Got back to the people at Bay TV and advised I’ll be happy to do that TV Grand National thing next Tuesday morning, contacted a few companies in the Merseyside area that I hope will support the Sensory Garden project, responded to a few e-mails, prepped Musselburgh for tomorrow, cooked a beef in ale stew, and never even put the TV on in my office to watch a single race.
I did though watch a replay of a race run at York in July last year as I wanted to be doubly sure I would be right in even suggesting this horse might win a 2000Gns….more below.
Sometimes you need a day or two like that to clear the mind.
Have you seen the front cover of today’s Racing Post?
They have a terrific picture of the last fence unseating of Mr L Ferguson, who was riding the odds on favourite in the Hunter Chase at Wincanton. Spectacular is the word!
The race was then handed on a plate to old timer Coombe Hill, 14, who was winning it for the third consecutive season.
Getting the horses from the top yards beaten in this race is darned difficult. Even when a big priced one goes in, as was the case last year, it’s most likely coming from those stables you tend to assume will be saddling it up….O’Brien, Gosden, Hannon. They currently dominate the head of the market and those horses currently occupying the first five places on the tissue are obviously seriously good.
I’m thinking things might be about to change.
The people in charge of Qatar racing have come in and are supporting trainers up and down the country. They are responsible for two, Elm park and Flaming Spear, very prominent in the betting but still behind those from the stables “most likely to succeed”.
Andrew Balding trains the first of those and he’s clearly smart, unbeaten in four runs since getting beaten on debut last year, one of those wins being the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy.
It may be though, their best horse is currently residing in Yorkshire….FLAMING SPEAR.
This one made it’s debut on July 12th last year, a 12 runner Median Auction event for which he went off the 11/10 favourite. They obviously anticipated a big run as Kevin Ryan went to the bother of booking the best, Ryan Moore,
The horse duly obliged, winning very impressively by nearly three lengths, the second horse having just over four lengths between it and the third horse. He was then put away and not sighted since.
It wouldn’t have been the best race ever run on the Knavesmire but the 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th horse all won afterwards….even the horse that finished last, beaten 28 lengths is now on a hat-trick, having won it’s last two on the Lingfield all weather.
Richard Fahey was responsible for four of the 12 runners that day and all four won races afterwards.
It was the way FLAMING SPEAR won the race that grabbed me though. He’s clearly exceptionally good and whilst we’ll all know more after the Greenham, his first target this season, I’m happy to be on ante-post and 20/1 Ladbrokes have up has been taken e.w.
One that might make the trip over from France runs in today’s Prix Djebel (Maisons-Laffitte 1-20)…MAKE BELIEVE….could be smart and Fabre seems to think he’s his “most likely”.
ITINERARY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
FRIDAY – Full ratings and advice for Musselburgh
SATURDAY – The name of the second horse I have on my 2000Gns shortlist
SUNDAY – Full ratings and advice for Musselburgh
MONDAY – Full ratings and advice for Redcar
TUESDAY – Doing a TV thing in Liverpool
WEDNESDAY – Full ratings and advice for Catterick and Nottingham
Then it’s the Aintree Festival and I’ll be providing ratings and profiling for those three days plus full ratings for all flat racing.
I’ll be making sure I have the answers to the questions I’ll be asked when I’m in those studios next Tuesday. The Musselburgh figures for Friday will be double checked, and I will be helping the Clatterbridge League of Friends JustGiving page is set up so they can then get busy promoting the Sensory Garden Project.
I will also be looking at the other one I like for the 2000Gns and will be discussing that one on Saturday.
A bit more speculative for sure but it will only take an early season win to see this one’s price halving.
On Monday, May 4th I will commence a new service.
I have been promising for a while now to have www.tippedtolose.co.uk up and running and on that day it will be up and live.
The last year has been me getting back to something like full health and many of the things I wanted to do simply couldn’t be done because for the majority of my day I resembled a maraca, so many tablets were going down my neck. I believe I also seriously underestimated exactly what had happened to me!
As the dose was lowered I have had wobbly moments, that’s for sure but now I’m down to eight from what seemed a million at one point. Gone from weekly to monthly bloods and my main concern now is shifting this weight that has built up because of the steroids….that should be a laugh!
By the end of April, I will be down to just three and trust me, that’s a milestone!
Anyway, tippedtolose….I know a few of you are seriously looking forward to working with this, especially after the performance demonstrated in the year before the legs disappeared!
I was going to have it as part of the Post Racing site but I’m now thinking it has to be wholly separate. It will be its own entity. If laying horses is your thing, I believe you’ll enjoy this.
I will, each day, be using my figures to provide you with bad favourites we can look to get stuck into. I make more profit from laying horses than I do betting them and have for a fair few years now used my numbers for this purpose. I’m hoping to beat that figure of 36 (I think it was), consecutive favourites laid and beaten, over the course of a season.