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Today’s Ratings and Advice 17/08/15

Ron RobinsonThe “proper” racing this week starts on Wednesday and the forthcoming York meeting is my favourite of the entire season. I love the place and my most enjoyable days racing came there.

I’m confused….not difficult. The ground was officially declared good at Pontefract before racing, with temperatures set up to dry it a bit. So, I’m reading the race write up for the first of my rated races yesterday and that suggests it was soft?

The words used are, “…and that enabled HEADLINE NEWS to pounce under conditions that suit her”….”the winner ideal likes conditions on the soft side”….soft?

Connections of the winner are quoted as saying, “conditions today suited her”.

Her profile is that of one that does prefer a bit of dig.

However, we then saw that one I mentioned in my notes for the second rated race, BE LUCKY, who profile was very much one that needed it to dry out a bit, win his race.

Officially it had dried out a bit, good, good to firm in places and that horse winning would support that so I’m thinking they had hair driers on it from 3-00pm onwards!

TODAY

I enjoyed my day with family yesterday and I’d say we earned our dinner with that 90 minute walk through the Wirral forests!

Back to work today though and this morning I’ll be responding to e-mails received whilst I was away from my office yesterday.

ASSUMPTIONS:

Thirsk / Mon 17 Aug
Updated @ Sun 16 Aug

Going/Track Good to Soft, Soft in Places (GoingStick: 7.0 on Friday at 13:00)

Rails: Rail dolled-out on both bends to utilise fresh ground adding circa 10 yards to the standard distances for races over 7F and 8F starts, and circa 15 yards to the standard distances for 1M4F start.

Stalls: Straight Course & 1M4F: Stands’ Side Round Course: Inside

Weather 25mm rain through Friday 14 Aug. Now forecast fair through to racing.

Windsor / Mon 17 Aug
Updated @ Mon 17 Aug

Going/Track Good. Updated Going Stick reading to follow later. (GoingStick: 7.4 on Sunday at 10:00)

Rails: Inner of Straight is at normal inner configuration at 6f and dolled out 2yds at the Winning Line. Top bend dolled out 8yds from normal inner configuration, adding 27yds to race distances of 1m+.

Stalls: 1m 2f abt 7yds and 1m 3f abt 135 yds:- centre. Remainder:- inside.

Weather 0.6mm rainfall Tuesday evening. 1.2mm rainfall overnight Tues/Weds. 0.2mm rainfall overnight Weds/Thurs. 6.4mm rainfall Thursday. 6.0mm rainfall Friday. Dry overnight. Monday:- dry with sunny intervals 21c.

ICONS

* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURESTHIRSK 3-40

§ – INGLEBY HOLLOW….+8
* – AMAZING BLUE SKY….+8
* – A LITTLE BIT DUSTY….+1
* – PATAVIUM….-5
§ – YOUONLYLIVEONCE….-11
§ – NEWGATE PRINCESS….-13
§ – RONALD GEE….-16
ON A PAR….-18
CHERRY PRINCESS….-21
DALBY SPOOK….-25
PINOTAGE….-29
SPOKESPERSON….-30
SPIRIT OF THE SEA….-31
§ – MIDTECH STAR….-32
§ – LACERTA….-38
§ – CHOCOLATE DIAMOND….-39
CHRISTMAS LIGHT….-40

NOTES: All those well drawn have no winning form on this ground and, vice versa….conundrum then.

I’m going to work to my top three to October Rules.

THIRSK 4-10

* – DUBAI HILLS….+11
* – OUR BOY JACK….+10
* – TRAIL BLAZE….+8
* – SOPHISTICATED HEIR….-5
* – LIL SOPHELLA….-8
TRINITY STAR….-10
FAVOURITE TREAT….-11
ABUSHMAH….-14
TELLOVOI….-17
WOODY BAY….-19
MY SINGLE MALT….-20
RELIGHT MY FIRE….-20

NOTES: I have a good feeling about OUR BOY JACK but just one win on this kind of ground, from 21 attempts, one win at this trip from 14 pops at it and one win from 10 previous visits to Thirsk, you have to think stats are against!

I’ll work with my top three, again to small stakes and we’ll see if the numbers come up trumps.

THIRSK 5-10

§* – CRUISE TOTHELIMIT….+11
* – ANCIENT CROSS….+11
§ – STRAITS OF MALACCA….+9
§* – FLASH CITY….+8
§ – BEST TRIP….+8
BRONZE BEAU….+6
ETERNITYS GATE….+5
* – GOWANHARRY….+5
MONEY TEAM….-1
* – RYLEE MOOCH….-2
§* – KEEP IT DARK….-3
§* – JACK LUEY….-4
H* – LADWEB….-7
§* – SECRET ASSET….-15
CAPTAIN ROYALE….-19
ONE BOY….-28
SPACE ARTIST….-39
FREDERICKA….-40
DREESE….-40

NOTES: My top rated is the only runner here with the three ticks….in the dutch and, as also well drawn, gets the 20/80. Its a poor race despite numbers and i’ll trust the figures and icons to drag a few bits of profit….rated horses 1, 2 and 4….dutch, that 20/80 and exotics.

WINDSOR 7-05

T – TRIXIE MALONE….+2
LADY MARL….-7
BELLA LULU….-12
* – ROSALIE BONHEUR….-13
POSTBAG….-19
ISABELLE BIRD….-20
HAALAN….-29
STOSUR….-40

NOTES: All the punting appeal of an invitation to watch that Stoke Liverpool game that concluded last season. I’ll pass.

WINDSOR 8-05

T* – DALMARELLA DANCER….+9
* – CHORAL FESTIVAL….+/-0
LORAINE….-8
IF I WERE A BOY….-12
KALON BRAMA….-14
L GE R….-21
LILY EGDE….-22
H – BROUGHTONS BERRY….-32

NOTES: I’m just going straight win my top rated.

Have a brilliant day and the best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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