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PostRacing Podcast 10th April 2014

10th April 2014 – Post Racing Podcast with Ron Robinson and Sean Trivass
[ca_audio url_mp3=”http://www.merseysidewebdesign.com/temppodcasts/PostRacing%20Podcast%2010th%20April%202014.mp3″ url_ogg=”OGGURL” css_class=”codeart-google-mp3-player” autoplay=”false” download=”false” html5=”false”] Sean and Ron discuss the Greenham meeting at Newbury this weekend, the Scottish National, announce the name of our Podcast competition winner and set you a new poser!

The Podcast question this weekend is:

Which jockey rode the winner of three consecutive Arc de Triomphe’s, riding three different horses, in the mid 1980’s?

RACE PROFILING

TISSUE

Not looking for anything outside the top eight in the market.

GREEN FLAG
MENDIP EXPRESS
SAM WINNER
ROALCO DES FARGES
TRUSTAN TIMES
GODSMEJUDGE
LIE FORRIT

WON OR PLACED LAST TIME OUT

A ‘must have” on the CV….seven of the last 10 winners had it.

GREEN FLAG
MENDIP EXPRESS
ROALCO DES FARGES
TRUSTAN TIMES
LIE FORRIT

WON OVER THREE MILES

Proven stamina is a huge advantage and all five have confirmed they’ll probably manage this marathon trip.

GREEN FLAG
MENDIP EXPRESS
ROALCO DES FARGES
TRUSTAN TIMES
LIE FORRIT

WEIGHT RANGE

Ideally looking for something weighted between 10st and 10st 13lb but Tidal Bay sitting top weight ruins the whole thing right now. He cannot win off that weight and would be better waiting for the Bet365 race at Sandown

Don’t be fooled into thinking horses carrying a big weight can win this just because Godsmejudge pulled it off last year. In the eight years previous the winner carried 10st 9lb or less and three actually won from out of the handicap proper.

Last year Godsmejudge won off 11st 3lb but the next eight home all carried less than 11st.

OFFICIAL RATINGS

Seven of the last 10 winners held an official rating of between 132 – 146

GREEN FLAG – 142
MENDIP EXPRESS – 147
ROALCO DES FARGES – 135
TRUSTAN TIMES – 134
LIE FORRIT – 121

I’m dropping MENDIP EXPRESS off 147 and so, down to four.

GREEN FLAG
ROALCO DES FARGES
TRUSTAN TIMES
LIE FORRIT

HORSES THAT RAN AT CHELTENHAM

We have had 12 winners of this race, since 1972, that ran at the Festival, and only three in the last 10 years so, I’m of a mind to drop horses that raced there.

ROALCO DES FARGES
LIE FORRIT

Down to two.

I’m going to dutch them, but my Post Racing Profile horse will be

ROALCO DES FARGES

Philip Hobbs has sent nine runners for this race in the past and, whilst he is yet to win it, he’s nailed four placed runners so, I’m expecting to draw off an “80” if I play the race.

By contrast, Lucinda Russell, who trains LIE FORRIT, has also sent nine runners for this in the last 10 years and managed just one placed horse.

POST RACING PROFILE HORSE = ROALCO DES FARGES – 20/80

SPRING CUP

This is nothing like as complicated as it might first appear. Four year olds have won seven of the last 10 Spring Cups and that’s definitely my starting point

ONE WORD MORE
GABRIAL’S KAKA
CONSIGN
TINGHIR
BROWNSEA BRINK
SO BELOVED
BLUEGRASS BLUES
AMULET
SECRET ART
ENOBLED
BUCKSTAY
SKYTRAIN

Six of the last 10 winners were in the weight range 8st to 8st 13lb

GABRIAL’S KAKA
CONSIGN
TINGHIR
BROWNSEA BRINK
SO BELOVED
BLUEGRASS BLUES
AMULET
SECRET ART
ENOBLED
BUCKSTAY
SKYTRAIN

We manage to lose a horse I had as my Profile selection for the Lincoln, but which was withdrawn at the start

Only one horse, in the last 10 seasons, has managed to win this from a single figure draw and my guess is, that was only because it was run on soft ground.

GABRIAL’S KAKA
CONSIGN
TINGHIR
SO BELOVED
BLUEGRASS BLUES
AMULET

DONCASTER FORM

Three of the last four winners of this ran at Doncaster in either the Lincoln or Spring Mile.

I’m plucking my next shortlist from that stat and we are left with:

GABRIAL’S KAKA

POST RACING PROFILE HORSE = GABRIAL’S KAKA – 20/80

About Ron

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