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Top 3 Rated stats updated w/e 22/2/15

Top 3/old school exotics, regardless of official play, omitting Sedgefield wrong flag/void fiasco race, and Dec 12th Cheltenham/Doncaster revised going ratings.

1st Nov-22nd Feb, 573 rated races, 353 of 8+ runners, with 220 of 4-7 or fewer (play all 3 or just 2 on these?)

Tricast wins 10/353 races = £2118 staked at £1 per point, returning £1623.99, a loss of -£590

Wins @ £206.47, £380.23, £198.99, £256.44, £170.21, £158.12. Clearly a minimum tricast return of around £200 is the target.

NB £198.99 tricast Don 11.55 13/12/14 despite only 7 runners with Shadows Lengthen a NR, also 6 runner tricast of £33.62 on 15/12 Plum 3.25

CSF/exacta wins 75/573 races = £3438 staked at £1 per point (or £2558; 353×6, 220×2) returning £2253.55/£2379.20, a loss of -£1180/-£1060.

Those totals are based on 6pt stake from 3 horses. Approximately 20% of those 62 wins and 15% returns would be lost should you stick to top 2 for 4-7 runner fields, as 3rd highest horse provided the win or place.

Wins of £56.28/£72.20, £56.93/£50.10, £127.93/£61.90, £41.73/£21, £50.09/£50.70, £99.80/£83.80, £61.57/£87.50, £55.68/£45.90, £45.80/£65.40, £62.02/£109.70, £91.27/£134.70, £43.32/£79.30, £87.24/£138.30, £290.60/£291.07(San 3.00 31/1/15)

You can see the minimum return acceptable on CSF/exacta, as playing every race is as pointless as playing every dutch; many just aren’t worth chasing. Probably £60/70+ should be the minimum.

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