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Today’s Ratings and Advice 26/05/14

Karen and I would like to thank you for the messages of condolence. That so many of you took the time to send them means a heck of a lot to us both. Thanks again.

Today is her birthday and whilst it will be more muted than usual we will celebrate as best we can!

Karen followed our Scoop 6 syndicate effort with me on Saturday and whilst we didn’t manage to win it, the eight place lines brought back a dividend of £2412 and that was a small profit that now sits there waiting for members to decide what to do with it. I will be e-mailing all concerned this morning for suggestions.

THE NEW PACKAGES

I have had just two responses to that Newsletter and I will be responding to both in a second Newsletter later today, just in case there are others thinking along the same lines.

If you do have a bee in your bonnet over anything at all, please e-mail me contact@postracing.net and I will get back to you as soon as possible. Obviously, if your request involves a detailed response it may take a little while getting back.

It’s a Bank Holiday and a busy one on the racing front so let’s just crack on. I have sent today’s figures out to those members of The Weekend Club who will also have received nothing last weekend. I hope they prove profitable to you.

ASSUMPTIONS:

CARLISLE – Flat (Updated:26/05/2014 at 07:08:19)
Going
Good, Good to Soft in places between 1m 1f and 7f
(GoingStick: Going stick being repaired on Friday at 13:00)

Stalls
Stalls – all on inside

Weather
8mm in last 24 hours
Monday – cloudy with sunny spells 17C

Watering
Watered Saturday 5mm from 1m start

LEICESTER – Flat (Updated:26/05/2014 at 06:51:04)
Going
Good to Soft,Soft in places.
(GoingStick: 6.2 on Monday at 06:30)

Stalls
Straight course- Stands side. Round course- Inside.

Weather
Dry overnight. Forecast:Monday- Dry morning with possible rain in
the afternoon. Tuesday- Rain on and off for most of the day.

REDCAR – Flat (Updated:26/05/2014 at 06:38:36)
Going
Good to soft, soft in places
(GoingStick: 7.6 on Friday at 01:30)

Stalls
Straight Course – Centre

Weather
Dry through Sunday and overnight with a bright sunny
morning forecast for today (Monday) but cloudy periods
developing during the afternoon and evening. Outlook for
Tuesday is dull with showers and up to 4mm rainfall.

WINDSOR – Flat (Updated:26/05/2014 at 07:10:19)
Going
Good to Soft.
updated going stick reading to follow.

Stalls
1m 2f abt 7yds and 1m 3f abt 135yds:- Centre.

Rails
Inner of Straight dolled out 10yds at 6f and 4yds at the Winning
Post. Top bend dolled out 9yds from normal inner configuration,
adding 35yds to race distances of 1m+

Weather
15.5mm rainfall in total rainfall Thursday.
2mm rainfall Friday.
9.5mm rainfall Saturday.
Dry overnight and all of yesterday (Sunday)
Monday:- early morning rain shower of 0.5mm to date and light
drizzle at present, rain showers possible throughout the day 15c.

* – indicates winner on ground as currently described above
§ – perceived as best drawn
T – indicates having travelled more than 150 miles to race today

CARLISLE 2-40

§ – BACOTHEQUE….+9
* – ORBIT THE MOON….+9
* – BEAU MISTRAL….+9
§* – CIRCUITOUS….+9
* – JUST THE TONIC….+8
§* – GOLD BEAU….+8
§* – DIAMOND BLUE….+8
* – KLYNCH….+8
* – MEDICI TIME….+3
* – SUNRAIDER….+2
§ – LLEWELLYN….-2
* – RED EXPLORER….-10
§* – YPRES….-15
SOUND AMIGO….-23

MY PLAY – My top one keeps winking at me but with no winning form on the ground they currently have there I’m looking away. The three I’ll work with are rated horses 2, 4 and 6….dutch….20/80 CIRCUITOUS as he has those two icons I swear by and I will look into those exotics, too. Middle drawn preferred to low over high.

CARLISLE 3-15

* – HAKUNA MATATA….+8
* – SPIN ARTIST….-1
BARTACK….-3
* – AL MUHEER….-9
* – KIWI BAY….-11
* – SHADOWTIME….-12
* – ARGAKI….-12
* – I’M SUPER TOO….-12
JOHNNO….-16
* – RALPHY BOY….-26
SWORD OF THE LORD….-40

MY PLAY – I’m working with my top rated 20/80 and setting up a dutch the three highest rated marked *….exotics same trio.

CARLISLE 4-20

* – MCGONAGLE….+9
* – BALTIC PRINCE….+9
BAPAK MUDA….-4
* – MERCERS ROW….-7
* – IMPERATOR AUGUSTUS….-7
* – ALLURING STAR….-11
JANAAB….-15
* – RUNNING REEF….-20

MY PLAY – Usual suspects plucked from the three highest perches carrying the *….usual play, too.

CARLISLE 5-20

* – FERDY….+2
* – DAKOTA CANYON….-2
* – TECTONIC….-4
* – MYSTERIAL….-14
* – VALANTINO OYSTER….-22
STAFFHOSS….-26
MASH POTATO….-28
PRINTMAKER….-35
PAT’S LEGACY….-40
GABRIAL’S HOPE….-40
SAMOSET….-40
BUZZ LAW….-40

MY PLAY – Ditto my remarks re. that race directly above.

LEICESTER 2-15

* – TRIXIE MALONE….-24
KOSIKA….-25
* – FAMOOS….-29
BROUGHTONS CHARM….-37
DUTCH MISTRESS….-40
HANNAHS TURN….-40

MY PLAY – I will just have a straight win bet my top one.

LEICESTER 3-20

POSH BOY….+8
ZAFRANAGAR….-3
* – MINSTREL LAD….-15
GRANELL….-21
GRAND LIAISON….-23
THE FIRM….-29
GREY BLUE….-40

MY PLAY – Just a small 20/80 MINSTREL LAD. This isn’t stoking my fires at all.

REDCAR 4-15

* – SENNOCKIAN STAR….+8
T – AJMANY….+8
T* – WHISPERING WARRIOR….-4
* – SILVERY MOON….-8
T* – STRICTLY SILVER….-9
T – CASHPOINT….-11
MAVEN….-20
GINGER JACK….-25
T* – SPA’S DANCER….-26
SKY KHAN….-35
STEPPING AHEAD….-40
T – ENNISTOWN….-40

MY PLAY – I have added a little bit of profiling I produced for this race on Facebook a few days ago. Just to add, our Facebook page has doubled the number of ‘likes” in less than a month and is adding to that daily. Not surprised given what’s been put up on there recently!
This is the best race of the day and from a Ratings point of view it’s got to be rated horses 1, 3 and 4 dutched, a 20/80 my top one and exotics but, what does profiling suggest?

PROFILING

This is what was posted:

DRAW – 11 OF THE LAST 17 WINNERS WERE DRAWN 7 OR LOWER

AGE – 9 AGED 4

MARKET POSITION – 11 OF LAST 17 WINNERS PRICED 6/1 OR SHORTER

OR – 14 OF LAST 17 WINNERS HAD OR OF 87 OR HIGHER

What I’ll now add is that none of those last 17 winners was officially rated higher than 98 and my top rated horse is running off 102.

Ajmany ticks three of those boxes but I’m not sure the draw of nine will cause him to many problems. Add into the mix that Luca Cumani has won two of the last four runnings of this and AJMANY by virtue of rating and profiling simply becomes the “go to” horse for a profit here.

On the negative, it’s his first run on good to soft, and you know how important the going is to me.

Given the position in my Ratings and the suggestion he is the profile horse here, I’ll just have a straight win bet Cumani takes his third in five….I’ll look at the potential to dutch with rated horses 3 and 4.

If it went soft I’d most likely just run with my figures.

WINDSOR 4-40

* – PRESBURG….+4
TEPMOKEA….-8
* – SHEILA’S BUDDY….-13
* – STARWATCH….-13
NAVE….-18
TINSHU….-22
COULOIR EXTREME….-23
ODIN….-27
SAIGON CITY….-31
NUMBER ONE LONDON….-35
RUZEIZ….-40

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1, 3 and 4 to my usual thing.

WINDSOR 5-10

KINGSTON EUCALYPT….+9
LYRIC BALLAD….-9
UGNADA GLORY….-9
SIAN GWALIA….-18
CHORAL FESTIVAL….-22
LADY OF YUE….-26
STORM….-27
LADY LUNCHALOT….-29
KENNY’S GIRL….-32
PERNICA….-40
TRACKS OF MY TEARS….-40

MY PLAY – None of this lot has won on the going as officially described…it’s October Rules or nowt….and with it being Windsor, most likely the latter.

WINDSOR 5-40

* – LINKS DRIVE LADY….+6
* – MIDNIGHT RIDER….+1
O’GORMAN….+/-0
DOMINATE….-7
JUBILEE BRIG….-14
* – VINCENTTI….-19
MARJONG….-27
ENGLISHMAN….-28
T – I’LL BE GOOD….-40
LUPO D’ORO….-40
TRIPLE CHOCOLATE….-40

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1, 2 and 6…dutch, 20/80 my top rated and exotics…no fancy staking though.

Have a great day and the very best of luck

Kindest regards

Ron

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