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Today’s Ratings and Advice 04/07/13

If this is arriving a fair bit later than usual, apologies. I’m battering away like a crazed one this morning as I have to be in Chester by 9-00am

Let’s get to work….

Assumptions:

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described.
§ indicates horses perceived as being best drawn.

HAYDOCK 2-20

§DAMA DE LA NOCHE….+8
*GOING GREY….+/-0
§KING KURT….-7
*BROWN PETE….-7
SUPREME LUXURY….-12
SNOW HILL….-11
*THATCHERITE….-16
MESHARDAL….-26
BUSTER BROWN….-27
§TRUE PLEASURE….-29
§ORIENTAL CAVALIER….-30
ROYAL SEA….-32
DAY OF DESTINY….-34
DICEY VOWS….-37
§VOICE FROM ABOVE….-38
MATAAJIR….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – DAMA DE LA NOCHE, GOING GREY, KING KURT
20/80 – GOING GREY
EXOTICS – DAMA DE LA NOCHE, GOING GREY, KING KURT
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High preferred

ADVICE – This has an odour to it. I cannot get a handle on MESHARDAL, who is poorly drawn but neither do I see one in my top six having draw/going in it’s favour. I’ll play as indicated to very low staking.

HAYDOCK 3-50

§*BARKSTON ASH….+11
*MY SON MAX….+9
§*ANOTHER TRY….+6
§*LUCKY DAN….+1
§*MASKED DANCE….-3
*NASHARRA….-7
TANGO SKY….-11
MUTAFAAKIR….-18
AL KHAN….-22
HARDY BLUE….-28

THREE TO DUTCH – BARKSTON ASH, ANOTHER TRY, LUCKY DAN
20/80 – BARKSTON ASH
EXOTICS – BARKSTON ASH, ANOTHER TRY, LUCKY DAN
LAY – MUTAFAAKIR
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High preferred to middle, over low.

ADVICE – Very competitive and I’ve winced at the lay. I got lucky with this one last week but today going and draw might be an issue. Three from my top six marked §* will be running for me and it’s fingers crossed!

HAYDOCK 4-20

*MAPPIN TIME….+9
*PEA SHOOTER….+9
§*HEAD SPACE….+9
*ROKER PARK….+2
*PELMANISM….-1
*GO GO GREEN….-9
*TYFOS….-18
§*IMPERATOR AUGUSTUS….-23
§RICH AGAIN….-27
§BURNHOPE….-28

THREE TO DUTCH – MAPPIN TIME, PEA SHOOTER, HEAD SPACE
20/80 – HEAD SPACE
EXOTICS – MAPPIN TIME, PEA SHOOTER, HEAD SPACE
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High preferred to middle, over low.

ADVICE – Those I see as best drawn, bar one, who is my 20/80, look up against it and I’m working as indicated.

HAYDOCK 5-20

*SPAVENTO….+8
*FIRST CLASS FAVOUR….-7
*SILVAS ROMANA….-16
GOLDEN CAUSEWAY….-17
EMMUSKA….-21
TRUCANINI….-23
DUTCH MISTRESS….-26
GOLDSTORM….-34
THANKYOU VERY MUCH….-37

ADVICE – If my figures are right here I’m rich! We have several unexposed three year olds that will probably prove my figures wrong and require me to keep chipping away! low staking if you do get involved.

HAYDOCK 5-50

*CHOSEN CHARACTER….+11
*ARDMAY….+8
*KINGSCROFT….+6
*MONT RAS….+/-0
*CRIUS….-2
*NO POPPY….-11
*WEAPON OF CHOICE….-13
*LORD OF THE DANCE….-14
DUBAI HILLS….-16
JUBILEE GAMES….-20
EWELL PLACE….-28

ADVICE – Top three for all bets…dutch, 20/80 CHOSEN CHARACTER and exotics.

YARMOUTH 3-10

KATY’S SECRET….+15
*AFKAR….+10
*DARNATHEAN….+5
*PAPHOS….-15
LEVI DRAPER….-18
FIRST CLASS….-24
GREYFRIARSCHORISTA….-27
DIPLOMATIC….-33

ADVICE – I feel my top rated has a skewed figure but. I have checked it twice. Ground an issue though and so, it’s rated horses 2, 3 and 4 getting an October Rules call to arms.

YARMOUTH 3-40

§*WHISKEY JUNCTION….+6
IMAGINARY DIVA….+/-0
§*SIR GEOFFREY….-6
*IMPERIAL SPIRIT….-8
BIRD DOG….-10
§MEGALEKA….-14
§CHARMING….-18
§MARMALADE MOON….-20
§BURNT CREAM….-22
§LORD BUFFHEAD….-23
§ROBYN….-31

ADVICE – Awful stuff. i don’t want to be drawn middle, anywhere else looks ok but even so, this is a poor bunch of horses we are working with and I just been running up a top three October Rules play.

YARMOUTH 4-40

*STRIKE FORCE….-7
WILLOW BECK….-15
*HYDRANT….-18
LAND HAWK….-24
SWEET MARTONI….-30
RUBBAMAA….-38
TWO NO BIDS….-40

ADVICE – Only two of these has winning form on good to firm but I’m thinking we’ll see a third after WILLOW BECK wins this one. Only two runs on the board and not seen on a track for 227 days, she wont have to be up to much to improve past my figure. If she doesn’t I will be surprised if one of the other two of my top three don’t take this one. In truth. probably best to just watch it.

EPSOM 6-05

*HONOURABLE KNIGHT….+9
*CIRCLE OF ANGELS….-2
THECORNISHCOWBOY….-7
*MARCUS ANTONIUS….-8
NORFOLK SKY….-11
NO SUCH NUMBER….-12
BREAK RANK….-16
LASER BLAZER….-22
REGGIE PERRIN….-25

ADVICE – I do not like the “feel” of this race. I will play the trio having won on genuine good ground in the past to October Rules but am expecting little by way of success.

EPSOM 7-10

*AMADEUS WOLFE TONE….-7
*CLEAR SPRING….-11
*CHARLOTTE ROSINA….-14
*LA FORTUNATA….-19
LUNAR DEITY….-19
TITUS GENT….-30

ADVICE – Top two to October Rules….what can I say!?

EPSOM 7-45

*SPIRIT OF SHARJAH….+9
*STARWATCH….+9
*RONDEAU….+7
*GOLDEN DESERT….+4
§*BALTY BOYS….+2
*MY KINGDOM….+/-0
*CHARITABLE ACT….+/-0
§*LOWTHER….-15
§HOMETOWN GLORY….-16
GOOD LUCK CHARM….-17
KIMBERELLA….-24
§HALLING DANCER….-27

THREE TO DUTCH – STARWATCH, RONDEAU, BALTY BOYS
20/80 – BALTY BOYS
EXOTICS – STARWATCH, RONDEAU, BALTY BOYS
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Middle looks the best place to be.

ADVICE – My top one has not won on turf since Nelson wondered about what had happened to the vision in one of his eyes. Dropped. This is another race with an “all over the place” feel to it and I have selected three from my top six that have at least won on good ground plus, opted for the only one up there with draw and going not an issue.

EPSOM 8-55

NORDIC QUEST….+8
*FROZEN OVER….+5
*WHITBY JET….-9
THE WONGA COUP….-10
ASSIZES….-16
AJEEB….-16
COURT PASTORAL….-20
KELPIE BLITZ….-30

ADVICE – We have a short priced favourite here, rated -20, having had just one run and is a three year old. I have absolutely no idea how good or otherwise the filly is and so, I’m just watching.

NEWBURY 8-00

*AMOSITE….+9
PERFECT VENTURE….+6
*THREE CROWNS…-3
*CELESTIAL BAY….-7
LISIERE….-10
FRONT PAGE NEWS….-13
SARANGOO….-13
COINCIDENTLY….-16

ADVICE – I have very little confidence in the racing as a betting medium today. This is another handicap with three year olds taking on their elders and with my second highest rated one of them, having had just four runs and not being seen for 194 days, I have to confess to being as much in the dark as anyone else. I will probably just set up a dutch the three marked * but if I do, it’ll be to coppers.

OF INTEREST

ZARAEE (Haydock 3-20) – straight win
BARBARY (Yarmouth 2-10) – 20/80

BET OF THE DAY

None today

LAY OF THE DAY

None today

I sense a nightmare today but who knows….we can only try.

Have a brilliant day and the very, very best of luck!!

Kindest regards

Ron

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