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Today’s Ratings and Advice 10/09/15

Ron RobinsonEverything went superbly yesterday. Two very nice winners punted in BASHIBA and VENUTIUS at prices those that punted them will be more than pleased with, and SILVER RIME running home 2nd @ 33/1 in my dutch….close but no cigar there!

We do have a band of weather coming back to potentially ruin the weekend…let’s hope “they” are wrong!

TODAY

Busy….it seems we have a lull after the weekend right now, slowly building up again from Thursday onwards and we have nine races to work with this afternoon.

Best I crack on if this is to go out by 7-15am!

ASSUMPTIONS:

Chepstow / Thu 10 Sep

Going/Track Good to Firm, Good in places(GoingStick: 7.9 on Tuesday at 05:30)

Stalls: 5f to 1m Centre 1m4f Inside

Weather Forecast: Dry with sunny spells on Wednesday,max temp 17C. Dry and sunny on Thursday, max 21C.

Doncaster / Thu 10 Sep

Going/Track Good(GoingStick: 7.7 on Wednesday at 06:45)

Rails: The round course will be railed out from 1M2F until theround meets the straight adding about 9 yards to races1M2F and 1M6F

Stalls: Straight course Stands side Round course Inside

Weather 5th September light rain 1mm of rainfall 6th September Dry 7th September Dry 8th September light drizzle AM Forecast Wednesday to remain dry .Temperatures expected to rise Thursday

Epsom Downs / Thu 10 Sep

Going/Track Good, Good to Soft in places in Home Straight(GoingStick: 7.0 on Wednesday at 12:00)

Rails: Rail will be dolled out over last week’s ground from 1m 2f towinning post, adding 30 yards to races of 1m+, 17 yards to 7fand 9 yards to 6f.

Stalls: 6f – Outside 1m 4f – Centre Remainder – Inside

Weather Dry week expected with temperatures climbing slowly as the weekprogresses – rising to 21 degrees by Thursday. Cool nights with heavy dews.

ICONS
* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURES

CHEPSTOW 4-00

§* – GENERAL BROOK….+11
§* – OUR QUEENIE….+10
* – DREAM IMPOSSIBLE….+9
§ – PRIM AND PROPER….-1
* – PALADIN….-2
SAINT POIS….-11
T – NIBLAWI….-14
T* – TELLOVOI….-15
T§ – NICE THOUGHTS….-21
MYWAYALWAYS….-26
T – HANNO….-40

NOTES: I’ll go top three for the lot – dutch, 20/80 GENERAL BROOK and exotics.

CARLISLE 4-35

* – GOLD CLUB….+14
§* – COOL STRUTTER….+12
FYRECRACKER….+8
* – DEEDS NOT WORDS….+8
§ – BE BOLD….+8
JAGANORY….-2
* – CORPORAL MADDOX….-5
* – DIVINE CALL….-14
§ – VINCENTTI….-23
§ – ARCHIE STEVENS….-31
PHARMECEUTICAL….-38
INDIAN AFFAIR….-40

NOTES: I’m going with rated horses 1, 2 and 4…dutch, the 20/80 going to COOL STRUTTER and exotics.

CHEPSTOW 5-10

NINEPOINTSIXTHREE….+9
KINGSTON MIMOSA….+4
CAMELEY DAWN….-3
DUKE OF SONNING….-21
MR BISSTO….-25
NORISAN….-30
HALLINGS COMET….-40
WESTERN BELLA….-40
WOLF OF WINDLESHAM….-40

NOTES: With no previous winner on the ground they have today, I’ll leave this be.

CHEPSTOW 5-45

POYLE SOPHIE….+15
* – ZENAFIRE….+11
RING EYE….+9
* – LADY PERCY….-2
IMPULSIVE AMERICAN….-13
MEXICAN MICK….-13
FAIR COMMENT….-25
MIDTECH STAR….-25
ARTESANA….-40

NOTES: My figures more or less mirror the handicap proper and my top rated is a short priced favourite to do the business. Not a race that is grabbing my attention to be quite honest but with just four runs on the board, the trainer having employed a jockey who is 2-2 for him here it’ll be no shock if she wins cosy….but neither will it be if she doesn’t.

DONCASTER 4-15

* – CALIFORNIA….+9
* – ROXY STAR….+9
T* – MARGARET’S MISSION….-6
ENERGIA FOX….-9
* – ABBEY ANGEL….-13
* – YANKEE MAIL….-16
T – CORNISH PATH….-22
T* – LISAMOUR….-27
YODELLING….-30
HAALAN….-40
GOLD SANDS….-40

NOTES: A 3-y-o having raced just once tops my numbers and, as we know, such horses are effectively impossible to rate accurately so, for such a horse to top my figures is “interesting”. I’m going to work with my top three for everything but using my top rated as a banker….straight win that one, too.

DONCASTER 4-50

HALATION….+13
* – QUICK WIT….+10
T* – ELKAAYED….+9
BLUE WALTZ….-2
T* – ANGELIC UPSTART….-11
EDUCATE….-14
DON’T STARE….-15
* – GRANDEUR….-20
T – FORGOTTEN HERO….-21
OFF ART….-40

NOTES: I’m not sure I like the look of this race but I have three at the top having rated + and I’ll dutch, have my 20/80 ELKAAYED because of that brace of icons, and set up exotics, too.

DONCASTER 6-00

* – DUKE OF COSIMO….+9
CANYARI….+8
T§* – STONEFIELD FLYER….+8
§* – SEEKING MAGIC….+8
T* – TAGULA NIGHT….+2
* – MESHARDAL….+1
* – WHOZTHECAT….+/-0
§* – SAVANNAH BEAU….+/-0
§* – SUNRAIDER….-2
* – SEE THE STORM….-2
* – REX IMPERATOR….-3
* – MASTER BOND….-3
JAN VAN HOOF….-5
* – PENNINE WARRIOR….-5
§* – SOUL BROTHER….-7
* – SINGEUR….-9
REGAL DAN….-18
RUN WITH PRIDE….-21
§ – MISSISSIPPI….-22
§ – VALLARTA….-27
T – STRATEGIC FORCE….-29

NOTES: Lovely….from a stats and ratings point of view rated horses 1, 2 and 3 will be as good a way to play this as any but because of draw and ground I’ll drop CANYARI and bring in SEEKING MAGIC.

Dutch rated horses 1, 2 and 4, a 20/80 STONEFIELD FLYER and exotics.

EPSOM 3-15

* – EASY TIGER….+12
* – LIVE DANGEROUSLY….+9
* – DR RED EYE….+2
* – CRICKLEWOOD GREEN….-12
* – FEELING EASY….-20
ARC CARA….-32
ROUGE NUAGE….-40
SPIRITUAL STAR….-40
CALIMA BREEZE….-40
ANASTAZIA….-40

NOTES: Half of the field are 3-y-o’s and one of them tops my figures so I’ll play the numbers as they have fallen. Dutch, 20/80 EASY TIGER and exotics….low stakes though.

EPSOM 5-00

* – ESSAKA….+11
T§* – ARMELLE….+8
* – HIPZ….+8
* – BIRDIE QUEEN….-7
H§ – HARWOODS STAR….-8
TIDAL’S BABY….-16
§ – SATCHVILLE FLYER….-17
BLUE BOUNTY….-20
§ – PICANSORT….-26
PRINCE REGAL….-32
MAYMYMO….-32

NOTES: Top three all winners on today’s ground, another 3-y-o topping my numbers and that trio the only ones having obtained a + figure….I’ll play as I am that race directly above.

Have a brilliant day and the best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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