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Today’s Ratings and Advice 08/07/13

I received the feedback regarding Grandorio late last night and this is what has come out of that race at Haydock.

Grandorio has returned to Helmsley after his run at Haydock on Saturday.
David has reported that he had a bit of heat in his leg this morning; he doesn’t think it is anything serious but could certainly have been a contributing factor in yesterday’s run. Grandorio will now have a quiet few days while David monitors his condition.
On reflection of Saturday’s run, although your horse was a well beaten third, Kieren Fallon was considerably easy on him inside the final furlong once he knew he wouldn’t be able to win and David felt he would have been on the heels of the second placed horse under more vigorous riding.
That said, Kieren certainly did the right thing in easing him down when clearly beaten.
A three runner, tactical race was never really going to suit Grandorio. The stop-start gallop on fast ground on a fast track certainly wasn’t his bag. Going forward, the step up to a mile and a half would be in his compass and more decent ground may also favour.
We will be monitoring Grandorio over the next few days to see how he is progressing and, once given the nod from David, we can start making race plans.

I will be speaking to Cosmo or Simon in the very near future and hopefully I can get an quicker update back to you.

On a more positive note….how good was yesterday!

The sun was cracking the flags, I had my grandkids with me visiting Rosie’s Lady (full report to follow this afternoon, new pics on her Facebook wall) and they enjoyed themselves very much, we got back just in time for the mens Wimbledon final, watched Andy Murray perform brilliantly to win it and, we smashed the layers over the boundary at Ayr. Papa John’s pizza in the back garden with a Crabbies at 6-00pm and I hit my sack a happy man after prepping up today’s ratings.

One of those days you didn’t want to end.

We have seen plenty of new Site members register since the free newsletter started going out again last week and I guess a winner a day will entice people to find out more. Yesterday the free Newsletter provided them with my figures for the Ayr 4-30 and they landed the lot.

Today we have three meetings to work with and hopefully we’ll produce more profits.

Assumptions:

AYR – Flat (Updated:08/07/2013 at 06:28:40)
Going
Good to Firm (Watered)
(GoingStick: 9.3 on Tuesday at 06:15)

Stalls
5f & 6f: Stands’ Side

Rails
Stands’ Side rail 3m inwards; home bend out 2m adding
approx. 6yds to races 7f and further.

Weather
Mon – dry, warm with sunny spells

Watering
Watered

RIPON – Flat (Updated:08/07/2013 at 06:10:18)
Going
Good to Firm, Good in Places
(GoingStick: 8.5 on Monday at 06:00)

Stalls
Straight Course – Stand side

Rails
Rail on bend from back straight to home straight moved out
3mtrs adding about 7 yards to races on the round course

Weather
Dry for past ten days.
Forecast remains dry and warm, temperatures around 22c to 24c.

Watering
Watered

WINDSOR – Flat (Updated:07/07/2013 at 10:38:42)
Going
Good to Firm, Good in Places. (Selective Watering)
(GoingStick: 8.5 on Sunday at 10:00)

Stalls
1m 2f abt 7yds:- Centre.

Rails
Inner of straight dolled out 5yds at 6f and 2yds at the Winning
Post.
Top bend dolled out 2yds from normal inner configuration, adding
9yds to race distances of 1m+

Weather
Dry overnight.
Sunday:- dry, sunny and very warm 29c.
Monday:- dry, sunny and warm 27c.
Outlook:- remaining dry and sunny with high temperatures.

Watering
15mm of irrigation has been applied to the whole of the
racecourse over the last three days. 3mm of selective irrigation
is being applied to the top bend and pull-up this morning
(Sunday) this will be completed by midday today.

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses perceived as being best drawn

AYR 3-30

CROSS THE BOSS….+16
*MUSIC FESTIVAL….+9
§*TECTONIC….+6
§*PRINCESS GAIL….-3
§*MONSIEUR PONTHAVEN….-5
NONAYNEVER….-11
*CUFFLINK….-17
OUTLAW TORN….-24
*CALL OF DUTY….-25
*PENDLE LADY….-30
FLIPPING….-30
BERBICE….-38
§MR DREAM MAKER….-39
§EILEAN MOR….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – TECTONIC, PRINCESS GAIL, MONSIEUR PONTHAVEN
20/80 – TECTONIC
EXOTICS – TECTONIC, PRINCESS GAIL, MONSIEUR PONTHAVEN
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low appear blessed!

ADVICE – My figures suggest David’s horse only has to turn up but, he’s got a nasty draw to race from (if I am seeing straight after the Crabbies), and he has yet to win on good to firm ground, having placed three times from five starts on it…..but that’s not the same as winning on it, is it. I was tempted to have MUSIC FESTIVAL in my dutch as he’s drawn “second best” and has the * indicator but, with three just sited below him all having §*, they get the call to punt and I myself will play as indicated.

AYR 4-00

*FORREST FLYER….+7
*COSMIC SUN….+5
*HAWDYERWHEESHT….-7
*ACTIVATE….-14
*MUHARRER….-17
*INDEPUB….-24
SENDIYM….-30
TEENAGE IDOL….-36

ADVICE – My top rated might find this grade testing him but no doubting he has a passion for Ayr! Not a lot of mileage in betting this race though as my figures mirror the tissue so, I’ll just work with my top two…dutch, 20/80 FORREST FLYER and an exotic.

AYR 4-30

*ORBIT THE MOON….+10
*RASAMAN….+/-0
*ORPSIE BOY….-5
*KINGSCROFT….-6
*HOT ROD MAMMA….-11
*FIELDGUNNER KIRKUP….-15
MOWHOOB….-21
POLISH CROWN….-31
JINKY….-32

ADVICE – A couple of these have been very busy recently (4 & 5), but not getting their heads in front. I’ll pitch my top three into a dutch, go 20/80 ORBIT THE MOON and set up those exotics.

RIPON 9-20

§BORDER BANDIT….+3
§*DUBAI CELEBRATION….+2
*CHEERS FOR THEA….+1
FRASERBURGH….-1
*TRIPLE EIGHT….-8
BUNCE….-14
THE BLUE BANANA….-17
CLOCK ON TOM….-19
MCGONAGLE….-24
§ICY BLUE….-30
§DISTRICT ATTORNEY….-32
THATCHERITE….-35

THREE TO DUTCH – BORDER BANDIT, DUBAI CELEBRATION, CHEERS FOR THEA
20/80 – DUBAI CELEBRATION
EXOTICS – BORDER BANDIT, DUBAI CELEBRATION, CHEERS FOR THEA
LAY – CLOCK ON TOM
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Low distinctly best

ADVICE – Low drawn do look best so if you are looking to cover those marked § be my guest. I’m working as indicated because two are well boxed and the single play has also previous winning form on good to firm ground. He is part owned by someone that has a tipping line so watch the market….that should reveal a lot.

WINDSOR 7-30

*WHITECREST….+6
*BLANC DE CHINE….+4
*CRUISE TOTHELIMIT….+1
*WASEEM FARIS….-3
*ANGELITO….-7
*SANDFRANKSKIPSGO….-11
WEST COAST DREAM….-18
ROYAL AWARD….-24
HOWYADOINGNOTSOBAD….-28

ADVICE – Three having achieved a + figure, all good to go on good to firm, they’ll do for all bets.

WINDSOR 8-00

*CONSIGN….+12
*THE CAYTERERS….-4
*SHIFTING STAR….-14
GOOD LUCK CHARM….-19
NOBLE BULL….-21
*MULTI BENE….-22
*RED SEVENTY….-30
HIPSTER….-34
POETIC LORD….-37

ADVICE – Those that have been working with me for a few years will remember THE CAYTERERS being advised a play on the old Sportsman forum….good old days! My figures suggest that even at the tender age of 11 he can still be in there pitching but are the old legs still willing? I will just have a straight win bet CONSIGN and leave it at that.

WINDSOR 9-00

SILVER DIXIE….+10
*BREAKING THE BANK….+9
LILY EDGE….-6
JEWELLED….-8
*LAUGHING JACK….-13
*SUPER DUPLEX….-13
*NO COMPROMISE….-14
*GREYLAMI….-18
SIGNIFICANT MOVE….-23
WAVING….-25
DIVEA….-40
BAJAN STORY….-40

ADVICE – October Rules!….rated horses 2, 5 and 6 to absolute buttons. A lousy way to end the evening.

OF INTEREST

WEST BEAT (Ayr 5-30) – 20/80
NEXT DOOR (Ripon 6-50) – 20/80
GUNG HO JACK (Windsor 6-00) – 20/80

BET OF THE DAY

None today

LAY OF THE DAY

None today

Have a brilliant day and the very best of luck if you get involved!

Kindest regards

Ron

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