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Pauper punter so far at Ascot, Is Treve simply not as good as we thought – and the Lord Mayor on Saturday?

One 4/1 winner and a stone cold last on Saturday gone just about sums up the world of racing in my book, but a profit was made to level stakes yet again, and not too many services can claim that without their fingers crossed behind their backs I assure you!

This week we ought to look more carefully at the Royal Ascot meeting that has dominated proceedings though no need to sugar coat things – bad rides need mentioning even more so than winning ones as they may well point toward a bigger priced winner later in the season!

Toronado
Toronado – oozes class

Tuesday saw it all kick off with the bookies bashed via Toronado who looked to be one to follow, and is now added to the list below, though I was bitterly disappointed by the run of Soft Falling Rain, who looked all at sea on the faster going and is one to avoid as he looks as though he may well have fallen out of love with the game.  Sole Power showed once again that age is no issue in the top sprints by winning the King’s Stand Stakes for Ed Lynam but Shea Shea came back coughing and may have had an excuse on the day – I hope so because he ran way below his best in my biased view, and was never in the race with a chance downing my each way bet in the process.

Kingman impressed with a devastating turn of foot to take the St James Palace Stakes under the likeable James Doyle yet still showed plenty of signs of his immaturity – I genuinely believe we are yet to see the best of him, and he will certainly get better as the season goes on.

Treve
Treve – maybe she isn’t all that, or is that sacrilege?

Moving on to Wednesday, and Spanish Pipedream was my first loser (and first bet), though I knew my fate almost before the stalls had opened. Her time from Keeneland suggested she was an absolute speedball with a temperament to match, so once we had some issues with other runners refusing to go in the gates while my selection was sat there getting stressed, the writing was on the wall. She fell out of the stalls and sulked so did remarkably well to finish fourth but I am sure we didn’t see her at her best which is a real shame financially and for the sport as a whole. Treve was a bitter disappointment – I know they are still looking for physical issues back at home, but could it be that she simply isn’t as good as we thought she was? She was impressive last year I agree, but most French racing is on ground with plenty of give and I felt she may have failed to act on this much faster surface?

Thursday still failed to provide me with many winners (note to self – follow Ron’s advice), but I was impressed by a couple on the day, namely Baitha Alga and especially Cannock Chase.  The first named scooted clear with a very good turn of foot under Frankie to take the Norfolk Stakes but he is no classic winner and may do all his winning this season before the others catch him up physically. As for Cannock Chase, Ryan Moore was as cool as a cucumber as usual sat out of his ground before bringing the Sir Michael Stoute trained three year old with a long wound up run that got to the front where it matters. Punters certainly had his jockey to thank as he landed odds of 7/4 (and some hefty bets as well) to at least make some peoples day (sour grapes from me there).

Looking ahead, I will go looking for a couple more winners this weekend, though have to admit – if Royal Ascot is anything to go by I wouldn’t hold your breath! I missed out on Dick Whittington last weekend when he took his maiden at Navan but boy was he ultra impressive, quickening up nicely to score by a very easy four lengths plus. Of course the Chesham Stakes is a massive step up in class but the O’Brien yard had a plethora of bluebloods to pick from, yet send this son of Rip Van Winkle pot hunting as the one and only choice – that seems good enough for me though I am aware the yard are a bit up and down at present. Slightly riskier (well OK, a lot riskier!), I suggest Due Diligence could be an each way option in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes.  Only a three year old, he has shown a devastating turn of foot when needed to win his last two races at Naas and with his age allowance from his elders and betters, could see Ryan Moore back in to the inners enclosure where he so clearly belongs.

Next week – lets talk about the whip yet again!

Selections this week:

Dick Whittington 2.30pm Royal Ascot  Saturday

Due Diligence 4.25pm Royal Ascot Saturday

 

Horses to follow:

Flat:

Toronado – could be absolutely top class and looked to ease up in front at Ascot in the Queen Anne Stakes for a cozy victory. Bound to improve again for the run he will be aimed at the top all aged mile events this season and will hopefully mop up and boost our profit margins!

*** No current Entries***

Joyeuse – the mile of the 1000 guineas was clearly a step too far for the daughter of Oasis Dream but switched back to six furlongs she won with any amount in hand at Haydock. With her fillies and/or three year old allowance it seems certain that Lady Cecil will place her to good effect for the rest of this season and beyond, and with a bit of cut in the ground she seems certain to win more races.

***No current entries***

Rewaaya – word at the John Gosden yard is that she is better than we have seen so far and certainly Group class – be that here or possibly abroad as the three-year-old options start to run out. She was talked of as an Oaks filly so no great shock to see her win her maiden with ease at odds on but she still showed all the customary signs of inexperience and I am sure there is more to come.

***No current entries***

Horsted Keynes – always seen as a late developer, connections hope he will be even better as a four year old. He started well enough with a comfortable victory at Yarmouth last Tuesday but was blowing hard enough after the race to suggest there is improvement to come despite the fact that the seven furlongs that day were covered in an impressive 1.m 23.44 seconds, 0.16 quicker than standard!

***Entered at Royal Ascot 20th June ***

Between Wickets – ran a blinder at a big price when runner up to the impressive and well backed Provident Spirit, and just like all Tregoning horses the son of Compton Place looked certain to improve considerably for the run. I doubt he is special but he ought to be more than capable of picking up his maiden if well placed by connections as seems most likely. Beaten in to a place every race so far – surely a win is just around the corner?

*** No current entries***

Tominator – back in training at the Jonjo O’Neill yard they are very happy with him and he looks a picture – expect a few wins this season with the Chester Cup very much on the agenda.

***No current entries***

Mutakayyef– trained by William Haggas I had a quandary this week – do I or don’t I back the son of Sea The Stars? As with all the stable juveniles he was a shoe in to improve for the run but he is spoken of in glowing terms by gallop watchers in Newmarket. Fact is he ran as expected – slowly away, green as grass, and hampered as well, he will learn plenty from the experience and can be ignored at your peril.

***Entered in the Irish Derby ***

Idea – lightly raced three year old trained by Sir Michael Stoute and was said to be flying up the gallops since day one. Won after a poor run at Windsor when seen looking as green as grass and very much one to keep on the right side of – originally nominated by a Post racing reader! Since finished well beaten in a handicap at York before winning at Kempton  but surely a bit better than that? Lost at Royal ascot but that was a tough handicap, could add another win to the CV soon.

***No current entries ***

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