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Today’s Ratings and Advice 14/08/13

See what happens when it’s not Windsor or Leicester races! One day I’ll get a handle on Windsor….as will jockeys other than Richard Hughes and Ryan Moore but the simple fact right now is, you only need to be punting those guys if you want to back a winner at Windsor. You will end up losing money that way too but, at least you will back a winner once in a while.

Tomorrow you will be using the all new Newsletter. You will see that we have been listening to everyone’s comments and hopefully it suits everyone…which, of course, it won’t….but we are trying! Feedback will be vital in making what you receive the best available and so we would ask that you let us know what you like, what you don’t like and what, if anything, is missing.

We have created a new inbox for this and a link will be contained within the Newsletter to that e-mail address.

Beverley, Salisbury and Yarmouth today, so let’s get stuck in to finding a few winners.

Assumptions:

BEVERLEY – Flat (Updated:13/08/2013 at 07:52:41)
Going
Good, Good to Firm in places

Stalls
Inside (all races)

Rails
The rail around the bottom bend is now back in it’s original,
wide position – all race distances as advertised

Weather
11mm rainfall on Monday
Tuesday – largely sunny, outside risk of light shower, 20C
Wednesday – sunny, 21C

Other
Entire track has been verti-drained since the last meeting.

SALISBURY – Flat (Updated:13/08/2013 at 16:09:09)
Going
Good to Firm (watered)
(GoingStick: 9.0 on Tuesday at 16:00)

Stalls
6F & 1M – Far side

Rails
Erecting rail up to 20ft off far side rail up the straight (for
Wednesday only)

Weather
1mm rain on Sunday morning. (6.5mm rain earlier last week)
A mainly dry forecast, temps around 20’c, with very little rain
predicted at present.

Watering
Total 8mm applied to whole course across Thurs 8th & Fri 9th
Total 8mm applied to whole course across Sun 11th & Mon
12th.

YARMOUTH – Flat (Updated:13/08/2013 at 18:05:01)
Going
GOOD to FIRM (Watering)
(GoingStick: 7.7 (goingstick off for repair hence no update –
sorry) on Sunday at 09:15)

Stalls
Straight (5f, 7f) – Centre

Rails
Back straight and bottom bend are dolled out 3m.

Weather
Remains dry apart from a light shower on Monday evening. Dry
today with outside chance of a light shower. Wednesday similar

Watering
Watering to maintain which will include watering the straight
early tomorrow morning

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses perceived as being best drawn.

SALISBURY 4-30

*TOP DIKTAT….-11
DANEHILL DANTE….-14
SUPERCILIARY….-20
SILK ROUTE….-21
INGOT OF GOLD….-23
LISA’S LEGACY….-30
RED SHUTTLE….-39
SOCIETY PEARL….-40

ADVICE – Yesterday I could have “cheated” the numbers and made FLEDGED top rated in that 6-35 race last night and those using just the top rated would have been another step closer to that 200 points profit, instead of another point away from it. I do not work like that though and until a horse achieves a mark, it hasn’t. I opted not to punt the race because a) I hate punting odds on shots and b) I knew what was going to happen….and it did. This is a “like” race. I know in my waters the three year olds will prove superior to the older horses and that the most likely winner sits below my top two rated. If my top rated wins this then everyone playing those horses will go whistling by that 200 point mark….but do not go holding your breathe….nobody I know has ever looked good blue! A no bet race for me.

BEVERLEY 3-45

*BONDI BEACH BOY….+13
*INDIAN TRAIL….+13
§*MERCERS ROW….+11
§*WILD SAUCE….+11
NICEONEMYSON….+10
§*COCKTAIL CHARLIE….+9
*SOLEMN….+9
*CARANBOLA….+8
*LENNY BEE….-1
§*BRONZE BEAU….-6
TOWBEE….-9
ADAM’S ALE….-14
§YPRES….-22

THREE TO DUTCH – MERCERS ROW, WILD SAUCE, COCKTAIL CHARLIE
20/80 – WILD SAUCE
EXOTICS – MERCERS ROW, WILD SAUCE, COCKTAIL CHARLIE
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low preferred to middle, high require snookers.

ADVICE – The best race of the day and it all hinges on BONDI BEACH BOY, who has done Post Racing members proud. We latched on to him very early but as with all handicappers, the weight they give him will eventually stop him. Most of his winning has been done in Class 6 and whilst he won in this grade last time up, it was skin of teeth stuff. Had he been drawn 1-5 I’d have been going in again but he’s going to have to work a wee bit harder to get the lead today, which seems vital to him. If he does, I’m probably a loser, if he doesn’t, then hopefully one of the three I have opted to work with will come good. I’ve selected WILD SAUCE over MERCERS ROW for my 20/80 because the only jockey to get a win out of the latter is Danny Tudhope. Gemma Tutty is worth her claim but she is not a Tudhope yet and so young Justin Newman is carrying my shekels.

BEVERLEY 4-20

*HYDRANT….+19
SAINT THOMAS….+12
*CLASSIC PUNCH….+6
MOCCASIN….-8
*ARC LIGHT….-12
BE PERFECT….-13
TRIPLE EIGHT….-17
*JEBEL TARA….-17

ADVICE – A decent enough prize on offer and I’ve one miles clear so it’s going to be a 20/80 that one, with a top three dutch to pay for that and any exotics I opt for.

BEVERLEY 4-50

*OUTLAW TORN….+9
WELLINGROVE….-1
*EENY MAC….-3
*SELDOM….-9
*PIVOTMAN….-12
ORIONS HERO….-16
RED CHARMER….-22
MCGONAGLE….-25

ADVICE – Not keen on this race. WELLINGROVE smacks of another COPPERWOOD and I again feel a three year old will pop along to spoil the party. I’ll sit this one out.

BEVERLEY 5-20

DISCAY….+13
KINGARRICK….+9
GOSFORTH PARK….-3
GRANDOLIQUENT….-9
*STRIKE FORCE….-13
VALENTINE’S GIFT….-15
KING KURT….-18
FLYING POWER….-20

ADVICE – Just one in here having won on genuine good ground in the past and it’s another I myself will sit out…best of luck to those working with the top rated!

OF INTEREST

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE (Salisbury 3-55) – straight win
LIBERTY RED (Beverley 2-40) – straight win
UNISON (Ffos Las 5-10) – straight win

THE BETFAIR CHALLENGE

PLAY TO PLACE – HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE (Salisbury 3-55)
PLAY TO LAY – None today

THE E.W. DOUBLE

HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE (Salisbury 3-55)
UNISON (Ffos Lass 5-10)

Have a great day and the very best of luck if you are getting involved

Kindest regards

Ron

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