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Today’s Ratings and Advice 01/07/15

Ron RobinsonWe came mighty close to a couple of massive priced winners in the OF INTEREST section yesterday.

AYR OF ELEGANCE ran a blinder at 100/1 to finish second and, in the opener at Chepstow BEAR FACED came home second @ 50/1.

The rated races were best described as “motley”. It was awful racing yesterday with seven of those rated races the lowest grade you will find (Class 6). We had four just one class above and a lone Class 4 race at Hamilton, which was won by the horse wearing first time head gear.

As the non-runners came flying in, the ground drying out very quickly everywhere, I put the sun loungers out in the garden and simply let it all happen.

After the third race at Brighton we witnessed no fewer than seven non-runners from my three rated races from 4-00pm onwards, one of those becoming a four runner race.

Four of my top six rated in the 4-30 there were pulled but the other pair finished 1st and 3rd. No pleasure at all was gleaned from that.

On such days it really is best doing something else and it gave more credence to the argument of those that suggest we have far to much racing and far to many bad horses in training.

To give you some idea as to how impossible that all was I’ll take a few races in isolation.

The Brighton 2-30 saw HI EMPRESS win its first ever race, in a first time hood, on debut for its new trainer….it beat one of those 3-y-o’s a neck into second.

I have never rated a race as bad as that 4-00 there. My top rated was pulled out and the five 3-y-o’s in there filled the first five places.

We had just seven of the 11 runners I worked with going to post and it was a wholly different race from the one I had figures for. It was won by a horse that had finished 11th of 14 on it’s last run, the Stewards asked about the improvement and the trainers representative cited improvement came from first time cheek pieces. Now I note first time headgear and I’m sure this horse has worn them before….I’ll be checking!

With the 3-y-o’s out in force at Hamilton I didn’t even look at the results until last night. My second highest rated horse that carried the two icons §* won it from a youngster, 12/1 and the Hamilton figures this term have been superbly accurate.

The two 3-y-o’s in the 3-15 finished 1st and 2nd with my top rated horse in 3rd….they were actually the top three rated horses so again, this meeting was proving good for the figures. I am reading that place spot on this season, the draw bias I have there highlighted by the result of that 5-15pm. I felt middle drawn were very well favoured in that one and the first three home came from the right place.

Roll on the next meeting there.

Chepstow….6-40…we saw three of this lot taken out and it went to a horse winning for the first time on turf. The second home has won once from 31 turf runs and the horse that finished 3rd…the favourite….was having it’s 10th race on turf and was placing for just the third time.

That was what we were dealing with yesterday.

TODAY

Take a look at the card on offer at Bath. Then turn the page.

I have produced figures for four races at Thirsk and they forecast good to firm. I will be stunned if the word good is anywhere to be seen by the time racing starts.

The sun loungers are still set up and, because all races include 3-y-o’s, I’ll be watching only, once the sun sets.

We have much better racing on offer tomorrow and hopefully they’ll water enough to give us good to firm, which will be ideal and we’ll be able to work with that. Newbury…my favourite track, Haydock and Epsom….much better!

ASSUMPTIONS:

Bath / Wed 01 Jul
Updated @ Tue 30 Jun

Going/Track Firm (GoingStick: 10.2 on Monday at 07:30)

Stalls: 1m, 1m2f & 1m3f – Inside 5f, 5.5f & 2m1f – Centre 1m 5f – Outside

Weather 2mm Sunday No rain overnight Forecast: Tues-Weds – Dry outlook with warm sunny periods Max temps 24C

Thirsk / Wed 01 Jul
Updated @ Tue 30 Jun

Going/Track

Good to Firm (Watering) (GoingStick: 9.4 on Tuesday at 14:00)

Rails: Home (wood) bend dolled out approximately 7 yards on to fresh ground, adding circa 20 yards to the standard distances of the 7F, 1M & 2M starts.

Stalls: Straight Course: Stands’ Side 7F Start: Inside 1M Start: Centre 2M Start: Centre

Watering: Watering to hold Good to Firm.

Weather Very warm and breezy; long periods of strong sunshine during the day; risk of isolated thunderstorms developing through Wednesday evening.

ICONS

* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURES

THIRSK 3-00

§* – DIVERTIMENTI….+8
§* – BOGSNOG….+3
§* – SUNRISE DANCE….-5
* – LORIMER’S LOT….-8
EUXTON….-16
§ – CAPTAIN SCOOBY….-22
POPPY IN THE WIND….-22
§ – ELLA’S DELIGHT….-22
GAELIC WIZARD….-23
ADIATOR….-23
SPOWARTICUS….-29
SINGING STAR….-35
SEKURAS GIRL….-39

THIRSK 3-30

§* – SIGNORINA ROSEINA….+19
§* – WHITE FLAG….+11
* – RED CAPE….+8
§* – SECRET CITY….+3
* – LE LATIER….-9
* – YPRES….-19
* – BINKY BLUE….-30
* – A. J. COOK….-30
LITTLE CHOOSEY….-33
DIATOMIC….-40
T§ – HARDY BLACK….-40
WALK RIGHT BACK….-40

THIRSK 4-30

* – IT MUST BE FAITH….+2
* – VALLARTA….-9
* – AMBITIOUS ICARUS….-13
* – REX IMPERATOR….-15
T* – GREEB….-15
FENDALE….-22
KENNY THE CAPTAIN….-23
STEELRIVER….-23

THIRSK 5-30

§* – TANAWAR….+8
* – PUMAFLOR….+2
* – KUNG HEI FAT CHOY….+1
§* – WHO’S SHIRL….-6
§ – QAFFAAL….-7
* – IMPERATOR AUGUSTUS….-10
CADEAUX….-15
§ – MR GATSBY….-18
MILLKWOOD….-23
§ – JAY KAY….-23
LONE STAR BOY….-26
VECHEKA….-34
GREY DESTINY….-35
TESTING….-40

Have a brilliant day and the best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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