Breaking News
Home / Today's Newsletter / Today’s Ratings and Advice 10/03/14

Today’s Ratings and Advice 10/03/14

Ron RobinsonAn outstanding weekend of punting and laying should have been enjoyed by all.

All winter I have been advising, “do not bet midweek, only look at the racing of a weekend”. We have all endured a terrible winter, the rains all but washing racing off the map, even if they have opted to race on ground more suitable for ploughing and planting. Yesterday was the first day I can remember when I could sit down and say, “I love the racing today”. Proper racing ground, bigger fields and the sun shining and, what happens?….we nail, by “natural progression”, a top two 1-2 in our very first rated race of the day, that coughed up a 14/1 top rated winner and a 207/1 exacta, we then had a suggested straight win top rated hose up at 11/4 and would have seen three successive top rated winners had Hatters River jumped the last cleanly. Azure Fly seemed to enjoy the step up in trip, another top rated horse running second @ 5/1 plus, the suggested lay, Five In A Row, napped in the Racing Post, beaten.

Then came the best race of the day at Warwick and the profiling again proved it’s worth, Loughalder leading from pillar to post landing everyone a nice profit to take into Cheltenham week.

I said in January that if you punted horses midweek you would probably be looking at a break even situation playing the top rated horse and I’ll wager that comment is true. I will ask our member keeping the stats just how we sit at close of play last night. I mentioned to him in conversation yesterday that the racing we were working with during that afternoon was like someone having opened a window and letting some fresh air in!!

I have been head down battering the Cheltenham Special and tonight you will receive the first Newsletter (if you qualify), containing my race profiling for Tuesday. Close to 3000 words it is and it hopefully contains all we need for a good start to the Festival meeting.

If you have not yet got involved in the Clatterbridge/Cheltenham project but did enjoy reading the profiling for both the Imperial Cup and that marathon run at Warwick yesterday, which produced winners priced 7/1 and 5/1, feel free to visit the site to register.

It is going to be a funny old week for me. Tomorrow it’s hospital and GP surgery visits (I’ll miss the Supreme), Wednesday I’m free, Thursday I visit Clatterbridge to discuss the project and on Friday I’ll miss the whole lot as I’m heading off to a hospital near Chester with two of the OT’s from Clatterbridge, to see the Sensory garden they have at St Cecils and take back plans on how we can improve on it for the patients at Clatterbridge. A full and busy one.

It’s a full and busy day of racing today, too. Nine rated races from three meetings so best we crack on, eh!

ASSUMPTIONS
PLUMPTON – Jump (Updated:10/03/2014 at 06:59:19)
Going
Soft, Good to Soft in Places
(GoingStick: 5.1Hurdle 5.7 Chase on Monday at 06:45)

Weather
Dry overnight, leaf frost on grass this morning. A fine and
at times sunny day ahead max temp around +15C.

STRATFORD-ON-AVON – Jump (Updated:10/03/2014 at 06:46:06)
Going
Hurdle course: Good to Soft, Soft in places
Chase course: Soft.
(GoingStick: 7.2 on Sunday at 07:00)

Rails
Two hurdle bends are at their maximum, (stable bend and two mile
start bend), extending hurdle race distances by about half a
furlong. (Chase bends as laid out will have little effect on
official distance). The town bend is the only split bend.

Weather
A dry and beautiful day but cooler: max 12C. Breezy.

TAUNTON – Jump (Updated:10/03/2014 at 06:31:43)
Going
Soft, Good to Soft in places
(GoingStick: 4.8 on Monday at 06:00)

Rails
Hurdle bends moved since last meeting, along with chase bend
into home straight. Middle hurdle in back straight to be
omitted all hurdle races. Racing lines altered where
possible, however racing over previously used lines in
places.

Weather
Pleasant day forecast 10c to 12C, sunny intervals, ground
drying back.

*INDICATES HORSES HAVING WON PREVIOUSLY ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED ABOVE

TAUNTON 2-20

THE LAST BRIDGE….+14
NASH POINT….+9
TIN POT MAN….-4
OVER MY HEAD….-6
COMICAL RED….-10
CHILL FACTOR….-16
*RUSSIAN SONG….-17
RADICAL IMPACT….-27
BEST BOY BARNEY….-32
BOBBISOX….-32
POPPY GREGG….-40

ADVICE – This meeting is probably the least “favourite” today….we know what they’ve suffered down there and I’d still be suspicious of the going but, we’ll see. October Rules or nowt for me.

TAUNTON 3-50

*GILES CROSS….+11
*WHISPERING JACK….+10
*POUNGACH….+9
*GOTOYOURPLAY….-6
*WELL REFRESHED….-10
MASSINI’S MAGUIRE….-20

ADVICE – A race I trust as far as I can throw it….no bet for me personally.

TAUNTON 4-20

THE HAPPY WARRIOR….+8
CALUSA STAR….-1
*GOING NOWHERE FAST….-3
KEEP THE CASH….-12
LANDENSTOWN STAR….-13
CLEAR MIX….-21
AREA ACCESS….-26
BUSINESSMONEY JUDI….-40
CAPTAIN SHARPE….-40
UNTIL THE MAN….-40
LITTLE EAGLET….-40
CHANCE ENCOUNTER….-40
GOODAVRES GARDEN….-40
SPUNKY….-40
KILL VAN KULL….-40

ADVICE – You wouldn’t want to be heavily involved here and for me personally, October Rules!

TAUNTON 4-50

*KIRBY’S GLEN….+16
CAPISCI….+8
*FINTAN….-4
THINK ITS ALL OVER….-12
WICKLEWOOD….-23
ASHCOTT BOY….-37
REGAL PARK….-39
BEAUCHAMP VIKING….-40

ADVICE – I’ll dutch rated horses 1 & 3, go 20/80 my top one and pop an exotics on.

PLUMPTON 3-00

*OUR PHYLLI VERA….+15
*GOOCHYPOOCHYPRADER….+8
MISS TIQUE….+8
*LINDSAY’S DREAM….-7
SUDDEN WISH….-15
TRUCKERS DELIGHT….-20
WAS MY VALENTINE….-36
HERMOSA VAQUERA….-36
FLORA LEA….-40

ADVICE – Low grade stuff and I’ll work in my usual fashion playing those horses in my top six marked *.

PLUMPTON 4-30

*ACCORDING TO THEM….+11
TARRACO….+10
*DUSHY VALLEY….+8
*BEWARE CHALK PIT….+/-0
*GORING TWO….-5
*BALLYVONEEN….-7
ALTERANTHELA….-22
BUDSSON….-30
FLUGZEUG….-40

ADVICE – Nothing to see here…move on!….I’m just playing here as I am that 3-00!

PLUMPTON 5-00

*HOLD THE BUCKS….+1
*MACCABEES….-3
*JUST BEWARE….-9
*SI BIEN….-15
LITTLE ROXY….-22
JAJA DE JAU….-24
ARCAS….-24
CLONUSKER….-25
*CRANKY CORNER….-25
WHATAGOA….-29
JUICY LEGEND….-34
QASSER….-40

ADVICE – October Rules….top three….if i can summon the energy!

STRATFORD 3-40

*MENTALIST….+10
CASTLETOWN CONFLICT….-4
*THAT’S THE DEAL….-11
KELTIC RHYTHM….-18
PASSATO….-19
CAULFIELDS VENTURE….-23
*FREDO….-35
MISTER GREZ….-40

ADVICE – I may well just use my top rated only here….I’ll consider my options closer to off time!

STRATFORD 4-10

*TIDAL WAY….+13
LEVIATHAN….+9
PRESENTING ARMS….+7
SCOTS GAELIC….-1
*RED ADMIRABLE….-10
UBALDO DES MENHIES….-12
*CANADIAN DIAMOND….-14
*TOUBAB….-21
*DESCARO….-21
OWEN NA VIEW….-25
RED SKIPPER….-31
SONERAN SANDS….-36
BEDOUIN BAY….-37
RIGHT STEP….-40

ADVICE – Top three to October Rules and that’s me lot!

Have a brilliant day and best of luck if you get involved!

Kindest regards

Ron

About Ron

Check Also

Today’s Ratings and OF INTEREST selections 09/11/17

One of the horses we were involved in runs for his new yard today. TOWER …