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Today’s Free Rated Race 05/04/15

Ron RobinsonVery much still in “watching mode” my best advice is going to be to keep an eye on how things go for a week or two more yet, before passing money over to the layers.

The best race today is without doubt the 2-55pm but with race fitness very much a question mark and so few of the runners there today wanting soft ground to race on, you’d be swerving that, too.

ASSUMPTIONS:

  • Musselburgh / Sun 05 Apr
    Updated @ Sat 04 Apr

    Going/Track

    Soft (GoingStick: 5.1 on Saturday at 10:00)

    Rails: The stand rail is out from the inner adding 9 yards on to all round races The bottom Bend Rail is out from the inner adding 9 yards on to all races except 5f

    Stalls: 5f and 2m Stands Side Remainder Inside

  • Weather

    2mm in last 24 hours Dry from 1pm yesterday Cloudy Calm Morning Saturday – Early Cloud clearing to Sunny spells dry 12c Sunday – Sunny Spells Dry Milder 13c

ICONS

* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
§ – Indicates best drawn
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)

FINAL FIGURES

MUSSELBURGH 1-50

T* – INDIAN GIVER….+9
RIOJA DAY….-1
T – MONTE CASSINO….-17
GALILLEE CHAPEL….-26
NELSON’S BAY….-34
T – CHIEF EXECUTIVE….-34
T – PROSTATE AWARENESS….-40
T – KEENE’S POINTE….-40
TH – ORIENTAL DREAM….-40

NOTE: A horse clear top rated bearing those T* icons that proved profitable during the winter (the icons….not the horse!).

INDIAN GIVER is the only previous winner on soft ground, taking part this afternoon. The rest have tried 18 times between them and not managed it.

However, it should be pointed out that my top rated has managed it only once from eight attempts (May 2012), on it so whether you take it as gospel she does actually handle it, is very much up to you. Personally, I’d be thinking quicker ground suits best, her other two wins coming on good ground and her form figures on anything slower since that win  – 5-8, 13-15, 8-11, 8-9, 6-11 – indicating to me it’s not floating her boat.

However, she’s arriving here match fit, the rest probably bark and come when called and she’s as likely as anything to win here.

Still wouldn’t touch this Class 6 using a 20ft barge pole myself.

Have a great day

Kindest regards

Ron

About Ron Robinson

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