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Top 3 exotic stats updated w/e 11/1/15

Top 3/old school exotics, regardless of official play, omitting Sedgefield wrong flag/void fiasco race, and Dec 12th Cheltenham/Doncaster revised going ratings.

1st Nov-11th Jan , 315 rated races, 232 of 8+ runners, with 155 of 4-7 or fewer (play all 3 or just 2 on these?)

Tricast wins 9/232 races = £1392 staked at £1 per point, returning £1465.87, a profit of +£73.87

Wins @ £206.47, £380.23, £198.99, £256.44, £170.21. Clearly a minimum tricast return of around £200 is the target.

NB £198.99 tricast Don 11.55 13/12/14 despite only 7 runners with Shadows Lengthen a NR, also 6 runner tricast of £33.62 on 15/12 Plum 3.25

CSF/exacta wins 59/387races = £2322 staked at £1 per point (or £1702; 232×6, 155×2) returning £1603.83/£1779.40, a loss of -£700/-£500.

Those totals are based on 6pt stake from 3 horses.  Approximately 17% of those 59 wins and 12% returns would be lost should you stick to top 2 for 4-7 runner fields, as 3rd highest horse provided the win or place.

Wins of £56.28/£72.20, £56.93/£50.10, £127.93/£61.90, £41.73/£21, £50.09/£50.70, £99.80/£83.80, £61.57/£87.50, £55.68/£45.90, £45.80/£65.40, £62.02/£109.70, £91.27/£134.70, £43.32/£79.30, £87.24/£138.30

You can see the minimum return acceptable on CSF/exacta, as playing every race is as pointless as playing every  dutch; many just aren’t worth chasing. Probably £50+ should be the minimum.

No 3rd rated was a win/pl in any 4-7 runner field exotic wins since mid-Dec.

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