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Today’s Free Rated Race 18/04/15

Ron RobinsonI expect nothing from either of the two races being run at my favourite racecourse today. That doesn’t mean we won’t get something, as the figures have been just plain weird so far this month!
Only my top rated has winning form at Newbury although 10 of them have never raced here before. Of those 10 the most interesting has to be the very lightly raced SPARK PLUG, who is unbeaten when racing on this ground and also 2-2 over a mile. He has won on seasonal debut on each of the two seasons he has raced but is simply impossible to rate higher off the back of just five runs. He has a prime draw (if I am reading this correctly), and his trainer is 3-6 with his runners on turf in April….another ran second. Brian Meehan is actually 3-5 in the last four days.
HIGHLAND COLORI is also interesting having also nailed a good draw to run from. His form on seasonal debut, from age four, is decent enough….2, 4, 4 and his trainer too has started the new season well enough, 10 runners on turf in April providing three winners.
Lincoln winner GABRIAL has copped for a draw I consider 2nd best….I do not want a low box….and his “match fitness” obviously entitles him to run well.

They would be my three against this field at this point in the season.

ASSUMPTIONS:

  • Newbury / Sat 18 Apr
    Updated @ Fri 17 Apr

    Going/Track

    Good to firm good in places (GoingStick: 7.8 on Friday at 07:30)

    Rails: Rails are positioned so that all the round course distances are 12yds longer than standard.

    Stalls: Centre of course straight course inside rail round course.

    Watering: We will water overnight with 3mm to maintain 5f straight course

  • Weather

    Last 24hrs Dry Forecast: Fri Dry sunny spells Max 14c Sat Dry sunny spells Max 14c

  • Nottingham / Sat 18 Apr
    Updated @ Fri 17 Apr

    Going/Track

    Good to Firm (watered) (GoingStick: 9.2 on Thursday at 07:00)

    Rails: Inner track. Rail stepped out 2m on Home bend increasing circuit length by 6 yards.

    Stalls: 5f – stands side; 1m centre; Remainder – inside

    Watering: Watering as necessary to maintain Good to Firm ground. 8mm applied Thursday. A further 8mm will be applied through Friday.

  • Weather

    Friday is expected to remain dry with a few bright spells. Saturday is forecast to be sunny and breezy with temperatures of around 13C.

  • Thirsk / Sat 18 Apr
    Updated @ Fri 17 Apr

    Going/Track

    Good, Good to Firm in Places (GoingStick: 9.0 on Friday at 15:00)

    Stalls: Round Course: Inside 1m 4f Start: Stands’Side Straight Course: Stands’Side

  • Weather

    Fair & sunny outlook.

ICONS

* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURES

NEWBURY 3-25

BOOM AND BUST….+12
* – BRONZE ANGEL….+10
§ – PEARL ICE….+8
T* – GABRIAL….+8
§* – HIGHLAND COLORI….+8
* – BROWNSEA BRINK….+6
DREAM SPIRIT….+4
§* – EXCELLENT GUEST….+2
§* – SPARK PLUG….+1
* – RED AVENGER….-4
§H* – TEOLAGI….-8
AYAAR….-12
* – SECRET ART….-12
§* – MISTER MUSIC….-15
T§ – LOVING SPIRIT….-16
E – ELEMRAAN….-21
JACK’S REVENGE….-21
* – BIG BAZ….-22
§ – EXAMINER….-23
* – BRAZOS….-25
BUCKSTAY….-33
FRUIT PASTILLE….-40
T – SANTEFISIO….-40

Have a great day

Kindest regards

Ron

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