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Today’s Ratings and Advice 14/05/14

An important day for 500 Club members and I imagine we’ll all be glued to the TV if we are able.

I’m going to cut straight to it and a second Newsletter will go out this morning regarding the Scoop 6 syndicate and other bits and pieces.

I have also very nearly finished the tome…for it is a tome…relating to the new packages that will be available to you from October. It also covers a fair few other things such as the end of NH season review…..what went right, what went wrong.

ASSUMPTIONS:

CHEPSTOW – Flat (Updated:13/05/2014 at 05:59:01)
Going
Soft
Dry overnight
1mm of rain on Monday
(16mm of rain Thursday to Sunday)
(GoingStick: 3.8 on Sunday at 08:00)

Stalls
5f to 1m: Centre

Weather
Forecast: Sunny spells and showers on Tuesday, 2-3mm.
Mainly dry and warm on Wednesday, max temp 18C.

YORK – Flat (Updated:14/05/2014 at 05:47:19)
Going
Soft, Good to Soft in Places
(GoingStick: 6.6 overall average; in home straight: farside –
6.3; centre – 6.4 standside – 6.2. on Tuesday at 15:30)

Stalls
5f and 6f – standside; 1m4f – centre; remainder – inside rail.

Rails
Wednesday Rail alignment: racing on inside racing line reducing
official
race distances by 24 yards for races of 1 mile and over.

Weather
Dry from 6pm Tuesday with clear, blue skies Wednesday morning.
Met Office forecast: Wednesday dry, bright and sunny – small
chance of a light shower in evening. Thursday and Friday – dry,
bright and sunny – 18 degrees rising to 19 degrees by Friday.

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses perceived as being best drawn
T INDICATES HORSES THAT HAVE TRAVELLED OVER 150 MILES OR MORE TO RACE

YORK 1-45

* – RYE HOUSE….+13
§* – TRES CORONAS…+9
* – HI THERE….+9
* – GRANDORIO….+1
§* – PASAKA BOY….+/-0
* – SILVERY MOON….-1
STORM KING….-5
* – SPIRIT OF THE LAW….-14
AWAKE MY SOUL….-14
§* – SKY KHAN….-15
§ – CASHPOINT….-15
* – GLOBAL VILLAGE….-16
LAHAAG….-18
* – ANSAAB….-20
§* – CLEVER COOKIE….-22
MAVEN….-28
§ – KING’S WARRIOR….-32
TAHIRA….-36

MY PLAY – I’m obviously already on Grandorio with my loyalty bet and he’s got a figure here that he can only improve on as a four year old. My reading of the draw though suggests to me rated horses 1, 3, 4 have the worst of it. I’m preferring high over middle with low just off them. I sincerely hope I’m wrong.

I work with what I have though and my Dutch will contain TRES CORONAS, also my 20/80, PASAKA BOY and SILVERY MOON. Exotics that same trio.

I cannot get anything like a proper handle on CLEVER COOKIE as he has had just the one run but, he’s drawn right, the ground is right and he must surely improve on what we’ve seen so far.

YORK 2-15

SECRET WITNESS….+12
LANCELOT DU LAC….+10
§* – ROYAL RASCAL….+9
* – REGAL PARADE….+9
OUT DO….+8
ROYAL ROCK….+6
§* – JAMIACAN BOLT….+3
§* – COLONEL MAK….-2
§* – FAST SHOT….-6
VALBCHEK….-7
* – PICTURE DEALER….-7
EL VIENTO….-8
* – SUMMERINTHECITY….-14
* – AETNA….-16
BACCARAT….-17
BLAINE….-18
§ – MEZZOTINT….-22
JOE PACKET….-29
§ – YEEOW….-40
WHOZTHECAT….-40

MY PLAY – Pulling my hair out (what’s left of it), as the only horse in my top six that offers me a bet is ROYAL RASCAL. The others in my top six have a draw or ground issue and with three sitting 7th, 8th and 9th best all having things perfect, I’m of a mind the winner may well sit outside my top six. I’ll just have a 20/80 ROYAL RASCAL and adjust my play should any of my top six come out and let those just outside, in.

YORK 5-00

§* – CRACKENTORP….+9
* – MIKA MICA….+8
* – GABRIAL’S STAR….+8
BAYAN KASIRGA….-5
§* – EBONY EXPRESS….-11
§* – ASTRA HALL….-11
* – O MA LAD….-16
* – DEEPSAND….-23
GUISING….-23
WARLU WAY….-31
§ – STREETS OF NEWYORK….-32
EX ORIENTE….-36
§ – SHERMAN MCCOY….-40
PILGRIMS REST….-40
§ – FREEWHEEL….-40
GOOD SPEECH….-40
DA DO RUN RUN….-40
RECESSION PROOF….-40

MY PLAY – Three in my top six attaining those two icons i like and they get the call to arms. Dutch, 20/80 CRACKENTORP and exotics.

CHEPSTOW 6-25

STOCKHILL DIVA….+3
ANGUS GLENS….+1
* – APRIL CIEL….-2
LET ME IN….-5
* – FIRST POST….-5
* – SHEILA’S BUDDY….-9
ZAFRANAGAR….-22
THANE OF CAWDOR….-23
MOMBASA….-23
BOBBYSCOT….-27

MY PLAY – Rated horses 3, 5 and 6 for my Dutch, a 20/80 APRIL CIEL and exotics but staking here will not look anything like that I’m working with at York!

CHEPSTOW 7-25

* – DREAM CATCHER….+9
§* – NEW DECADE….+4
* – ALL RIGHT NOW….+1
* – ONE LAST DREAM….+/-0
* – SOLEMN….-9
§* – FICELLE….-10
§ – VERUS DELICIA….-12
PETTOCHSIDE….-18
THORPE BAY….-27
§ – DIVINE CALL….-28
CATALINA’S DIAMOND….-40
OSTRALEGUS….-40

MY PLAY – NEW DECADE is my 20/80. I’ll have that plus ALL RIGHT NOW and ONE LAST DREAM in my Dutch to pay for that bet and exotics on the side.

CHEPSTOW 7-55

* – TENBRIDGE….+5
* – PEAK STORM….+1
SECRET BEAU….+/-0
* – FALCON’S REIGN….-2
HARWOODS STAR….-12
* – RAGING BEAR….-15
GRANELL….-17
VIVA VETTORI….-25
SWEET MARTONI….-28
FEDERAL BLUE….-40
OUR IVOR….-40

MY PLAY – Rated horses 1, 2 and 4 in the dutch, 20/80 my top one and exotics. Not a great race to finish off on but hopefully something this way comes!

Have a great day and the very best of luck if you are getting involved.

Kindest regards

Ron

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