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Today’s Ratings and Advice 25/02/14

I was in the company of family all day yesterday and didn’t see any racing until around 11-00pm last night, whilst I was prepping my four rated races for today. Safe to say Musselburgh was not as “described”. I knew the situation there very early doors as I’d opted to go and sneak a look at the news section on one of the racing websites and discovered they were having an inspection following 15mm of rain over night, which had left standing water on the track and turned it soft, heavy in places….it also continued to rain.

They had 22 non-runners and that Novices event I said I would look at was reduced to a three runner affair. I received an e-mail from a member asking me if I would place such work on the website as they do not like Facebook (who can blame them!), and I will make sure that when a race not normally worked on is looked at, I will provide you with a time slot that it will go up on the website. If it isn’t there during that time allotted, you can take it as read I have not produced work for it.

Listening to the commentators at Plumpton I heard them say the jockeys were describing that ground they had as the worst they had raced on all winter. That’s saying something, eh! I get absolutely no joy out of watching horses strung across a county, most going up and down on the spot and betting on it simply isn’t an option for me. If I miss a winner I’ll grin and bear it.

Today is going to be another very busy one. Karen and I are going to visit Paul and Mandie Green to discuss The Jury syndicate we wish to work on together and have a spot of lunch before I have to be back for my weekly blood test (i have no time to be ill!!), and this evening we are out celebrating my daughter-in-laws birthday so, I’ve a lot to cram in, in between times. We have had several requests for information regarding The Jury syndicate and I know Paul Green has a few of his owners with an iron in the fire too so, if this is something you like the sound of and you fancy getting involved, please do e-mail me.

This coming Saturday 500 Club, Site members having made nine or more payments in the year following on from the 2013 Festival and those having donated in return for the Cheltenham Special will receive the first Newsletter. It will contain a five horse e.w. accumulator, the name of the one horse I believe will win at this years Festival, paying for the week and, the name of the horse you should be looking to obtain a price about for a race that will take place at the 2015 Festival.

If you are not involved yet then please click here to make sure you do not miss out.

We have been receiving donations daily and I will be e-mailing each person to thank them very much for getting involved. I am due to meet with the people at Clatterbridge on Thursday morning to discuss the costing of the garden we want to get built for them and I’ll be letting you all know how close we are to achieving it. Last week Karen and I took some new equipment down for them to work with and I tell you, the looks on the faces of the physio’s and OT’s made it worth it. Hopefully it helps those struggling for fitness to get there a bit quicker.

Some lovely e-mails again yesterday following on from the day before. As you know the free Newsletter is now going out daily again and the information provided this comment from a reader:

“after reading your mail this morning I singled out Newdance Dancer to have a bit of a lump on…..only one with form and “f one of the top two don’t win you will be stunned……I spent the afternoon in outpatients and didn’t get to have a bet!!!!! Gutted when I got home and saw results!!…Great job, can’t fault you!!”

Sorry he wasn’t in a position to get on but proof positive that doing what I do pleases most but not all. That’s life, isn’t it. I’m always mindful I will please all some of the time, some all of the time but never everyone, all of the time. It’s also proof that, once you are in possession of my work it is you that then has to make decisions. That race again provided those still opting to trust my figures with a top three 1-2-3….

MUSSELBURGH 4-20

BLUE KASCADE….+11 – 3RD 11/8
*NEWDANE DANCER….+8 – WON 7/1
SHAN VALLEY….-18 – 2ND 3/1
PAIRC NA LEASA….-29
KAYFROU….-33 – NR
SPANISH FLEET….-35 – 4TH 17/2
PATRIOT….-36 – 5TH 66/1
RELAND….-37
SOLWAY DORNAL….-40
DOUCHKIRK….-40
MRS GRASS….-40
THE BOOZY BISHOP….-40

ADVICE – Outside my top pair it looks a race for third place. Only one horse in here has previous winning form on the going as currently described and that one sits second best. I’ll just dutch my top pair, go 20/80 Newdane Dancer and lob an exotic on….if the winner is outside my top pair I’ll be stunned…and poorer.

Will it happen again this afternoon? I have absolutely no idea. Nice to see five of the top six that raced in the first five home. Without that kind of accuracy we have nothing and Pairc Na Leasa was just 1/2 a length off making it a top six clean sweep.

ASSUMPTIONS
CATTERICK BRIDGE – Jump (Updated:24/02/2014 at 08:10:30)
Going
Good to Soft, Soft in places
(GoingStick: Chase 6.5 Hurdles 6.9 on Friday at 15:00)

Weather
0.25mm rain overnight
Forecast: Monday – Possibility of a light shower through the
day and light rain overnight. (1-2mm)
Tuesday – Mainly dry with the possibility of a shower
day

LEICESTER – Jump (Updated:25/02/2014 at 06:41:21)
Going
Good to Soft, Soft in places.
(GoingStick: 6.1 on Tuesday at 06:30)

Weather
1 mm rain overnight.Forecast: Mainly dry with possible showers
late afternoon max temp 9c.

*INDICATES HORSES HAVING WON PREVIOUSLY ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED ABOVE

CATTERICK 3-50

LUCKY SUNNY….+11
*DIVINE INTAVENTION….-5
*BOCAMIX….-10
*MISTER STICKLER….-12
*FRED BOJANGALS….-16
*LITTLE JIMMY….-25
TURF TRIVIA….-28
CLOVERHILL LAD….-40

CATTERICK 4-20

*BRAE ON….+5
WELSH BARD….+4
PIERRER’S BOUNTY….-18
CARMELA MARIA….-19
*MOOTABAR….-25
*MADAM LILIBET….-25
QUOBILAI….-39
FEATS OF FIRE….-40
BIG SOUND….-40
SPIEKEROOG….-40

LEICESTER 2-10

LOUCH COI….+10
CARLI KING….+4
*FAITH KEEPER….-3
*CHASERS CHANCE….-12
*EPEE CELESTE….-14
MY SILVER LILLY….-34
OSCAR THE MYTH….-35
HANDSOME BUDDY….-40
BRUSLINI….-40

LEICESTER 4-40

*ROYAL RIVIERA….+9
*WITCH’S HAT….+9
LORD LANDEN….+2
*GOT ATTITUDE….+2
FITANPROPERJOB….-4
EGYPT MILL SPIRIT….-8
*CARPINCHO….-12
FINTAN….-17
*KILFINNAN CASTLE….-22
*FULL OV BEANS….-23
PHOENIX DES MOTTES….-40

ADVICE – This is the only race I myself will be interested in playing. If I am around to get involved in the others above it’ll be October Rules only. To be honest, the weekly blood test if preferable. Here I will work with rated horses 1, 2 and 4, dutch, 20/80 the top rated and exotics, if prices permit me to work in that fashion.

Best of luck if you get involved this afternoon

Kindest regards

Ron

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