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Today’s Ratings and Advice 17/05/14

I enjoyed an excellent days punting yesterday, finishing off with a nice 7/1 winner in the last at Hamilton…missed Navajo Chief on Thursday, got that one yesterday….swings/roundabouts.

It is an exceptionally busy day for me personally today as I have a long drive to Abersoch where I am attending a wedding, and then a nice long drive back…I expect to land home again around midnight.

To be honest, it’s the longest trip made since I got out of hospital and I’m dreading it!

First though, I have to finalise this Newsletter and then set about winning £10M for our syndicate.

If anyone needs me for anything I’m afraid I’m incommunicado until Sunday but I will get back to you then.

JOHN STANDISH

Good to see John posting a nice priced winner for those that got on early enough. He’s toughed it out nicely and trying to find one or two selections each day is not a way I like to play.

Fingers crossed he bangs in another this afternoon.

ASSUMPTIONS:

DONCASTER – Flat (Updated:16/05/2014 at 09:37:01)
Going
Good to Soft, Good in Places
(GoingStick: 7.6 on Friday at 08:30)

Stalls
All races inside

Rails
Railed out from 1m2f start until the round course meets the
straight.
This adds about 18 yards to races 1m2f and longer.

Weather
Wednesday Dry temp high +18
Thursday Dry temp high +19
Forecast
Friday Dry temp high +21
Saturday Dry temp high +22

Other
Clerk of the course R Duncan 07772958685
Estate Manager Tim Radford 07831260374

NEWBURY – Flat (Updated:16/05/2014 at 12:58:07)
Going
Good
(GoingStick: 7.2 on Friday at 13:00)

Stalls
Straight course centre, Round course inside rail.

Rails
Rail on the back straight has been moved out all round
course races are 22 m longer

Weather
Last 24 hrs Dry
Forecast:Fri:Dry and sunny. Winds light and variable. Max 19
Sat:Dry and sunny. Winds E 2 to 5

Other
There is no stable lads accommodation on site. Please advise
as early as possible if accommodation is required so that
rooms can be booked.

NEWMARKET – Flat (Updated:16/05/2014 at 12:58:11)
Going
Good to Firm (Good in Places)
(GoingStick: 7.2 on Friday at 07:30)

Stalls
Stand Side Course

Weather
Dry on Thursday and overnight.
Friday; Dry and warm.
Saturday; Dry & warm with sunny spells but the possibility of an
afternoon shower.

THIRSK – Flat (Updated:16/05/2014 at 12:35:22)
Going
Good, Good to Soft in Places
(GoingStick: 8.0 on Friday at 12:00)

Stalls
Straight Course: Stands’ Side

Rails
Rail dolled out circa 7 yards on the home bend (wood bend)to move
onto fresh ground, adding circa 16 yards to both the 1m and 1m4f
standard distances.

Weather
Sunny and warm.

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses perceived as being best drawn
T INDICATES HORSES THAT HAVE TRAVELLED OVER 150 MILES OR MORE TO RACE

NEWMARKET 1-45

§T* – ILLUSTRIOUS PRINCE….-15
* – FRONT PAGE NEWS….-25
EVIDENT….-30
T – STAFFHOSS….-31
T* – ZAITSEV….-35
§ – SHEIKH THE REINS….-40
§ – PRESUMIDO….-40
SHAOLIN….-40
§ – JACK OF DIAMONDS….-40
DUKE OF DESTINY….-40
UNTIL MIDNIGHT….-40
SMOKETHATTHUNDERS….-40

MY PLAY – This is the opening leg of today’s Scoop 6 and it’s very nasty. My top rated has a lot going for it but only usually wins later in the season, his sole win at this time of year coming on debut many moons ago. The Tote were never going to make winning £10M easy!

On an ordinary day I would probably not bet n this one, or, if I did, it would be that trio marked * to October Rules levels of staking.

NEWBURY 2-40

* – INDIGNANT….+11
* – BRONZE ANGEL….+10
§T* – SIR REGINALD….+8
* – TELLOVOI….-9
§* – CHIL THE KITE….-15
§* – BURANO….-16
* – SET THE TREND….-16
T – KENNY POWERS….-26
FORT KNOX….-26
§T – DREAM WALKER….-35
MONSIEUR CHEVALIER….-40
MORACHE MUSIC….-40
MODERN TUTOR….-40
§ – TRADER JACK….-40

MY PLAY – Top three for me…Dutch, 20/80 SIR REGINALD as he has draw/going icons nestling nicely alongside his name, and exotics.

Another Scoop 6 race but this has no history/stats attached and we are very much guessing from that angle.

THIRSK 3-25

T* – GO GO GREEN….+9
§ – LASTCHANCELUCAS….+9
§* – IMPERIAL LEGEND….+3
* – OLDJOESAID….+3
T§ – PRINCE REGAL….-5
TAX FREE….-7
§ – TUMBLEWIND….-15
* – KEEP IT DARK….-15
* – AMBITIOUS ICARUS….-17
BLUE BULLET….-18
* – BRONZE BEAU….-25
ALASKAN BULLET….-25
HOOFALONG….-28
§ – FIRST IN COMMAND….-29
SIX WIVES….-32

MY PLAY – I’m working with rated horses 1, 3 and 4 – Dutch, 20/80 IMPERIAL LEGEND and exotics. I mentioned in my Scoop 6 prep work last night that my feeling here is that this is the race that blows the Scoop 6 apart…you get this one, you most certainly have a chance. I’m throwing five into the perm from this race and have not a lot of confidence in finding that winner.

THIRSK 4-00

§ – EUTROPIUS….+15
§* – CELTIC SIXPENCE….+11
§* – JUSTONEFORTHEROAD….+11
§* – SAVE THE BEES….+10
§* – LLANARMON LAD….+9
* – MYSTERIAL….+9
§ – BLIGHTY….+9
* – ROCKET RONNIE….+9
§* – CAPAILL LIATH….+8
* – AL MUHEER….+8
LORD AERYN….-8
§ – ESACPE TO GLORY….-16
§ – ODDYSEY….-16
§ – PICENO….-17

MY PLAY – The last leg of the Scoop 6. If anyone is in with a chance of winning this they are going to need the luck of the devil. The draw bias looks to favour those drawn high/middle, low struggling.

If I didn’t have the syndicate entry to mess with my mind it’d be a simple Dutch….rated horses 2, 3 and 4, my 20/80 on CELTIC SIXPENCE and exotics. They have the two icons I want when backing horses. That’s how I’ll play it.

THIRSK 4-35

T – APRICOT SKY….+18
§* – BOP IT….+11
§* – POLSKI MAX….+10
* – MY NAME IS RIO….+9
* – MUTAFAAKIR….+8
ROBOT BOY….+2
* – BABY STRANGE….-1
§ – ARCTIC FEELING….-1
LEWISHAM….-7
BARNSTON ASH….-11
§ – CHOOSEDAY….-14
SPACE ARTIST….-17

MY PLAY – My top rated is unexposed and if he wins, he wins but my dutch will consist of rated hoses 2, 3 and 4….20/80 BOP IT and exotics.

THIRSK 5-10

§* – HOPES N DREAMS….+12
* – DOC HAY….+9
§* – KIMBRELLA….+8
* – CONFESSIONAL….+2
COSMIC CHATTER….+2
* – DA’QUONDE….-3
§ – LOVER MAN….-7
NOBLE STORM….-10
ZIGGY LEE….-21
WAFFLE….-25
T§ – PEARL ACCLAIM….-40

MY PLAY – Top three for everything. They pick themselves for my own way of working.

DONCASTER 7-30

* – BOONGA ROOGETA….+8
COSSETED….+8
* – NO POPPY….-3
MISSED CALL….-9
SEA MEETS SKY….-15
MAGIC ART….-20

MY PLAY – Just a 20/80 my top one….perhaps an exotic with NO POPPY but staking will be minimal.

DONCASTER 8-05

§* – RUN WITH PRIDE….+11
T* – RASAMAN….+9
§ – TIME AND PLACE….+8
§* – COMMANCHE
* – TRADE SECRET….+5
§ – WILLBEME….+/-0
* – MON BRAV….-3
* – KLYNCH….-6
§ – DUKE COSIMO….-8
* – MEANDMYSHADOW….-9
T§ *- ALEXANDRAKOLLONTAI….-15
* – TOWBEE….-15
* – SUNRAIDER….-15
ORBIT THE MOON….-21
T* – VINCENTTI….-23
§ – EXPOSE….-24
ENDERBY SPIRIT….-30
BACHOTHEQUE….-34
ELAND ALLY….-40

MY PLAY – I’ll wager they would have loved this one in that Scoop 6 conundrum! My 20/80 is my top rated but, what to use with it for dutching? COMMANCHE, for sure but RASAMAN and TRADE SECRET have poor draws and TIME AND PLACE/WILLBEME have going issues. I’ll go with TIME AND PLACE.

Dutch – rated horses 1, 3 and 4, top one for my solo play and exotics. I’ll be on the drive back from Abersoch when this goes off so I’ll annoy the other residents in the car with the Timeform Radio commentary.

Have a great day and the very best of luck if you are getting involved.

Kindest regards

Ron

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