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York 4-55 20/08/14

The conundrum that is a juvenile race! Royal ascot is a breeze compared to York and when you take into account the winners of four of the last five of these has gone in at 12/1, 33/1, 25/1 and 12/1, you get an idea as to what we are up against.

We can but try!

Ok, let’s look at it from a draw angle. as with that first profiled race we find that seven of the last 10 winners were drawn nine or higher.

I’ll take my first shortlist from those still running (four non-runners already), so drawn:

MATTMU
KIBAAR
MIDTERM BREAK
GEORDIE GEORGE
THECORNISHASSASSIN
ROOSEY
BURTONWOOD
FELIX LEITER
DARK PROFIT
MAJESTIC HERO

Seven of the last 10 winners were in the weight range 8st 7lb to 9st alb and I can prune this a tad:

KIBAAR
MIDTERM BREAK
GEORDIE GEORGE
THECORNISHASSASSIN
ROOSEY
BURTONWOOD
FELIX LEITER
DARK PROFIT

Market position next….only one of the last six winners were inside the first six on the tissue so, let’s hope I can find us a nice big priced one!

MIDTERM BREAK
GEORDIE GEORGE
THECORNISHASSASSIN
BURTONWOOD

Two of the last five winners were making their handicap debuts and one had seen a racecourse on just four previous occasions so I’m going to rule out anything more exposed than that:

GEORDIE GEORGE
THECORNISHASSASSIN

We have a brace to work with and the most sensible option (apart from completely ignoring this race), is to dutch them and cross everything.

It could be the Burke runner is different gravy to these but we’ll only know come 5-00pm.

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