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Today’s Ratings and Advice 13/06/14

Good luck to those going racing with Grandorio today! I have rated his race, despite it being in excess of 12 furlongs and the figures are below.

The race has a history of just two previous runnings and nothing like enough data to produce a profile for the race but, both runnings have been won by a four year old. That brings in your horse but when added to a few other things I noticed the most likely winner is the top weight. Like I say though, nothing like enough data to produce anything definitive.

JUVENILE “OF NOTE”

Hannon runs a 2-y-o called IVAWOOD in the opener at Sandown and this is the most expensive “Zebedee” sold so far. He cost 220,000Gns and he is very highly regarded. He has the Queens KINEMATIC to beat here but he’s another you need in your tracker whatever he does today.

It’s a bit busier than yesterday so let’s crack on.

ASSUMPTIONS:

CHEPSTOW – Flat (Updated:12/06/2014 at 06:58:00)
Going
Good
Dry on Wednesday and overnight
6mm of rain on Tuesday night
(GoingStick: 6.3 on Wednesday at 07:00)

Stalls
6f – 1m Centre

Weather
Forecast: Dry and sunny on Thursday, max temp 22C.
Sunny spells on Friday with the chance of a shower
later, max temp 24C.

GOODWOOD – Flat (Updated:12/06/2014 at 15:03:46)
Going
Good, Good to Firm in Places on the round course
Watered
(GoingStick: 7.8 on Thursday at 15:15)

Stalls
Straight course Stand side

Rails
First 2 furlongs of 1 Mile course dolled out 5 yards
Lower bend dolled out 5 yards increasing distances on races
run round that bend by 10 yards.

Weather
Dry overnight and staying predominantly dry over the next
few days

Other
Will water overnight to maintain

MUSSELBURGH – Flat (Updated:12/06/2014 at 07:59:37)
Going
Good to Soft Good in places
(GoingStick: 7.1 on Thursday at 07:45)

Stalls
5f and 2m Stands side

Rails
The home and back straight are at the widest position
Distances as advertised.
The bottom bend moved in 1 metre
The Stands bend moved out 1 metre

Weather
Dry Overnight Sunny am
Thursday -Sunny am Clouding over later light rain later 6mm
Friday – Rain overnight lingering into the afternoon 3mm
Saturday – Dry with long Sunny Spells 17c

Other
Harriet Graham 07843 380401 or 01835 840307
Twitter @harrietgraham1 Stable Bookings
musselburghstables@gmail.com

SANDOWN PARK – Flat (Updated:12/06/2014 at 16:06:12)
Going
Good
(GoingStick: Round Course 7.8 Sprint Course 7.5 on Thursday at
16:00)

Stalls
Sprint Course – Far Side (Full width)

Rails
Rail dolled out on Round Course up to 5 yds from inner position
from 1m 1f to Winning Post, with bend at mid-configuration,
adding 8 yards to race distances.

Weather
8mm rain in showers Monday evening. Rest of week looking dry and
warm with both Thursday and Friday possibly 25/26 degrees.
Saturday dry but a bit cooler.

YORK – Flat (Updated:13/06/2014 at 06:07:18)
Going
Good

Stalls
Stalls Positions: 5f & 6f – Far Side; 1m 4f – Centre;

Rails
From 9f to entrance to straight on home bend: racing on
traditional racing line which has not been raced on this
year – no adjustment to official race distances.

Weather
Recent rainfall of: 8mm on Saturday; 1mm on Sunday, 8mm
Monday. Dry since. Met office forecast: Friday – warm with sunny
intervals, 21 degrees. Friday night – chance of thundery shower
in evening. Saturday – dry & cloudy in morning, sunny intervals
in afternoon.

* – indicates winner on ground as currently described above
§ – perceived as best drawn
T – indicates having travelled more than 150 miles to race today

YORK 3-40

§* – GRISSOM….+9
* – DUBAI HILLS….+8
DUSKY QUEEN….+4
§* – GREEN HOWARD….-6
* – TRUE PLEASURE….-14
§ – SECRET RECIPE….-23
ESCAPE TO GLORY….-24
T§ – KAKATOSI….-28
SMARTY SOCKS….-28
ALEJANDRO….-30
T§ – FOXTROT ROMEO….-31
KALK BAY….-34
JOE EILE….-36
PERSONAL TOUCH….-39
§ – LAZARUS BELL….-40
JOHNNY CAVAGIN….-40

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1, 2 and 4 in the old dutch. It’ll be my top one getting the call for a 20/80 and exotics should be ok if i’m right.

THREE TO DUTCH – GRISSOM, DUBAI HILLS, GREEN HOWARD
20/80 – GRISSOM
EXOTICS – GRISSOM, DUBAI HILLS, GREEN HOWARD
LAY – NONE

YORK 4-10

* – BONDESIRE….-2
* – ROCKSILLA….-2
* – LOVE ISLAND….-3
ROYAL RASCAL….-8
MAR MAR….-10
* – MISPLACED FORTUNE….-13
* – WILLBEME….-20
THE GOLD CHEONGSAM….-22
MAID A MILLION….-37

MY PLAY – Top trio for my own bets here. Interesting they have opted to run THE GOLD CHEONGSAM in this as opposed to the Wokingham at Royal Ascot.

THREE TO DUTCH – BONDESIRE, ROCKSILLA, LOVE ISLAND
20/80 – BONDESIRE
EXOTICS – BONDESIRE, ROCKSILLA, LOVE ISLAND
LAY – NONE

YORK 4-40

BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY….+1
PHAENOMENA….-8
* – PARTY LINE….-10
* – KIWAYU….-13
GRANDORIO….-15
* – MR SNOOZY….-21
* – ARAMIST….-22
EAGLE ROCK….-25
SINGZAK….-30
BIN SINGSPIEL….-33
DR IRV….-34
BOWDLER’S MAGIC….-37
LOCAL HERO….-40
TOTALISE….-40
STOPPED OUT….-40
HAPPY FAMILIES….-40

I will just be having my loyalty bet, 20/80, on GRANDORIO. It is interesting to keep hearing the lads at Hambleton suggesting he needs give when two of his three win to date have come on good to firm. On all evidence, I’m happy for that sun to keep blazing down and we’ll see what happens.

SANDOWN 3-50

* – CHAIN OF EVENTS….+9
* – VITAL EVIDENCE….+5
GONE DUTCH….+2
* – FIRST POST….+/-0
LADY PIMPERNEL….-7
* – KASTINI….-14
* – GUISING….-21
* – TOBACCO ROAD….-23
VEERAYA….-31
ECHO BRAVA….-31
SHEILA’S BUDDY….-38

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1, 2 and 4 please stand up….yer dutched, it’s a 20/80 my top one and exotics.

THREE TO DUTCH – CHAIN OF EVENTS, VITAL EVIDENCE, FIRST POST
20/80 – CHAIN OF EVENTS
EXOTICS – CHAIN OF EVENTS, VITAL EVIDENCE, FIRST POST
LAY – NONE

MUSSELBURGH 3-25

T* – BEST OF ORDER….+12
T* – HEAVY METAL….+8
T* – JUST PAUL….+8
* – SILVER RIME….+/-0
T* – NEWSTEAD ABBEY….-2
T – MAJESTIC MOON….-11
T – LAFFAN….-23
T – TELLOVOI….-40

MY PLAY – Top three for the lot.

THREE TO DUTCH – BEST OF ORDER, HEAVY METAL, JUST PAUL
20/80 – BEST OF ORDER
EXOTICS – BEST OF ORDER, HEAVY METAL, JUST PAUL
LAY – NONE

MUSSELBURGH 4-00

T* – KARAKA JACK….-6
* – BORDER BANDIT….-11
T – CRAVAT….-15
DHAULAR DHAR….-23
SHADOWTIME….-24
T – BARAWEEZ….-26
T – OUTLAW TORN….-40
NEVER FOREVER….-40

MY PLAY – I will just dutch my top pair and work my top rated 20/80 plus tinker with exotics.

TWO TO DUTCH – KARAKA JACK, BORDER BANDIT
20/80 – KARAKA JACK
EXOTICS – KARAKA JACK, BORDER BANDIT, CRAVAT
LAY – NONE

CHEPSTOW 6-40

* – BELLE PARK….+14
MR FITZROY….+9
DANDY….+8
UNISON….-4
* – APRIL CIEL….-5
* – BOLD DUKE….-8
PANDORICA….-8
* – FROZEN OVER….-12

MY PLAY – I’m again just working with two here. Rated horses 1 and 5….dutch, 20/80 BELLE PARK, and exotics.

TWO TO DUTCH – BELLE PARK, APRIL CIEL
2080 – BELLE PARK
EXOTICS – BELLE PARK, APRIL CIEL, BOLD DUKE
LAY – NONE

CHEPSTOW 7-15

T – RAAMZ….+10
* – TENBRIDGE….+3
SWEET MARTONI….+3
* – SILVAS ROMANA….-7
LADY BAYSIDE….-11
ZED CANDY….-13
ORATORIO’S JOY….-20
T – LADY GUINEVERE….-22
SWIFT ACT….-30

MY PLAY – Not one I’m sweet on but I’ve worked on it so, rated horses 1, 2 and 4 dutched, a 20/80 TENBRIDGE and exotics but staking on the low side.

THREE TO DUTCH – RAAMZ, TENBRIDGE, SILVAS ROMANA
20/80 – TENBRIDGE
EXOTICS – RAAMZ, TENBRIDGE, SILVAS ROMANA
LAY – LADY GUINEVERE

CHEPSTOW 7-50

PERFECT MISSION….+15
* – BOUNTYBEAMADAM….+10
* – JUST ISLA….-4
* – FEDERAL BLUE….-11
SECRET BEAU….-14
PEAK STORM….-18
CARAMACK….-20
KAKAPUKA….-28
AL’S MEMORY….-34
T – HAAMES….-40
DOUGAL PHILPS….-40

MY PLAY – 2, 3 and 4 dutched, a 20/80 BOUNTYBEAMADAM and exotics. If my top one manages to pull it off, I lose.

THREE TO DUTCH – BOUNTYBEAMADAM, JUST ISLA, FEDERAL BLUE
20/80 – BOUNTYBEAMADAM
EXOTICS – BOUNTYBEAMADAM, JUST ISLA, FEDERAL BLUE
LAY – NONE

Have a great day and the very best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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