Old school performance, exc. dutches which, in the past, I have found impossible to turn an LSP (the fairest performance representation).
1/312 tricasts 1872pts staked, loss of -£1790pts. Still just the one tri, given 2 in first week or so of April, during ‘watching brief’
58/430 CSF’s 2580pt staked (2108pts (1872+236) if only 2 bets for <7 runners), -37.3pt/-40.1pts. NB CSFS in races <8 runners but not rated 1&2
£84.01/£111.60, £64.97/£104.50, £60.35/£83.50, £65/£57.80, £223.81/160.70, £486/329, £87.63/97, £62.93/63.4, £60.69/170.40, £67.46/58.20, £62.78/70.80, £73/79.70, £138.14/£116.40
Avoid until right minimum return forecast, c£200 tricast, £60/£70 CSF/exacta (although not all 6 CSF combinations will produce that, it may be worth holding off until they do, to reduce number of bets further, although that carries the obvious risk)
Borne out by current performance, and would apply to dutching as well, where the SR is around 34-36% on avg over the years. That would look for around 150-200% return as a minimum to avoid losses
NB, there will be races that end up with just 4 runners, ergo no CSF, so the total no. of races may be fewer than that for top/bottom rated