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Today’s Ratings and Advice 28/09/13

I hope you listened to the podcast because both Sean and I were pretty adamant Soft Falling Rain would be winning the Nayef Joel ay Newmarket and he proved what a class performer he is by stringing them out across Newmarket. When you can run early fractions in the style of a sprinter and finish off well at a mile then you have a decent horse on your hands.

The Ratings are now struggling, as expected. I did suggest that laying will probably prove a successful play right now and my figures did suggest Morpheus would be struggling and he got no closer than fourth in the Cambridgeshire consolation race. At Haydock we actually found a top rated winner in the shape of Sporting Gold and excuse me for looking for an excuse for one being beaten but African Oil did look like he was looking at a race somewhere later on. He was ridden like he was a Ferrari and didn’t get going until his jockey decided, to late, to get after them. Third @ 16/1, i’m thinking mission accomplished by connections….put him in your notebooks.

Today is simply manic and I have produced figures for the meeting at Market Rasen. They are not to be used for punting purposes, unless you have a few quid doing nothing. I myself do not bet on NH racing until November 1st but believe me, I enjoyed working on those race far more than I did the flat racing.

ASSUMPTIONS:

CHESTER – Flat (Updated:28/09/2013 at 06:27:30)
Going
Good
(GoingStick: 7.0 on Friday at 15:00)

Stalls
1m 2f – Outside, All other races – Inside.

Rails
The running rail has been returned to the very inside,
meaning all distances will be as advertised.

Weather
Dry overnight.
Forecast – Dry and overcast with sunny spells, max daytime
temp of 18c.

HAYDOCK PARK – Flat (Updated:28/09/2013 at 07:06:29)
Going
Good, Good to Firm in Places
(GoingStick: 8.0 on Saturday at 06:30)

Stalls
Centre: 5f, 6f, 1m2f.

Rails
All races will run over the Outer Home Straight.
Actual race distances: 5f, 6f, 1m 33yds, 1m 2f 128yds, 1m 4f
13yds, 1m 6f 83yds.

Weather
5mm of rain fell last Thursday 19th. Dry since then. Warm dry
day forecast.

MARKET RASEN – Jump (Updated:28/09/2013 at 08:24:12)
Going
Good (watered)
(GoingStick: Chase 8.1; Hurdle 7.8 on Saturday at 08:00)

Rails
All fences and hurdles moved onto fresh ground on inner line of
summer track. Home straight hurdles returned to normal positions.

Weather
Dry and sunny forecast, with temperatures of around 18C.

Watering
8mm water applied to whole track Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.
5mm applied Thursday. A further 5mm applied in back straight
Friday pm.

Other
Clerk of the Course: Jane Hedley – 07881 316027

NEWMARKET – Flat (Updated:28/09/2013 at 07:28:26)
Going
Good to Firm
(GoingStick: 8.3 (Stand Side 8.2, Centre 8.2, Far Side 8.4) on
Friday at 10:30)

Stalls
Far Side Course

Weather
Dry on Friday & overnight.
Saturday ; A misty start & a heavy dew but forecast to be a dry,
breezy and sunny day 17C.

RIPON – Flat (Updated:28/09/2013 at 06:10:00)
Going
Good
(GoingStick: 8.4 on Saturday at 06:00)

Stalls
Straight course – Stand side

Rails
All rail on innermost positions, no extra yards added

Weather
Dry for the past week. Heavy dew this morning.
Forecast – Mostly sunny and dry,17c

* INDICATES HORSES HAVING WON PREVIOUSLY ON THE GOING AS CURRENTLY DESCRIBED
§ INDICATES A HORSE PERCEIVED AS BEING BEST DRAWN.

MARKET RASEN 2-15

*ITTIRAD….+13
*PROMPTER….+10
*WATERED SILK….+10
*FALCARRAGH….+9
*LAUDATORY….+-0
*AHYAKNOWYOURSELF….-9
*SOLARAS EXHIBITION….-18
HAWKHILL….-18
*ORTHODOX LAD….-19
STORMY WEATHER….-19
*TAARESH….-27

MARKET RASEN 2-50

*GRANDADS HORSE….+16
*TWIRLING MAGNET….+12
*OWEN GLENDOWER….+10
*DOVER’S HILL….+10
*KIAN’S DELIGHT….+9
*BOBOWEN….+8
*KING OF THE NIGHT….+8
*THE DISENGAGER….+8
*WIESENTRAUM….-7
*BUCK MULLIGAN….-8
*ROB CONTI….-15
*FINGER ONTHE PULSE….-15
AL CO….-21
*WELL REGARDED….-27
*BOLD CHIEF….-35
*BOUGGLER….-36

MARKET RASEN 3-20

*POINTS OF VIEW….+12
*AMUSE ME….+10
LITTLE CHIP….+10
*O CROTAIGH….+10
*MIRACLE HOUSE….+9
*HODGSON….+9
*ICY COLT….-13
*BRIMHAM BOY….-21
*DARK OASIS….-25

MARKET RASEN 4-30

*MONKEY MILAN….+11
*ELSAFEER….+9
*COOL BARANCA….+9
*WILD DESERT….+/-0
*MARMAS….+/-0
*DANVILLA….+/-0
*PHOENIX EYE….-6
*GALLEY SLAVE….-20

NEWMARKET 3-50

§*CODE OF HONOUR….+13
§*FIELD OF DREAM….+12
§*FORGIVE….+9
§*RED AVENGER….+8
§*FURY….+8
§*SEEK AGAIN….+8
§MARCRET….+8
§*BOONGA ROOGETA….+8
*NINE REALMS….+6
§*STRICTLY SILVER….+4
§*GRAPHIC….+2
§*PRINCE OF JOHANNE….+/-0
*THA’IR….-3
*DANCHAI….-3
§*THE RECTIFIER….-5
§*ROBERT THE PAINTER….-5
*BRONZE ANGEL….-6
*SAM SHARP….-8
*GABRIAL THE GREAT….-10
§*BELGIAN BILL….-13
§*AREA FIFTY ONE….-15
§DANCE AND DANCE….-15
§QUEENSBURY RULES….-21
§*PROUD CHIEFTAIN….-22
§ARSAADI….-23
§*TOP NOTCH TONTO….-25
§CHAPTER SEVEN….-25
§KING GEORGE RIVER….-26
*EDUCATE….-27
§ASCRIPTION….-31
*PACIFIC HEIGHTS….-35
TRES CORONAS….-38
§CAPTAIN BERTIE….-40
§KING’S WARRIOR….-40
*JACK’S REVENGE….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – CODE OF HONOUR, FIELD OF DREAM, FORGIVE
20/80 – CODE OF HONOUR
EXOTICS – CODE OF HONOUR, FIELD OF DREAM, FORGIVE
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Middle/high preferred

ADVICE – They don’t come more competitive than this. Watch it back several times afterwards and see how many have “hard luck”. If I’ve got this right I’ll give it a “Clive Brittain”.

NEWMARKET 5-00

*GOLD HUNTER….+8
§*FLYMAN….+8
*AYAAR….+8
*MAJESTIC MOON….+5
*REGAL DAN….+5
*SPIN ARTIST….+2
§*BIRDMAN….-6
*MEZZOTINT….-7
§PIED A TERRE….-11
*SPIRITUAL STAR….-15
FRONTIER FIGHTER….-20
§TARIQ TOO….-28
§TELLOVOI….-29
HEAD OF STEAM….-35

THREE TO DUTCH – GOLD HUNTER, FLYMAN, AYAAR
20/80 – GOLD HUNTER
EXOTICS – GOLD HUNTER, FLYMAN, AYAAR
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low preferred

ADVICE – Just working with my top three to low staking.

HAYDOCK 3-30

§*CHEVIOT….+9
BARRACUDA BOY….+9
§*MASAMAH….+9
*NOBLE STORM….+7
§*JIROFT….+1
§*SECRET ASSET….+/-0
§*LADY GIBRALTAR….-2
§*SECRET WITNESS….-6
§*DOCTOR PARKES….-6
§CONFESSIONAL….-7
§*DEMORA….-8
*FREE ZONE….-14
ELUSIVITY….-16
*BURNING THREAD….-18
§RACY….-22
BEAR BEHIND….-24
BARNET FAIR….-25

THREE TO DUTCH – CHEVIOT, MASAMAH, JIROFT
20/80 – CHEVIOT
EXOTICS – CHEVIOT, MASAMAH, JIROFT
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Middle/high preferred

ADVICE – I’ll just work with the three highest rated horses having §* attributed to them.

HAYDOCK 4-05

§*HEAD SPACE….+20
§*DIMAN WATERS….+10
§*NASSAU STORM….+10
*DANCHEUR…+9
*GABBIANO….+8
§*CHEVETON….+8
§*ARCTIC FEELING….+5
*DUNGANNON….+/-0
*B FIFTY TWO….+/-0
*CHESTER ARISTOCRAT….-1
§*JACK LUEY….-7
§*TAROOQ….-8
*JOE PACKET….-11
§*BABY STRANGE….-15
*CORPORAL MADDOX….-16
§IF SO….-23
§LINE OF REASON….-27

THREE TO DUTCH – HEAD SPACE, DIMAN WATERS, NASSAU STORM
20/80 – HEAD SPACE
EXOTICS – HEAD SPACE, DIMAN WATERS, NASSAU STORM
LAY – DUNGANNON
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High/middle preferred

ADVICE – I’m not looking for ghosts on the last day of the flat season for me. Top three will do and it’ll either prove profitable or I’ll lose a couple of bob.

HAYDOCK 4-40

*MISSED CALL….+11
*CHUCK REALTA….+1
*ELECTRA SPECTRA….-4
WALL OF SOUND….-5
*VICKSBURG….-15
*COSMIC HALO….-15
*SURENESS….-23
PRINCESS CAETANI….-30
ROSACEOUS….-31
HEAVENLY SOUND….-39

ADVICE – A race I will swerve. We have several that I cannot rate properly at all and it’s prudent to just watch.

HAYDOCK 5-15

*ZENAFIRE….+2
*VIKING STORM….-3
*SWINGING HAWK….-7
*JONNY DELTA….-9
*KIAMA BAY….-15
*THEOLOGY….-17
SUEGIOO….-24
SAPTAPADI….-33

ADVICE – Top pair dutched and that’s the only bet for me here.

HAYDOCK 5-50

*MONT RAS….+9
*MISTER MUSIC….+9
ANTON CHIGURH….+8
*NAVAJO CHIEF….-1
*POSTSCRIPT….-3
*SANDAGIYR….-8
*BRAE HILL….-15
*CENTURIUS….-19
*BALTY BOYS….-28
SHORT SQUEEZE….-33

ADVICE – Top three dutch, 20/80 MONT RAS, and exotics…may even lay my bottom rated, too!

RIPON 3-45

*SPINATRIX….+12
*DOC HAY….+9
*EL VIENTO….+9
§*LOVE ISLAND….+8
§*RODRIGO DE TORRES….+8
*FAST SHOT….+8
*SUMMERINTHECITY….-1
§THUNDERBALL….-11
*CHOOSEDAY….-14
ABOVE STANDARD….-23
*SEEKING MAGIC….-25
§AL KHAN….-28

THREE TO DUTCH – DOC HAY, LOVE ISLAND, RODRIGO DE TORRES
20/80 – LOVE ISLAND
EXOTICS – DOC HAY, LOVE ISLAND, RODRIGO DE TORRES
LAY – SEEKING MAGIC
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low just preferred to high.

ADVICE – Trappy. I’m working with the to highest rated achieving §* plus my highest rated drawn “second best”.

RIPON 4-20

*NEW YOUMZAIN….+16
*TETBURY….+13
*VILLA ROYALE….+1
*CHOISAN….+/-0
*SAN CASSIANO….-9
DISCAY….-14
RED CHARMER….-23
GOOD SPEECH….-25
BE PERFECT….-31
ARYIZAD….-38

ADVICE – Top two dutch, 20/80 NEW YOUMZAIN and an exotic but staking low.

RIPON 5-25

*THE ART OF RACING….+12
*MISTER MANANNAN….+9
*SHARAARAH….+9
*AMBITIOUS ICARUS….+8
§*RUBY’S DAY….+8
§*PERFECT BLOSSOM….+8
§TUMBLEWIND….+5
*SILVANUS….+3
*LOST IN PARIS….-3
*BRONZE BEAU….-8
*HAAJES….-10
§SATSUMA….-11
§*WE HAVE A DREAM….-13
CAPTAIN DUNNE….-18
SUNNY SIDE UP….-22
§JINKER NOBLE….-31

THREE TO DUTCH – THE ART OF RACING, RUBY’S DAY, PERFECT BLOSSOM
20/80 – PERFECT BLOSSOM
EXOTICS – THE ART OF RACING, RUBY’S DAY, PERFECT BLOSSOM
LAY – JINKER NOBLE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High marginally preferred

ADVICE – Cracking good race to finish this card. My top rated plus the pair in my six having §*….they’ll do. I will not be heavily involved here though.

CHESTER 2-30

§*BARKSTON ASH….+10
*ANGELITO….+8
§*CRUISE TOTHE LIMIT….+8
*GREEN PARK….+8
§*AL MUHEER….+3
*MAPPIN TIME….+2
*RYLEE MOOCH….-7
*NAABEGHA….-8
§GABRIALS GIFT….-8
*PEA SHOOTER….-12
§AL’S MEMORY….-13
*CHURCH MUSIC….-15
*GATEPOST….-19
CLUBLAND….-30

THREE TO DUTCH – BARKSTON ASH, CRUISE TOTHE LIMIT, AL MUHEER
20/80 – CRUISE TOTHE LIMIT
EXOTICS – BARKSTON ASH, CRUISE TOTHE LIMIT, AL MUHEER
LAY – GABRIAL’S GIFT
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low preferred

ADVICE – Three in my top six having draw/ground right and they’ll suffice. I have opted to play CRUISE TOTHE LIMIT 20/80 because he’s got that previous course win under his belt.

CHESTER 4-50

§*OCEAN TEMPEST….+14
§*RUSTY ROCKET….+12
§*DR RED EYE….+9
*COUNTRY WESTERN….+8
§*MONSIEUR CHEVALIER….+8
*LAFFAN….+5
*CHOSEN CHARACTER….-1
*ALEJANDRO….-3
*GRANDALAK….-4
*ZACYNTHUS….-7
SORELLA BELLA….-19
*WANNABE KING….-20
§RENE MATHIS….-24
APOSTLE….-30

THREE TO DUTCH – OCEAN TEMPEST, RUSTY ROCKET, DR RED EYE
20/80 – OCEAN TEMPEST
EXOTICS – OCEAN TEMPEST, RUSTY ROCKET, DR RED EYE
LAY – RENE MATHIS
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low preferred

OF INTEREST

EHTIFAAL (Haydock 3-00) – 20/80
KINLOSS (Chester 1-55) – 20/80
THAT’S PLENTY (Chester 3-40) – 20/80
LA TINTA BAY (Chester 4-15) – 20/80

That is enough to be going on with me thinks….in need of that dark room again!

Have a brilliant weekend and the very best of luck today!

Kindest regards

Ron

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