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Today’s Ratings and Advice 27/06/13

May I start by patting myself on the back?

SALISBURY 3-50
§*ASATIR….+16 – WON 20/1
*LORD OFTHE SHADOWS….+12 – 3RD 7/1
§*MABAIT….+8
*REDACT….-1
§*JACOB CATS….-2
§*SHAVANSKY….-6
ROCKALONG….-11
TOP OFFER….-14
COMMEND….-20
BANCNUANAHEIREANN….-25
HEAD OF STEAM….-30

THREE TO DUTCH – ASATIR, MABAIT, JACOB CATS
20/80 – ASATIR
EXOTICS – ASATIR, MABAIT, JACOB CATS
LAY – ROCKALONG
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – HIGH preferred over middle, low struggling a tad.

ADVICE – Cracking good race with all the top yards represented….well, most of ‘em! I still have this feeling Roger Charlton will get TOP OFFER back to his best one day but, he’ll need to if he’s to prove my figures wrong this afternoon. I’ll just work as indicated but even my lay could win this doing handsprings.

I am so tempted but for your sanity, Gary, I’ll not!

Today is ultra busy and it’s two separate Newsletters today I’m afraid

Assumptions:

HAMILTON PARK – Flat (Updated:27/06/2013 at 07:00:01)
Going
Good to Firm (Watered)
(GoingStick: 8.7 on Monday at 20:30)

Stalls
2Yrs 6F and 1M 5F – Standside

Rails
Due to the position of the rail on the loop, all races
over distances further than 6F shall be approx 25yds
shorter than the official measurements for this meeting.

Weather
Dry overnight. Very light drizzle early morning. Patchy
light rain forecast today (1-3mm), clearing by mid-
afternoon and leaving a dry overcast evening. Max Temp
14C.

Watering
10-12mm of irrigation has been applied to whole
track over Monday and Tuesday.

LEICESTER – Flat (Updated:27/06/2013 at 06:48:07)
Going
Good to Firm, Good in places(Watered)
(GoingStick: 9.0 on Thursday at 06:30)

Stalls
Straight – Stands side Round – Inside

Weather
Dry overnight. Forecast-Thursday dry with sunny spells during the
day with possible light rain during the evening from 5.00pm
onwards max temp 19c,

NEWCASTLE – Flat (Updated:27/06/2013 at 06:24:35)
Going
GOOD, Good to Firm in places-watered
(GoingStick: 7.4 on Wednesday at 14:30)

Stalls
Straight course & 2m: Centre

Rails
Fresh ground provided on entire round course. All rail back into
original position.

Weather
Dry overnight. Bright & pleasant am.
Remaining dry with temps around 16/17c.
Fri: Overcast high chance of rain between 6am & 1pm (4-6mm. Temps
up to 17/19c
Sat: Light cloud, dry & sunny spells. Temps up to 17/19c. V light
showers from late afternoon onwards.

Watering
Watered.

Other
Entire course Vertidrained after 1st June meeting

WARWICK – Flat (Updated:27/06/2013 at 07:08:09)
Going
Good to Firm (Watered)
(GoingStick: 8.2 on Tuesday at 07:45)

Stalls
All Races – Inside

Weather
Dry overnight.
Forecast: A bright and sunny start, turning cloudier through the
afternoon with some showers arriving by late afternoon.

Watering
10mm applied from 6f to first crossing on Sunday.
8-10mm applied to whole course over Mon/Tues.
8mm being applied to home straight and 10mm to stable bend on
Wed.

YARMOUTH – Flat (Updated:27/06/2013 at 07:01:49)
Going
Good to Firm
(GoingStick: 7.5 on Thursday at 06:45)

Stalls
Straight – Middle, 1m1f/1m2f – Inside, 1m6f – Stands

Rails
Bottom bend dolled out 2m to provide fresh ground, adding on 12m
to all races above 1m1f.

Weather
0.5mm of rain. Forecast is due to be dry today, with temperatures
up to 16 – 17c and light winds.

* indicates horse having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses perceived as best drawn

WARWICK 3-10

*INDIAN AFFAIR….+9
MINALISA….-8
*LUNAR DEITY….-9
*DARK LANE….-15
*CLEAR PRAISE….-20
*AMBITIOUS BOY….-21
*MOUNT HOLLOW….-25
ANOOMAAS….-31
PICTURE DEALER….-32

ADVICE – I will be working with the three highest rated horses marked *….ditch, 20/80 my top one and exotics but staking will be low.

YARMOUTH 2-50

§*FOR LIFE….+9
§*SARAH BERRY….+9
§COACH MONTANA….-6
§ISOLA VERDE….-9
§JACK BARKER….-19
§PUTIN….-20
§MEDAM….-22
§MAJESTIC MANANNAN….-28
§AMBITIOUS ICARUS….-28
§AARANYOW….-33
§DARTRIX….-40

ADVICE – I’m thinking the draw is good for them all….if they are good enough to take advantage of it. If I had to swing one way I’d be looking low but it’s so marginal, given how I think this will be run, it’s hit or miss.
I will play my top three rated to October Rules and if I’m right, the fourth three figure tricast in less than two weeks arrives!

YARMOUTH 4-20

*SHAMAHAN….+9
*OLNEY LASS….+8
*COMRADE BOND….+7
*SECRET CITY….-4
*FANTASY GLADIATOR….-10
FIRST CLASS….-12
*ORBIT THE MOON….-15
WOOLFALL SOVEREIGN….-23
EVERVESCENT….-40

ADVICE – Again, not a race I’d be skipping through a hoop to punt and I’ll work exactly as for that 2-50pm above.

NEWCASTLE 3-00

*FORT BELVEDERE….+9
*DANCE AND DANCE….+9
*HI THERE….+8
*DUBAI DYNAMO….-9
*BALDUCCI….-10
*JUSTONEFORTHEROAD….-12
VALIDUS….-13
MEMORY CLOTH….-20
*MY FREEDOM….-21
GALICIAN….-27

ADVICE – I have three clear on my figures and hopefully they extract the profit from the dutch, to cover those other plays…20/80 FORT BELVEDERE and exotics.

NEWCASTLE 3-30

*BIG TIME BILLY….+15
*ACTIVATE….+10
*LA BACOUETTEUSE….+8
*MOHAWK RIDGE….+4
COME HERE YEW….+/-0
*MISTER PAGAN….-1
BRASINGAMAN ERIC….-5
ROCK RELIEF….-13
*BOW TO NO ONE….-16
WYBORNE….-17
HARRISON’S CAVE….-19
CAPELLANUS….-20
SINGZAK….-30

ADVICE – I will just be having a straight win bet my top one. This horse is hotter than a hot thing right now, as is reflected in the betting.

NEWCASTLE 4-00

§KORNGOLD….+16
*TWEEDLE DEE….+11
AQUARIAN SPIRIT….-7
*CELTIC STEP….-7
*AMAZING BLUE SKY….-8
§INNISCASTLE BOY….-16
§GRAMMAR….-20
§MISS MATIZ….-20
§MULLINS WAY….-23
MADAME BLAVATSKY….-27
SINATRAMANIA….-29
OLIVERS GOLD….-31
HARTFORTH….-34
THE LODGE ROAD….-35

THREE TO DUTCH – KORNGOLD, TWEEDLE DEE, INNISCASTLE BOY
20/80 – KORNGOLD
EXOTICS – KORNGOLD, TWEEDLE DEE, INNISCASTLE BOY
LAY – NONE
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – A low draw (1-5), looks an absolute “must have”.

ADVICE – This is simply all over the place. Very few have winning form on good to firm that I would be interested in and those best drawn do not look up to the job. I’ve simply opted to work with three that give me a cross section of what I’m looking for in a bet and if I trouser a profit here, I’ll give it gang nam style!

NEWCASTLE 4-30

TRUE PLEASURE….+16
LADY GARGOYLE….+13
*DEAN IARRACHT….+11
§*OUTLAW TORN….+9
§CUFFLINK….+9
*BARTON BOUNTY….-4
BONNIE ECHO….-11
§KOO AND THE GANG….-13
§ECHO OF FOOTSTEPS….-17
YORKSTERS PRINCE….-22
ELIZABETH COFFEE….-23
§TOUCHING HISTORY….-28
ESSELL….-32
VALENTINE’S GIFT….-35
BYGONES FOR COINS….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – TRUE PLEASURE, DEAN IRRACHT, OUTLAW TORN
20/80 – OUTLAW TORN
EXOTICS – TRUE PLEASURE, DEAN IRRACHT, OUTLAW TORN
LAY – ECHO OF FOTTSTEPS
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – Ditto my remarks re. 4-00pm

ADVICE – Every bit as “all over the place” as the previous race. OUTLAW TORN gets the 20/80 simply because of draw/going.

NEWCASTLE 5-00

*ROCK SUPREME….+9
*SAN CASSIANO….-8
*VIVA COLONIA….-10
EXNING HALT….-15
*OETZI….-16
PIVOTMAN….-28
CAPE EXPLORER….-31
WARCROWN….-37
TIME OF MY LIFE….-40

ADVICE – With VIVA COLONIA a short priced tissue favourite, off an absence from the flat of 777 days and being a steeplechaser, it’s a race I’ll probably just watch.

OF INTEREST

RICH FOREVER (Newcastle 5-30) – 20/80
TANTSHI (Leicester 7-10) – straight win

I’ll be looking for more to add in the second Newsletter, which will go out later this morning.

Kindest regards

Ron

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