Today I’ll be looking at Newbury….although the last three races on that card look cut and dried. The opener is an apprentice race and I’d be thinking SWENDAB will give you an e.w. run for your money.
You then have a couple of juvenile races to play with and whilst I have posted up BASMA as a 20/80 in the 7-05 I do know they think an awful lot of TAWAYNA and the rumour is that by the autumn she could be top class.
The 7-40 keep to those drawn middle – stalls 5-9 – I had initially considered PLANTATION having the potential to go well on debut for a top yard but now I would have to suggest ALEEF, again e.w. but neither race would be played to anything but fun money staking levels.
Frank/John…I’ll be sure to work on the meetings at Doncaster and Carlisle for you.
When you look at the rated races below you’ll see just how many 3-y-o’s are now tackling all aged handicaps and with small fields very much an issue right now I will simply just be monitoring them until I personally am happy to get my feet wet.
When they top my figures they are, of course, more interesting than those that do not. Keep an eye on them.
What has not been lost on me that races in which a draw bias has been spotted up are proving to be the ones we should be concentrating on. That, of course, will not be an issue when we have field sizes such as those on offer today.
Epsom Downs / Thu 02 Jul
Updated @ Wed 01 Jul
Going/Track Good, Good to Firm in places (GoingStick: 8.2 on Wednesday at 13:30)
Rails: Rail on innermost (Derby) configuration with all distances as advertised.
Stalls: 6f – Outside 1m 4f – Centre Remainder – Inside
Watering: Selective watering(3mm) of quicker ground in back straight Wednesday morning.
Weather Dry and increasingly warm to middle of the week with 34 degrees possible Wednesday. Chance of showers/thunderstorms on Thursday morning. 26/27 degrees Thursday.
Haydock Park / Thu 02 Jul
Updated @ Wed 01 Jul
Going/Track Good to Firm, Watering (GoingStick: 9.4 on Wednesday at 06:30)
Rails: All races will run on the Inside Home Straight. Allowing for rail position, race distances are as follows: 6f 7f 1yd 1m 1yd 1m 2f 96yds 1m 6f 1yd
Stalls: Centre: 6f and 1m2f Inside: 7f, 1m and 1m6f
Watering: We are putting on 6mm of irrigation on Wednesday morning.
Weather 2mm of rain over Saturday night. Dry since Sunday. Forecast warm and dry except for chance of thundery showers on Wednesday evening. Max temperatures 30 deg C.
Newbury / Thu 02 Jul
Updated @ Wed 01 Jul
Going/Track Good to Firm, Good in places (Watered) (GoingStick: 6.8 on Wednesday at 15:45)
Rails: Rail will be moved out from the 8f to 5f 2m. All round course races will be 7yds longer
Stalls: Inside rail Round course Stand Rail Straight course
WeatherLast 24hrs 0.3mm Wednesday Dry and sunny cloudy later risk of showers Max 30 Thursday Dry and sunny risk of showers max 26
* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)
T* – MAY BE SOME TIME….+3
* – JUPITER STORM….-9
* – LEAH FREYA….-9
* – THECORNISHCOWBOY….-17
* – HURRICANE VOLTA….-21
T – MAGNOLIA RIDGE….-40
NOTES: The only race today that does not have 3-y-o’s participating. My top rated will enjoy the genuine good ground and is currently 3-9 on this kind of surface. I just hope they’ve watered sufficiently to maintain it. Previous success at Epsom is always handy and with 1-4 on the CV, I am happy to play this one straight win. Only 1-6 at the trip is something that causes a little concern but that came last time we saw him and with winning form over hurdles it’s nothing that is going to cause me to waver on the straight win.
If you take away two unsuccessful runs on all weather surfaces he’s a very consistent horse, 36 runs under rules (flat/NH), have seen him win and place 14 times and that’s bolstering confidence. Only if it went good to firm would I pull out of betting here.
The form figures of my top rated on that quicker surface read: 7, 3, 8, 3, 6, 2, 8, 3, and whilst he’s still capable of producing a performance it’s clearly not his preferred.
DUTCH – MAY BE SOME TIME, JUPITER STORM, LEAH FREYA
STRAIGHT WIN – MAY BE SOME TIME
EXOTICS – MAY BE SOME TIME, JUPITER STORM, LEAH FREYA
* – ISEEMIST….+2
T* – HOPES N DREAMS….+/-0
T* – SUPPLICANT….-13
* – MUFALLET….-25
H – BANDITRY….+/-0
* – DANDY….-10
* – KAFEEL….-13
IF I WERE A BOY….-17
T – TRIPLE DIP….-21
* – TYCHAIOS….-25
GOOD LUCK CHARM….-31
* – OUTER SPACE….-39
T – STAR OF THE STAGE….-40
EAST COAST LADY….-40
T – SUBVERSIVE….-40
NOTES: This highlights why I’m “trepidatious” about playing races containing 3-y-o’s right now. I cannot get a handle on them at all in this race and yet two of them, PHARMACEUTICAL and SUBVERSIVE are clear at the head of the current Betfair tissue. My top rated is third best in the market and right now I simply have to just monitor them.
* – KING OF PARADISE….-18
T – THE WAY YOU DANCE….-30
* – FERDY….-40
IT’S ONLY BUSINESS….-40
T – GOODBY INHERITANCE….-40
H – ARCHIE….+3
* – BIRDMAN….-1
* – FLOW….-6
* – FINN CLASS….-14
* – SIMPLY SHINING….-20
* – STELLARTA….-9
* – MOLLY DOLLY….-11
* – GEN I AM….-12
CAIUS COLLEGE GIRL….-40
Have a brilliant day and the best of luck