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Today’s Ratings and Advice 22/03/15

Ron RobinsonI hope you were as selective as me yesterday.

Yesterday you will recall me mentioning how much I love working with racing at Newbury. Yesterday was proof as to why.

This is how all 17 races worked….or didn’t!

BANGOR 2-25

* – BENZANNO….+11
* – RESTRAINT OF TRADE….+8
* – TIDAL WAY….+5
HAWDYERWHEESHT….-15
EDDIE MAURICE….-30
RULER OF ALL….-40

MY PLAY – Top two…dutch, 20/80 BENZANNO and exotics.

RESULT – I keep allowing those McCain horses to mug me, don’t I! He has had a poor season, has Gingers lad but he spoke a lot of sense in midweek regarding the state of NH racing up north.

I’ll be looking to do a piece on that now that I’ve decided I’ll be doing no more website work!

BANGOR 3-00

* – LUCKY LANDING….-8 – 2ND 10/1
A TALE OF INTRIGUE….-14
T – SEAN AIRGEAD….-20
* – LAC SACRE….-20 – 3RD 11/2
POPAFLORA….-22
TH* – OHIO GOLD….-27
* – MINELLAFORFITNESS….-35
RUSSBOROUGH….-39
ROC D’APSIS….-40
FREE WORLD….-40
T – FRECKLE FACE….-40

MY PLAY – I’m thinking this is best left to October Rules or nowt. If I do play it’s rated horses 1, 3 and 4, simply because they have an icon and the top one would get the 20/80.

RESULT – I left this one alone in the end which wasn’t a bad old decision!

BANGOR 3-35

* – BINGE DRINKER….+26 – WON 4/1 > 10/3
* – MIDNIGHT APPEAL….+15
SEALOUS SCOUT….+8
T* – WESTERN JO….-5 – 2ND 11/2
* – MICKIE….-10
* – OUR MICK….-12
* – AL CO….-12
* – GODSMEJUDGE….-14
BEAUBOREEN….-27
LONG LUNCH….-38
LEAVE IT BE….-40

MY PLAY – I’m with rated horses 1, 2 and 4….dutch, 20/80 WESTERN JO and exotics.

RESULT – 20/1 CSF, 22/1 Exacta and happy with my numbers.

FONTWELL 2-30

* – MORESTEAD….-6
* – THE INFORMANT….-7
* – WHAT’S FOR TEA….-11
STAR PRESENTER….-22
T* – RUSTY NAIL….-35
MY SILVER CLOUD….-40
TANG ROYAL….-40

MY PLAY – MORESTEAD has topped my figures several times this season and is a moose but there is not much better to be said about the rest here so….sheep as a lamb time….dutch the top two, 20/80 my top one and exotics…mad fool that I am.

RESULT – I opted to shelve this one. I decided not to be that mad fool.

FONTWELL 3-05

* – MARIET….+15
* – MARJU’S QUEST….+12
UPTENDOWNONE….-3
VERY NOBLE….-17
NORTH GERMANY….-21
WILY FOX….-26
JOIN THE NAVY….-27
PROUTS PUB….-30
ASSIREM….-34
OSSIE’S DANCER….-35
FOURTH ACT….-39

I will just play my top two….dutch, 20/80 MARIET and exotics.

RESULT – I was making the sensible decisions regarding the lower grade stuff and steering clear. We have just a week and a bit of NH racing to work with and I’m looking after my money from here on in.

FONTWELL 4-15

* – HOME RUN….+8 – NR
DUBAWI ISLAND….-2 – WON 13/2 > 11/2
* – HARRISTOWN….-3
* – MALIBU SUN….-9
TRIUMPHANT….-15
OURMANMASSINI….-21
* – MANDY’S BOY….-35
BENBECULA….-40
LIKE SULLY….-40

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1, 3 and 4….dutch, 20/80 HOME RUN – exotics…..now watch that one sitting second best whizz in….I’ve been on Dubai Island a couple of times this season and dropped shekels….if it goes in here, fur will be spit.

RESULT – No fur was spit, just a knowing smile.

FONTWELL 4-50

* – REBLIS….+8 – 2ND 13/2
SILVER SCOTCH….+8
* – ITOLDYOU….+5 – WON 5/1
TARRACO….+3
* – DOUBLE HANDFUL….-5
REGAL FLOW….-18
BURGESS DREAM….-40

MY PLAY – 1 & 3….dutch, 20/80 my top one and exotics.

RESULT – I imagine everyone was happy that punted this….I chose not to do so….plank. Dutch, “80”, 34/1 CSF and the 37/1 Exacta dropped.

KELSO 1-45

NEVILLE WOODS….+14
T* – DESOTO COUNTY….+8
* – ENDEAVOR….-5
DIAMOND D’AMOUR….-18
SKY KHAN….-27
LORD USHER….-35
CAPTAIN BROWN….-40
DISCOVERIE….-40
EXCLUSIVE WATERS….-40
NO SUCH NUMBER….-40
PETERS GREY….-40

MY PLAY – One clear top rated but, no icons so, in the dutch/exotics top three but, it’s DESOTO COUNTY getting the 20/80.

RESULT – This was another I was “selective” with….left it alone.

KELSO 2-15

* – FENTARA….+15
T* – THE LAST SAMURAI….+8
* – HARRY THE VIKING….+6
* – CLOUDY TOO….+/-0
* – ISLA PEARL FISHER….-6
T* – MAJOR MALARKEY….-7
* – KNOCKARA BEAU….-7
SUN CLOUD….-20
T* – KNOCK A HAND….-22
SHARNEY SIKE….-27

MY PLAY – Good race this one. Three having a decent enough + figure and I’ll work as usual.

RESULT – Better class, played, profit secured. The 20/80 went to the T* factor beast which won, got me a hold of the 32/1 CSF and 20/1 Exacta plus took a profit from the dutch.

KELSO 2-50

T* – BALLY BEAUFORT….+5
* – LANDECKER….-5
* – SAMSTOWN….-7
* – RACING EUROPE….-17
CULTRAM ABBEY….-17
T* – SPOOKY DOOKY….-21
T* – DERRINTOGHER BLISS….-35
HARTFORTH….-37
T – MILANSBAR….-40 – WON 10/1
T – DESILVANO….-40

MY PLAY – 1, 2 and 3….dutch, 20/80 BALLY BEAUFORT and exotics.

RESULT – I got involved here…very sorry to say! Those -40 devotees might have enjoyed it though!

KELSO 4-00

* – UNO VALEROSO….+21 – 2ND 3/1
KINGS GREY….+14
T* – MASTER OF THE GAME….+8
* – TIPTOEAWAY….+7 – WON 8/1
* – ROBIN’S COMMAND….-3
* – VENGEUR DE GUYE….-5
GREY LIFE….-20
T* – CHESTNUT BEN….-31

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1 & 3 please….dutch, 20/80 MASTER OF THE GAME because of that T and an exotic.

RESULT – I was happy with my figures but not the result.

KELSO 4-35

* – BALLYVOGUE….+7 – 4TH 4/1
* – DOKTOR GLAZ….-1 – 3RD 10/3
* – LUCEMATIC….-4
H – HUNTERS BELT….-16 – WON 20/1
* – COOL BARANCA….-23
BENNYLICIOUS….-34 – 6TH 22/1
THE COBBLER SWAYNE….-37
* – FUNKY MUNKY….-38
ANOTHER MATTIE….-40
* – CADORE….-40
MOHAWK RIDGE….-40
PIXIE CUT….-40
HIGGS BOSON….-40
SUPER COLLIDER….-40

MY PLAY – Top trio get the gig yet again. Usual play.

RESULT – The figures were very good but the first time head gear on an 11 year old didn’t convince me….maybe the fact the horses last two wins had come at Kelso should have indicated something though!

NEWBURY 2-00

* – REBEL REBELLION….+14 – WON 7/1
* – BOBCATBILLY….+14
* – PERSIAN SNOW….+10
* – PEPITE ROSE….+8 – 2ND 7/2
* – CARRIGMORNA KING….-8
O MAONLAI….-8
* – WEISENTRAUM….-10
WESTERN POINT….-23
T* – ONE TERM….-35
* – KEEL HAUL….-40
GREY GOLD….-40
KINGS LAD….-40

MY PLAY – The best race today….now, we’ve all heard of horse for courses, right? If i told you there is a horse in here whose form figures when running at Newbury, in March, were 1, 1, F, 1….you’d want to be on….right?

The name?…hang on, there is more.

The horse has, in my view, been trained with this race in mind all season. She, Pepite Rose, who won this race last year, arrives having been dropped to the same official mark, 145, she won off 12 months back.

Laid out, or what!

I’ll be playing my front three to my usual way of working…what are you going to do? 

RESULT – I could not have been more pleased with this one. My top rated beat the plot horse and all in my garden was rosy.

NEWBURY 3-10

* – CARRUTHERS….+10 – WON 8/1
* – IMPERIAL CIRCUS….+9
* – FINANCIAL CLIMATE….+8
* – DRUMSHAMBO….-7
* – SIN BIN….-12
NO DUFFER….-20
* – HANDY ANDY….-20
H* – IKORODU ROAD….-22
AMIGO….-26
MASTER NEO….-40

MY PLAY – Top three rated fit the bill perfectly and I’m happy to work as usual with them…dutch, 20/80 CARRUTHERS and exotics.

RESULT – Great to see the old fella doing the business and that put a cherry on the top of the Bradstock’s  Gold Cup cake. Lovely jubbly.

NEWBURY 4-55

* – SONOFAGUN….+14 – 3RD 16/1
* – VILLAGE VIC….+11 – 2ND 15/8
* – CERNUNNOS….-5 – 4TH 11/4
MAJOR MILBORNE….-12 – 5TH 11/2
* – TRESOR DE BONTE….-12
T* – SERGEANT PINK….-25
RIO DE SIVOLA….-33
OWEN NA VIEW….-40

MY PLAY – Top two dutched, a 20/80 SONOFAGUN and exotics.

RESULT – Figures not bad at all really. Although that thing -40 won it!

STRATFORD 2-40

SAINT HELENA….-40
H – SEAS THE MOMENT….-40
ANGINOLA….-40
WARRANT OFFICER….-40
CHERRY TIGER….-40
SYMPHONY OF PEARLS….-40 – 2ND 10/1
H – THE RIGHT TIME….-40
JUMEIRAH LIBERTY….-40 – WON 8/1

MY PLAY – In all the years I have been doing this, I have never seen a race as bad as this. To describe it as a race is sacrilege. Fair enough, it’s a seller but the rules are that the winner…and their will be one….cannot be sold for less than £2,900.

I would rather spend that £2900 on a new iMac and 1200 Toblerone.

If you are considering betting this race then prayers will be made on your behalf.

RESULT – Those -40 players had a good day, didn’t they! That one won this was no surprise at all….because they we all rated -40….although the worst of them on my numbers won easily.

The winner, unsurprisingly, wasn’t sold but but….and I’d love to hear why he did it…Mark Gillard claimed my top rated (who pulled up here!), for £7k?

STRATFORD 3-50

* – URCALIN….+8
* – HARRY HUNT….-2
MAWAQEET….-6 – WON 14/1 > 12/1
NIGHTLINE….-6
HE’S A BULLY….-11
* – REAL MILAN….-25
OLIVER’S HILL….-29
ATLANTIC GOLD….-33
ALLTHEGEAR NO IDEA….-40
HAZZAAT….-40

MY PLAY – Top three to October Rules.

RESULT – Another race I opted not to play.

Of the 17 top rated horses we saw four winners 8/1, 7/1, 11/2 and 10/3 with four more coming home 2nd 13/2, 2nd 3/1, 3rd 16/1 and 4th 4/1. I have to be extremely happy with a performance like that on a completely manic Saturday.

TODAY

Thankfully nothing like as busy. Only two meetings but we do have seven rated races.

I am now gearing up for the flat racing season and am very much looking forward to seeing how we get on this summer. Next week I will be letting you know when I will be taking a week out and how we’ll be working this time around.

It’s all about the Liverpool/Utd game today, isn’t it?

ASSUMPTIONS:

  • Market Rasen / Sun 22 Mar
    Updated @ Sat 21 Mar

    Going/Track

    Chase: Good to Soft Hurdle: Good, Good to Soft in places (GoingStick: Chase – 7.3; Hurdle – 8.2 on Friday at 07:00)

    Rails: Rail set 12 yards from innermost line, increasing circuit length by 72 yards.

  • Weather

    2mm rain Tuesday. Dry overnight. Chance of light showers through Saturday morning. Settled thereafter. Temperatures around 8C.

  • Wincanton / Sun 22 Mar
    Updated @ Sat 21 Mar

    Going/Track

    Good to Soft, Good in places (GoingStick: Chase 7.5, Hurdle 7.6 on Saturday at 09:30)

    Rails: Chase course moved back in on ground not used since November

  • Weather

    Dry week and forecast to stay dry up to racing With forecast expect ground to be Good, Good to Soft places by Sunday

ICONS* – Indicates their having won previously on the going as currently described
T – Indicates a horse having made a round trip of 300 miles or more
H – Indicates horses sporting headgear for the first time (blinkers, hood, cheekpieces, tongue-tie etc)
FINAL FIGURES

MARKET RASEN 2-30

IVANS BACK….+9
* – DANCEINTOTHELIGHT….+4
T* – NOIR GIRL….-15
H – RUARAIDH HUGH….-25
WHEELAVER….-40
DONTUPSETTHERHYTHM….-40
CASTLE VIEW….-40
ONEOFAPEAR….-40
CRAIG DANCER….-40
UP YOUR GAME….-40
MIDNIGHT MUSTANG….-40

MY PLAY – I’ll possibly have a small 20/80 my third best simply because of the T*….most likely though, I’ll not.

MARKET RASEN 3-05

SIR LYNX….-40
THE SOCIETY MAN….-40
T – MAC LE COUTEAU….-40
DR DREAMY….-40
T – LENEY COTTAGE….-40
ORANGER….-40

MY PLAY – For the second day running, a dog of a race. Not one I will be betting on.

MARKET RASEN 3-35

T – QUIET CANDID….+3
T* – BE MY PRESENT….-10
* – THANYOU VERY MUCH….-14
* – WYMESWOLD….-25
T – KNOCKLAYDE EXPRESS….-25
GRIMLEY GIRL….-28
CARALINE….-40
SLIPPER SATIN….-40
T – LINDSAY’S DREAM….-40

MY PLAY – I have one clear on my figures but I’ll be working with the three directly below it…dutch, 20/80 BE MY PRESENT….exotics.

MARKET RASEN 4-10

T* – MISTER WISEMAN….+15
* – SADDLERS DEAL….+5
IF IT BE YOUR WILL….-8
LARTETA….-22
PISTOL BASC….-40
STEADY PROGRESS….-40

MY PLAY – I was so very, very tempted to post up a “best bet” here but can I really trust those old legs to deliver? Top two dutch, straight win the top one…exotics.

WINCANTON 2-20

* – THOMAS WILD….-3
* – WATER WAGTAIL….-6
* – DONAPOLLO….-16
BAROQUE MAN….-18
BY THE BOARDWALK….-27
HARRY’S FAREWELL….-40
DAYS AHEAD….-40

MY PLAY – The top two get the gig but it’s October Rules only.

WINCANTON 3-55

* – UNTIL WINNING….+10
* – MARIE DES ANGES….+9
NEVILLE….-18
HATTERS RIVER….-26
PADDY THE STOUT….-40
SUBLIME TALENT….-40
LILY LITTLE LEGS….-40

MY PLAY – Very happy with my figures. Top pair dutch, straight win my top one and an exotic.

WINCANTON 5-00

* – WARSAW PACT….+9
* – POSITIVE VIBES….-4
* – TITCH STRIDER….-8
ARCTIC WATCH….-13
EDDY….-23
LOOK FOR LOVE….-24
KARL MARX….-40
FIRE TOWER….-40
HANDSOME HORACE….-40
FLASHY STAR….-40
RESIDENCE AND SPA….-40
KAVESTORM….-40

MY PLAY – Tip three to October Rules….poor, poor race.

Have a great day and the best of luck if you get involved.

Kindest regards

Ron

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