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Today’s Ratings and Advice 30/01/15

Ron RobinsonA decision was made yesterday. From Monday you will start to receive an early evening Newsletter containing my preliminary figures for the following day. They will also go up on the website.

I mentioned recently that I had been posting these up on the Post Racing Facebook wall and they are proving quite successful.

The day before last I posted this up on the wall:

“Prepping tomorrow’s Ratings and I’m hoping Towcester get away with this bad weather as I really do like the look of NEWTON THISTLE (2-20).

Final figures tomorrow but I’ll be surprised if he’s not top rated.”

The final figures came out so:

TOWCESTER 2-20

* – NEWTON THISTLE….+20 – WON 11/4
* – WICKLEWOOD….+18
COSWAY SPIRIT….+12
MONTY’S REVENGE….+11
* – TAKE THE MICK….+10
* – MUSICAL WEDGE….-8
* – VICTORY GUNNER….-10
BEBINN….-15
HERECOMESTHEHOLLOW….-17
JOLLY BOYS OUTING….-20
COOLKING….-33
CHARMING LAD….-40

MY PLAY – I mooted on Facebook yesterday that the preliminary prep indicated NEWTON THISTLE was interesting at that point and he’s even more so now. I’m just hoping the going is as described because I have a good feeling about today’s figures.

Here I’d be expecting the winner to come from rated horses 1, 2 and 5….the dutch, 20/80 and exotics will certainly be checked over.

It would seem many are now using these advices and a fair few got on at bigger prices than you would have got yesterday. That one was up at 5/1 the evening before racing.

In the Newsletters I will indicate which, if any, are as interesting as that one above.

An e-mail arrived from Derek (morning again, Derek!), asking if this information could be posted on the website and at that point I made the design that they should go out by Newsletter and be an additional website resource.

BLUE BUTTONS

I think, proof positive, that she won her penultimate race on bad ground purely and simply because Gary Derwin did his homework.

That ground yesterday was shocking. She has done great to get fourth and add a few more £’s to the charity pot.

I am hoping that effort has not left Cheltenham behind but we’ll see what Harry comes back with today and work from there.

The one thing she clearly does is try her heart out for you.

TODAY

We have, overnight, migrated the website to our own server and I think it loads much quicker. If you have any problems with it, please let me know right away so that I can get things sorted out for you.

We have racing from Catterick and Chepstow today and, for the first time in a few days, have horses representing the “T” factor.

However, both tracks have inspections planned and the latest going forecasts are from yesterday.

Yesterday it was plain as day that we had lost the ground at Wincanton and as I listened to Lydia interviewing the CoC on RUK I knew that goose had been cooked.

What I didn’t get was this:

Lydia: “You have changed the going description to heavy, soft in places, how did it walk?”
CoC: “It’s actually heavy all over with plenty of water on top. We got a lot more rain than we expected and expect more through the day”

So why was the official going description changed to heavy all over….I watched every race and if any “soft” ever existed I’m Jool van Sloots.

They didn’t actually change it to heavy all over until after the 2-10 race, which was ridiculous. The Racing Post simply says, “the racing here was run on proper winter ground, which the times of the races indicates”.

Ladies and gents….they are putting us away so, beware when parting with the shekels.

After watching that racing yesterday I have made a decision to wait for things to dry out a bit. I’ll not be betting unless something winks at me as Newton Thistle did.

I simply do not trust the guys in charge at those tracks, an inch.

PODCAST

This should be available to you earlier today as we are “on air” at noon so hopefully we’ll find something worth getting involved in before your head hits the pillow tonight.

Make sure to listen in see if you have won this weekends free bet. The answer to last weeks question will be given and a new question posed.

ASSUMPTIONS:

  • Catterick Bridge / Fri 30 Jan
    Updated @ Thu 29 Jan

    Going/Track

    Soft (A few areas of light snow covering) (GoingStick: Chase 7.3 Hurdle 7.6 on Wednesday at 10:00)

    Inspections: Inspection 8am Friday Morning due to threat of overnight

  • Weather

    Majority snow melted prior to 1pm when further heavy snow shower giving another light covering. Further thaw since 10mm rain, sleet/snow last 24hours and a light covering of snow overnight with temp dipping to -1C Forecast: Thursday – A cold day +3C with further wintry showers possible and low of -1C overnight Friday – A mainly dry day +5C

  • Chepstow / Fri 30 Jan
    Updated @ Thu 29 Jan

    Going/Track

    Soft, Heavy in places 4mm of rain on Wednesday. (GoingStick: Chase 3.6, Hurdle 4.4 on Thursday at 06:30)

    Inspections: Precautionary Inspection 07:30 Friday, more for the threat

  • Weather

    Forecast: Chance of showers on Thursday, max temp 5C. Wintry showers overnight, temps down to 0C/-1C. Sunny spells on Friday, max temp 5C.

  • Other

    Take-offs, landings and other vulnerable parts have been covered.

*  – indicates winner on ground at the time of rating the race

T – indicates having travelled more than 150 miles to race today
H – Indicates wearing some form of headgear for first time today

CATTERICK 3-20

T* – MINELLA BLISS….+14
* – WHATS UP WOODY….+14
T* – SPIRIT D’AMOR….+10
* – QUEL ELITE….-3
* – HARRIS….-7
* – FOURTH ESTATE….-11
ARGENT KNIGHT….-11
T* – FLORAL SPINNER….-25

MY PLAY – If everything is as it should be regarding the ground….and we should know by the time this goes off, then I’ll work with my top three to my usual play….dutch, 20/80 my top one and exotics.

It has to be no worse than soft for me though!

CATTERICK 3-55

WALTZ DARLING….+9
T – RUSSBOROUGH….-11
* – BILLY CUCKOO….-14
ROXYFET….-18
SILVER SHUFFLE….-40
T – FRECKLE FACE….-40

CATTERICK 4-25

MOST HONOURABLE….-15
H – MADRASA….-17
* – ARDESIA….-25
DANCEINTOTHELIGHT….-27
FIRST OF NEVER….-27
POLIBUREAU….-31
BIRTHDAY GUEST….-32
COPT HILL….-39
MAD FOR ROAD….-40
SIMMPLY SAM….-40
NEWYEARSRESOLUTION….-40
T – GLENDERMOT….-40

CHEPSTOW 2-55

* – HEAD SPIN….+1
LONG JOHN….-7
* – COME ON ANNIE….-10
* – STRANGE BIRD….-15
EASTERN WITNESS….-28
BALLHOPPER….-30
CARHUE….-40

CHEPSTOW 3-30

* – QALINAS….+10
* – ROCKY ELSOM….+9
BANDIT COUNTRY….-6
* – ALBERTO’S DREAM….-11
* – GARDE FOU….-15
* – CASH INJECTION….-16
* – WORLDOR….-23
ALBERT D’OLIVATE….-23
WALKABOUT CREEK….-26
SON OF SUZIE….-27
AMORUCCIO….-30
QUEEN’S STAR….-34
THEUNNNAMEDSOLDIER….-34
VALID REASON….-36
DUN SCIATH….-40
TOP SHOW….-40

CHEPSTOW 4-05

* – MASTER NEO….+16
* – LOUGHALDER….+12
* – GUNNA BE A DEVIL….-2
FAVOURED NATION….-12
* – FOUROVAKIND….-20
CABALLO DE MARCUS….-40

Best of luck if you get involved.

Kindest regards

Ron

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