Breaking News
Home / Top 3 Rated / Top 3 rated stats updated w/e 15/2/15

Top 3 rated stats updated w/e 15/2/15

Top 3/old school exotics, regardless of official play, omitting Sedgefield wrong flag/void fiasco race, and Dec 12th Cheltenham/Doncaster revised going ratings.

1st Nov-15th Feb, 527 rated races, 324 of 8+ runners, with 203 of 4-7 or fewer (play all 3 or just 2 on these?)

Tricast wins 9/324 races = £1944 staked at £1 per point, returning £1465.87, a loss of -£480

Wins @ £206.47, £380.23, £198.99, £256.44, £170.21. Clearly a minimum tricast return of around £200 is the target.

NB £198.99 tricast Don 11.55 13/12/14 despite only 7 runners with Shadows Lengthen a NR, also 6 runner tricast of £33.62 on 15/12 Plum 3.25

CSF/exacta wins 71/527 races = £3162 staked at £1 per point (or £2350; 324×6, 203×2) returning £2157.08/£2273.60, a loss of -£1000/-£890.

Those totals are based on 6pt stake from 3 horses. Approximately 20% of those 62 wins and 15% returns would be lost should you stick to top 2 for 4-7 runner fields, as 3rd highest horse provided the win or place.

Wins of £56.28/£72.20, £56.93/£50.10, £127.93/£61.90, £41.73/£21, £50.09/£50.70, £99.80/£83.80, £61.57/£87.50, £55.68/£45.90, £45.80/£65.40, £62.02/£109.70, £91.27/£134.70, £43.32/£79.30, £87.24/£138.30, £290.60/£291.07(San 3.00 31/1/15)

You can see the minimum return acceptable on CSF/exacta, as playing every race is as pointless as playing every dutch; many just aren’t worth chasing. Probably £60/70+ should be the minimum.

About gary kelly

Check Also

Top 3 ratings/dutch/exotics stats updated w/e 12/11/17

top 3 31/69 +26.47(inc win @46) to betfair SP after 5% deduction top 3 dutch …