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Today’s Ratings and Advice 31/08/14

I left home at noon yesterday to take my seven year old grandson to watch a “real live football match” at Wigan, made a decision not to bet as I would not really have an opportunity to watch, trade or do anything much of anything so, it was around 7-30pm before I got to sit down and watch the racing I’d recorded and all I can say is that those playing “old school”, or simply punting top rated horses, had a pretty decent time of it. Both have had a pretty good week!

Usual Sunday morning start, a look back at how the Saturday figures performed. I can tell you now I am seriously looking forward to the new NH season if the ratings produced for the Scoop 6 race are anything to go by.

I do not work with the jumpers until October 1st and even then, for the first month, it’s sighters only….they are not for punting.

Because we had a small Scoop 6 entry for our syndicate yesterday, I had to put two horses from this race, into the perm…I opted for the top two….

NEWTON ABBOT

* – HENRYVILLE….+13 – WON 7/2
* – ON THE BRIDGE….+10 – 2ND 6/1
JOIN THE CLAN….+8
AALIM….+6
VESPERAL DREAM….-2
MASSANNIE….-8
* – HAWKHILL….-12
AZZA….-17
* – CLERK’S CHOICE….-25
LOOK FOR LOVE….-28
COOL GEORGE….-37

Right now they do not want this bet won and are selecting races harder to find winners of than getting six numbers of a Saturday evening!

YESTERDAY’S RATED RACES

SANDOWN 2-05

T* – ECCLESTON….+15 – 4TH 7/1
§* – TAGULA NIGHT….+10
§* – AJJAADD….+8
T§* – KEEP IT DARK….-1
* – FREE ZONE….-3
* – JUDGE ‘N JURY….-8
§* – ELUSIVITY….-9
§ – LADWEB….-9
T* – JAMAICAN BOLT….-10
§ – ONE CHANCE….-12
IFFANESIA….-13
NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM….-23
CHILWORTH ICON….-25
T – EVEN STEVENS….-35
ZIGGY LEE….-35

MY PLAY – My top rated has the aroma of a plot horse but I’m thinking middle is the worst place to be here, low seemingly best spotted with high second best.
Rated horses 2, 3 and 4 have ground and draw right if I’m reading this correctly and the ground doesn’t change so they’ll be in my own play.
This has also been profiled and was on the site last night but I have added all profiled races below.

THREE TO DUTCH – TAGULA NIGHT, AJJAADD, KEEP IT DARK
20/80 – TAGULA NIGHT
EXOTICS – TAGULA NIGHT, AJJAADD, KEEP IT DARK
LAY – NONE

RESULT – Hands held up….figures useless here. Stand them on their head and they’d look awesome but I think it fair to say, that winner was hard to locate. Never previously won on anything slower than good to soft, not won since 2012….yep, well done anyone that located that!

SANDOWN 3-50

§ – TREASURE THE RIDGE….+13 – WON 25/1
§* – VIEWPOINT….+13
§* – FORGOTTEN HERO….+10 – 6TH 5/1
§* – TINGHIR….+10
* – SPA’S DANCER….+8 – 4TH 9/1
WHAT ABOUT CARLO….+8
MOUNT SHAMSAN….-3
T* – TRES CORONAS….-4
* – CLON BRULEE….-5
§ – RUNNING DEER….-8
* – MOONDAY SUN….-9
RYDAN….-13
T – BUSATTO….-14
CALM ATTITUDE….-15
AJMANY….-18
T§ – BALTY BOYS….-20

MY PLAY – My top rated has been making hay on the sand and I want the trio sitting below him running for me.

THREE TO DUTCH – VIEWPOINT, FORGOTTEN HERO, TINGHIR
20/80 – VIEWPOINT
EXOTICS – VIEWPOINT, FORGOTTEN HERO, TINGHIR
LAY – NONE

RESULT – I would have missed this one because of going concerns. Figures not bad though, eh!

SANDOWN 5-30

* – TIGHT LIPPED….+8
T* – FIRST POST….-3
* – WAR SINGER….-10 – WON 25/1
JACOB CATS….-17
NORWAY CROSS….-18
JACK OF DIAMONDS….-19
POTENTATE….-20
TOPAMICHI….-22
TELEFONO….-23
LITTLE BUXTED….-31
RUGGERO….-39
RONNIE ROCKCAKES….-40

MY PLAY – Not a great race. My top three to October Rules.

RESULT – Those 500 Club members that were with us at Aintree on Grand National Day will surely have been on here? We had loaned our Charity horse, Rosie’s Lady (that’s her on the right running 3rd to War Singer, in our soon to be famous green and white diamonds!), to the Bob Champion Cancer Trust, to run in Bob’s “Legend’s” race. She was ridden by Jim Culloty and came home third to….WAR SINGER. A great day out that was, our members in the spot reserved for the third placed horse on Grand National Day. Pleased with the figures and, a nice 25/1 winner in the top three rated horses.

That picture was taken on what was a brilliant day for us but Rosie was never the same after it and was retired in January.

CHESTER 2-20

* – MAGICAL MACEY….+11
§* – LEXI’S HERO….+10
* – BALLISTA….+10
* – FOREST EDGE….+9
T§* – B FIFTY TWO….+9 – WON 7/2
§* – LOVE ISLAND….+9 – 4TH 8/1
* – BALLESTEROS….+2
T§* – DUNGANNON….+1
§* – TOP BOY….+/-0
* – CONFESSIONAL….-1
PEARL ACADEMY….-12
POOLE HARBOUR….-17
INXILE….-23

MY PLAY – I have got to pluck rated horses 2, 5 and 6 for my bets here. My top rated has a minging old draw to work from and so it’s….

THREE TO DUTCH – LEXI’S HERO, B FIFTY TWO, LOVE ISLAND
20/80 – LEXI’S HERO
EXOTICS – LEXI’S HERO, B FIFTY TWO, LOVE ISLAND
LAY – NONE

RESULT – Two of the three selected for my own bets performing well enough but even finding that winner wouldn’t have produced much profit so, as pleasing as the result is, I didn’t miss much.

CHESTER 2-55

T§ – OCEAN TEMPEST….+13 – WON 10/1
* – BIG JOHNNY D….+11
* – HEAVY METAL….+11
T§* – APOSTLE….+8 – 4TH 11/2
* – DUBAI DYNAMO….+8
* – JOHNNO….-2
T – RUSSIAN REALM….-3
* – CHOSEN CHARACTER….-6
T§* – BEAU NASH….-11
T§ – FOXTROT ROMEO….-12
ALEJANDRO….-13
T§ – MEZZOTINT….-15
LAFFAN….-17
KING TORUS….-17

MY PLAY – My top rated seems to have it good except for the ground….if it hasn’t changed. I’m going with rated horses 2, 3 and 4….everything here hinges on the going and, no non-runners! If this race alters in any way, shape or form, I’m off!

THREE TO DUTCH – BIG JOHNNY D, HEAVY METAL, APOSTLE
20/80 – APOSTLE
EXOTICS – BIG JOHNNY D, HEAVY METAL, APOSTLE
LAY – RUSSIAN REALM

RESULT – Those laying the Pricewise horse (we always get those shorties he puts up beaten), will have enjoyed this one almost as much as those punting top rated horses. Again I would have missed out due to my thinking the winner would be unsuited to the going. Five of this horses last seven wins had come on soft or heavy and i was unsure it would be slow enough. Hey ho.

BEVERLEY 3-05

* – INGENTI….+11
* – BRONZE BEAU….+10
§* – RICH AGAIN….+10
* – TINSILI….+9
§* – THATCHERITE….+8
* – WINDFORPOWER….+8
§ – CORNCOCKLE….+4
BOXING SHADOWS….-4
* – BORIS GRIGORIEV….-9
* – PEA SHOOTER….-10
§ – MARGRETS GIFT….-16
OLDJOESAID….-19
§ – FAMA MAC….-21

MY PLAY – My top rated has been threatening to win and ran a blinder from a poor draw last time. He has been unlucky again here and I am having rated horses 2, 3 and 5….which makes the profiling interesting!

THREE TO DUTCH – BRONZE BEAU, RICH AGAIN, THATCHERITE
20/80 – RICH AGAIN
EXOTICS – BRONZE BEAU, RICH AGAIN, THATCHERITE
LAY – NONE

RESULT – This look messy to me 24 hours before it went off, the more fancied horses, well drawn or not, usually held up and that is no good here. This result is simply weird in that the worst drawn horses filled the first three places. Dust yourself off and start all over again.

BEVERLEY 3-40

§* – HELLO BEAUTIFUL….+11
§* – HAAJES….+11 – 6TH 10/3
§* – CAPTAIN ROYALE….+9 – 2ND 14/1
§* – MEY BLOSSOM….+9 – 5TH 7/1
* – ORTAC ROCK….+9
* – SCORELINE….+8 – NR
* – NICEONEMYSON….+8
§* – TOM SAWYER….-2 – WON 4/1
* – MEDICI TIME….-9
* – MAJESTIC MANANNAN….-10
NOBLE ASSET….-12
* – WHERE THE BOYS ARE….-20
AMBITIOUS ICARUS….-27

MY PLAY – Top four have the lot spot on….and e know what happened yesterday….i pluck the top three and the fourth best won pulling a caravan.

THREE TO DUTCH – HELLO BEAUTIFUL, HAAJES, CAPTAIN ROYALE
20/80 – HELLO BEAUTIFUL
EXOTICS – HELLO BEAUTIFUL, HAAJES, CAPTAIN ROYALE
LAY – NONE

RESULT – Normality restored as draw and going icons indicates the first two home and four of the first six. By virtue of non-runners and “natural progression, they all sat in the top six but it would still have been no good to me as I myself had several i would have worked with before getting to the winner.

BEVERLEY 4-50

§* – REAL TIGRESS….+10
* – JACBEQUICK….+10
§* – EARTH DRUMMER….+10 – 3RD 8/1
* – SHADOWTIME….+10
* – JUST PAUL….+9
§* – KIWI BAY….+9 – 2ND 8/1
§* – BIG STORM COMING….+8 – 4TH 7/1
* – OUR BOY JACK….+6
* – RELIGHT MY FIRE….-1
§ – STORM KING….-8 – WON 9/2
READY….-10
SAKHALIN STAR….-15
T – REPOSER….-17

MY PLAY – Three in my top six bearing both icons I like and I’m happy to play with them

THREE TO DUTCH – REAL TIGRESS, EARTH DRUMMER, KIWI BAY
20/80 – REAL TIGRESS
EXOTICS – REAL TIGRESS, EARTH DRUMMER, KIWI BAY
LAY – NONE

RESULT – Faith now restored in the draw bias! First four home all boxed where you would have wanted them to be but again, it would have been as much use to me as a chocolate teapot and frustrating as two of my three selected came home 2nd & 3rd.

BATH 4-45

KNOW YOUR NAME….+10
* – AL MUKHDAM….+8 – 2ND 4/1
* – RAKAAN….+/-0
* – RIZAL PARK….-5
FAURE ISLAND….-5
SONNETATION….-14
BE SEEING YOU….-17
ROLLING DICE….-24 – WON 25/1

MY PLAY – This is one I may leave alone….not liking the look of it one little bit. If I am miles ahead and can get a signal where i’ll be it’s probably just this three marked * to October Rules.

RESULT – Had I played I would have been on the runner up….again. I would not have found that winner using a pin…or Jodrell Bank.

BATH 5-15

* – GLENS WOBBLY….+3
* – VERTUEUX….-3
* – SIR TYTO….-12
WELL OWD MON….-15
RED CURRENT….-23
HALLING’S WISH….-26
PAPLE BLESSING….-35
PARTY PALACE….-39
EN REVE….-40

MY PLAY – It’s Bath, it’s low grade, it’s betting to buttons. October Rules, top three.

RESULT – More or less what you come to expect from this meeting. I sometimes think it’s pointless rating races from meetings such as Bath, Yarmouth and Brighton because the racing is so poor and those running there as bad as the races that no amount of empirical data will ever produce consistent profits.

BATH 6-45

T§* – RED EXPLORER….+8 – NR
T§ – PULL THE PIN….-8 – 2ND
LUCKY SURPRISE….-17
PERRYDOT….-18
SPIC ‘N SPAN….-27
§ – SHAKE BABY SHAKE….-36
STUDFARMER….-38
PROPER CHARLIE….-40
§ – CATALINA’S DIAMOND….-40 – WON 3/1
PETITE FILLE….-40

MY PLAY – I’ll take the three best drawn (marked §)….October Rules again I’m afraid.

RESULT – I’m only to pleased to have been where I was when this racing was taking place….Sandpiper, not far off the M58….lovely.

BATH 7-15

APPYJACK….+1
TIPSY STAR….-4
LORAINE….-9
CAMELY DAWN….-15
SIMMA….-15
EXCEED POLICY….-16
ZAMBEASY….-23
DANGLYDONTASK….-40

MY PLAY – DIDDLY SQUAT…wouldn’t touch this if you gave me the cash to put down. Not a single one has winning form on the ground as currently described.

RESULT – Run it again today….different result. My top rated had to be top rated as it was a six year old in amongst 3-y-o’s and wholly exposed.

BATH 7-45

* – EASTERN MAGIC….+1 – 2ND 11/4
* – LUCKY DIVA….-3
* – PASSION PLAY….-6
NOOR AL HAYA….-13
FUZZY LOGIC….-13
SAFE INVESTMENT….-20

MY PLAY – If i still have the will to live at this time I will faff about with my top pair….again absolutely buttons staked.

RESULT – Top rated beaten a nose it should never have been up on these pages anyway as it was a race run over more than 12 furlongs! It had been a long day on Friday!!

TODAY

Just Brighton….do I have to?

Three rated races below but I’ll probably just watch football.

ASSUMPTIONS:

Brighton / Sun 31 Aug
Updated @ Sun 31 Aug

Going/Track

Good (GoingStick: 7.5 on Sunday at 06:45)

Rails: Rail will be dolled out from 7f to approx 2f to provide fresh ground. 4f bend will be at minimum width.

Stalls: 1m2f & 1m4f Outside, Rest Centre.

Weather

1mm drizzle yesterday morning. Forecast: A dry day with sunny spells.

* – indicates winner on ground at the time of rating the race
§ – perceived as best drawn
T – indicates having travelled more than 150 miles to race today
BRIGHTON 2-00

§ – SACHA PARK….+10
SECRET MILLIONAIRE….+9
T§ – STORM LIGHTNING….+8
§* – WHITECREST….-2
DUTCH INTERIOR….-4
T* – JIROFT….-10
SECRET MISSLE….-16
LADY GIBRALTAR….-19
VODKA CHASER….-20

BRIGHTON 3-30

* – CHORAL FESTIVAL….+10
* – YOJOJO….+9
T – TARO TYWOD….+8
ARABIAN BEAUTY….+1
T – RUSSIAN ROYALE….-4
LOCH NA MAIRE….-6
* – MARTINA’S DELIGHT….-9
THATCHEREEN….-16

BRIGHTON 5-00

MERIDIUS….+6
T* – AMENABLE….+2
JONTLEMAN….-3
* – PARISIAN PYRAMID….-7
PERFECT PASTIME….-7
ALNOOMAAS….-9
AYE AYE DIGBY….-19
PRINCE REGAL….-29

I will not be betting here today so have added no text to those races. I will be more than happy if my figures are even close and will settle for that.

I’m actually more interested in seeing Balotelli in a Liverpool shirt hoping and praying he’s grown up a bit…a lot!….and doesn’t embarrass us or himself.

The very best of luck if you get involved today,

Kindest regards

Ron

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