
§* – INTIWIN….+8
* – MARCRET….+7
* – KING TORUS….+7
§* – GREEN HOWARD….+5
DREAM WALKER….-1
* – JOHNNO….-1
* – CHOSEN CHARACTER….-7
T – JACK’S REVENGE….-13
TH – SPIRITING….-21

NOTES: My top three have ground and draw right and they are what counts at this place…dutch, 20/80 MIME DANCE and exotics.

CHESTER 4-00

T* – BERRAHRI….+9
* – SAVE THE BEES….-8
* – MFIFTYTHREEDOTCOM….-16
RESPONSE….-16
* – HYDRANT….-17
DANA’S PRESENT….-29
GABRIAL THE THUG….-31
MOONLIGHT VENTURE….-40
EMPRESS ALI….-40
COILLTE CAILIN….-40

NOTES: A weak looking race and I’ll go with my top three to October Rules

CHESTER 4-35

§ – STORM LIGHTNING….+15
§* – HOOFLALONG….+11
§* – MUTAFAAKIR….+8
* – TYFOS….+8
T§ – MOSSGO….+7
* – MARGRETS GIST….-4
* – PENSAX LAD….-10
* – APRICOT SKY….-14
* – I’LL BE GOOD….-16
* – KEEP IT DARK….-19
* – JEBEDIAH SHINE….-25

NOTES: I advised we laid HOOFALONG when he got beaten at short odds not so long ago and that was mainly because I thought his poor draw would stop him seeing the front….it did. Here he has a cracking good draw to work from and I see shades of Pontefract. If he hits the lids and gets the lead, he might be gone!

I’ll work with my top three, it’s HOOFALONG for the 20/80 and exotics.

DONCASTER 2-35

* – HIGHLAND ACCLAIM….+10
§* – FAST TRACK….+9
§* – INDESRIBABLE….+9
T§* – B FIFTY TWO….+9
H* – STEPS….+9
* – GEORGE DENTON….+8
* – ROBOT BOY….+8
T§* – LUCKY BEGGAR….+8
* – SUZI’S CONNOISSEUR….+8
* – KIMBRELLA….+5
§* – TANGERINE TREES….+/-0
* – WILLBEME….-3
DISTANT PAST….-5
* – PIPERS NOTE….-10
* – ANOTHER WISE KID….-13
* – ASHPAN SAM…-13
* – GRAN CNARIA QUEEN….-21
§ – BARNET FAIR….-24
§ – SECRETINTHEPARK….-26
BOGART….-27
T – HARRY HURRICANE….-40

NOTES: How tight does this look on the figures?

Three in my top four having the icons I like to work with and I’m dutching FAST TRACK, INDESCRIBABLE and B FIFTY TWO. My 20/80 again goes to the last named who was unlucky not to land me a 20/1 win recently.

Exotics same three but the winner could really be anything.

DONCASTER 4-20

CAPTAIN MORLEY….+10
* – KINEMA….+9
* – IGIDER….+8
* – HIT THE JACKPOT….+7
* – EMERALDHZ….+4
* – BLUE WAVE….-2
* – CROQUEMBOUCHE….-16

NOTES: Rated horses 2 & 3…dutch, a 20/80 KINEMA and an exotic.

DONCASTER 4-55

§* – BIRDMAN….+8
§* – YOURARTISONFIRE….+8
* – STARBOARD….+8
T* – BELGIAN BILL….+5
* – AZRAFF….+3
T§* – BRONZE ANGEL….+2
HE’S NO SAINT….-2
T§* – FIELD OF DREAM….-8
* – GOD WILLING….-8
AYAAR….-10
§* – ALFRED HUTCHINSON….-10
T – MAN OF HARLECH….-15
* – PERIL….-21
T – FIRE SHIP….-40

NOTES: top pair with BELGIAN BIL….a dutch, of course….20/80 BIRDMAN and exotics.

LINGFIELD 2-25

* – MYBOYALFIE….+1
* – OUTBACK RULER….-4
* – EJBAAR….-5
T* – ASSUALT ON ROME….-8
CAN’T CHANGE IT….-8
LUNA MOON….-9
* – ROGUE WAVE….-10
RUFFORD….-18
RAVENOUS….-30

NOTES: I’m not liking the look of either race here. Top three to October Rules in both cases.

LINGFIELD 3-35

* – LOLITA….+/-0
* – MEHRONISSA….-7
HOPE AND FAITH….-9
* – LINKS DRIVE LADY….-12
* – LADY HORATIA….-14
* – REFUSE COLETTE….-20
* – MUSICORA….-35
SELLARTA….-40

MUSSELBURGH 4-15

T* – PAVERS STAR….+9
T* – FINE AND DANDY….+9
§* – JUMBO STEPS….+9
§* – CHOOKIE’S LASS….+9
T§* – PERFECT WORDS….+8
T* – RED FOREVER….+8
T – ART WORLD….+5
YA BOY SIR….-10
* – OIL STRIKE….-13
§ – BERBICE….-24
CALYPSO MUSIC….-40
LITTLE BELTER….-40

NOTES; Three in my top six with those draw/ground icons, one of which has all three. A dutch that trio, the 20/80 goes to PERFECT WORDS and I’ll have the exotics, too.

MUSSELBURGH 4-50

* – HIDDEN REBEL….+13
T – ATLANTIC AFFAIR….+5
T – MIDNITE RIDE….-2
* – DARK CRYSTAL….-14
* – ALEXANDRAKOLLONTAI….-15
T – MARSH PRIDE….-16
T* – PAGEANT BELLE….-30

NOTES: The one horse that has been winking at me all morning is HIDDEN REBEL. I’m just have a good 20/80 that one.

MUSSELBURGH 6-55

* – TITUS BOLT….+9
* – NEUF DES COUERS….+8
T – DONNA GRACIOSA….+2
* – MERCHANT OF DUBAI….+/-0
T* – SAN CASSIANO….-9
* – BEIJING STAR….-13
ARCHIPELIGO….-25
NEW COLOURS….-40

NOTES; I’m just going with my top pair. Nothing flash…small stakes to my usual play.

MUSSELBURGH 7-25

* – OPT OUT….+12
T* – QAFFAL….+12
* – NELSON’S BAY….+12
T§* – JEBEL TARA….+12
§* – CIRCUITOUS….+8
T – ARTIST CRY….+2
§* – GYPSY MAJOR….-5
AZRUR….-5
T§* – RISK ‘N’ REWARD….-8
T* – LOPITA DE VEGA….-9
T* – SLATERELLO….-15
T – WINK OLIVER….-26

NOTES: A beauty to finish with. I’ll have rated horses 2, 4 and 5…dutch, 20/80 JEBEL TARA, who has been sparkling of late, and exotics.

Have a brilliant day and the best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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