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Today’s Ratings and Advice 30/09/14

Ron RobinsonToday’s racing is light on betting opportunities for me personally. I have opted to work with just that last rated race at Ayr and, on what is officially the last day of flat racing for me I will hopefully finish with a nice profit to bank.

From tomorrow it is NH sighters for the rest of October. I will cover those bigger handicaps both from a profiling and ratings point of view but it’s far more important now that we prepare for the winter and Cheltenham in March. Trust me, it will soon be here!

If, during the next month you would like a race/races looking at just drop me a line. I will do my very best to oblige you.

ASSUMPTIONS:

Ayr / Tue 30 Sep

Updated @ Mon 29 Sep

Going/Track

Good to Firm, Good in places (GoingStick: 8.7 on Monday at 07:15)

Rails: Stands’ side rail in 6m; Back straight and bends in 6m; Home straight in 5m – adding approx. 18yds to race distances 7f to 1m and 36yds to 1m7f.

Stalls: 5f & 6f: Far Side 7f: Outside Remainder: Inside

Weather
Past 24hrs 0.2 mm of rain. Monday- Mainly overcast, scattered showers (< 1mm) Tuesday – Dry start, possible rain from 12pm (< 3mm) Recent rainfall: Monday 22nd – 3.5mm; Tuesday 23rd – 1.5mm; Wednesday 24th – 1mm; Thursday 25th – 0.5mm. There has been no irrigation this week.

* – indicates winner on ground at the time of rating the race
§ – perceived as best drawn
T – indicates having travelled more than 150 miles to race today
H – Indicates wearing some form of headgear for first time today

AYR 3-50

T* – RUST….-16
T – TORRIDON….-18
RIOJA DAY….-20
T – COPPER TO GOLD….-28
T – LLANDANWG….-28
T – LOOK ON BY….-30
BERBICE….-33
PITT RIVERS….-38
T – BENIDORM….-38
T – RAISE A BILLION….-40

AYR 4-25

T – PRINCESS ROSE….+3
T* – SECRET CITY….-9
T* – AMIS REUNIS….-18
ROCK CANYON….-28
HT – HAZZA THE JAZZA….-28
BANNOCK TOWN….-28
CLABARE….-38
T – STONEACRE OSKAR….-40
T – ECHOLOGIC….-40

AYR 5-00

T§ – RISE TO GLORY….+14
* – GONINODAETHAT….+9
§* – JINKY….+9
* – CHOOKIE’S LASS….+9
T§* – THE NIFTY FOX….+9
T* – MANATEE BAY….+7
T* – EXOTIC GUEST….+5
§* – MONEL….+3
§* – SAXONETTE….-2
T* – NATIVE FALLS….-2
* – FINDOG….-13
SEWN UP….-20
T – MUNJALLY….-30

AYR 5-30

T§* – TRUE PLEASURE….+18
* – HANALEI BAY….+11
§* – ANOTHER FOR JOE….+10
§* – DARK CRYSTAL….+8
* – BAHAMIAN C….+8
T§* – SPAVENTO….+8
T* – GAMBINO….+5
* – OPT OUT….+4
H – PORTHOS DU VALLON….+3
T* – TED’S BROTHER….-3
T – EWELL PLACE….-3
T§* – CAMEROONEY….-15
* – FUNDING DEFICIT….-15
T – LIL SOPHELLA….-24

MY PLAY – The only race today I will be touching myself. I have three in my top four bearing both icons required and so it’s a simple selection process and some easy decision making….hopefully I’m right!

THREE TO DUTCH – TRUE PLEASURE, ANOTHER FOR JOE, DARK CRYSTAL
20/80 – TRUE PLEASURE
EXOTICS – TRUE PLEASURE, ANOTHER FOR JOE, DARK CRYSTAL
LAY – LIL SOPHELLA

THE FIGURES BELOW ARE NOT FIT FOR PURPOSE! “SIGHTERS” ONLY!!

CHEPSTOW 2-30

* – TAKE A BOW….+10
* – SILMI….+8
* – ROYALE KNIGHT….-1
* – ENTERTAIN ME….-8
ALWAYS BOLD….-12
SUR LA MER….-13
HALLEY….-17
* – TARVINI….-24
MISTER BRICOLAGE….-28
MAC BERTIE….-35
SPENCER MOON….-40
CASH INJECTION….-40
STRONG WIND….-40
AMERICAN JOE….-40

CHEPSTOW 4-15

* – VERTEUX….-17
UNIDEXTER….-21
H* – DOUCHKIRK….-30
* – FAITH JICARO….-35
YAZDI….-35
KAYALAR….-40
BULLETPROOF….-40
STAG HILL….-40
KALIMANTAN….-40
SUN QUEST….-40
SEAS OF GREEN….-40
ANNAROE….-40

CHEPSTOW 4-50

* – SEASIDE SHUFFLE….+9
* – COOLBEG….+2
POWERFUL ACTION….+/-0
TAROUM….-10
TOE TO TOE….-11
ACAPULCO BAY….-14
STRICTLY THE ONE….-14
H* – CON FORAZA….-15
GOING NOWHERE FAST….-23
MAXDELAS….-40
PEAK STORM….-40

CHEPSTOW 5-20

SURPRISE ME….+14
* – DONT TAKE ME ALIVE….+7
* – LE GRAND CHENE….-2
* – BENNY’S QUEST….-8
MIDNIGHT THOMAS….-18
ISLANDMAGEE….-29
STAFFORD CHARLIE….-40

The very best of luck if you get involved today,

Kindest regards

Ron

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