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Today’s Ratings and Advice 19/06/13

ROYAL ASCOT 4-25

*PRINCE OF JOHANNE….+12
*TRADE COMMISIONER….+10
§*FURY….+4
*DON’T CALL ME….+2
§*BURKE’S ROCK….+1
§*SANDAGIYR….-1
§*MORAN GRA….-2
*FIELD OF DREAM….-2
§*TWO FOR TWO….-10
*STIRRING BALLAD….-10
*ES QUE LOVE….-10
§*DIRECTORSHIP….-10
*EXCELLENT GUEST….-12
*PREMIO LOCO….-15
*WINTER’S NIGHT….-18
*BURWAAZ….-21
*ARSAADI….-24
§SPA’S DANCER….-27
*ELUSIVE TIME….-30
DAVID LIVINGSTON….-32
*SWEET LIGHTNING….-35
§NAVAJO CHIEF….-36
EDUCATE….-38
§CAPTAIN BERTIE….-40
§REDACT….-40
FIRE SHIP….-40
SANTEFISIO….-40
GLOBAL VILLAGE….-40
BELGIAN BILL….-40
TOTO SKYLLACHY….-40

THREE TO DUTCH – FURY, BURKE’S ROCK, SANDAGIYR
20/80 – FURY
EXOTICS – FURY, BURK’ES ROCK, SANDAGIYR
LAY – STIRRING BALLAD
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High looks best.

ADVICE – Great to see TRADE COMMISIONER sitting so high on my figures and comparing and contrasting last night’s profiling of this race encourages me.
However, in the sprint races yesterday we saw a definite bias towards high drawn horses….you certainly didn’t want to be drawn low. Will it be the same over a mile? My databases indicate probably….although it’s by no means impossible lower drawn can compete.
At the odds on offer you can cover a couple of bases in order to extract a profit (if you find the right horse, of course).
If, as has been indicated, TRADE COMMISIONER is a Group horse in the making, he’ll be competitive from this draw. Playing that one and FURY gives you a boot in each camp and is probably the way to go.
My top rated won this race 12 months ago and will have been trained to the minute for a repeat performance. He won this from stall 33 last season and is boxed eight this time. Those simply playing my top rated irrespective of what I myself think have made a fair profit since May 1st and I’ll not be in the least bit surprised if they make me look daft again, here.

HAMILTON 2-55

*AMADEUS DENTON….+13
*SUNRAIDER….+10
SCRIPT….+8
§CAPTAIN SCOOBY….+2
*MAJESTIC DREAM….-5
§PRINCE OF VASA….-15
§FINDOG….-23

ADVICE – It might seem crazy looking for a draw bias in a seven runner race but I think I have found one! Horses drawn 5, 6 and 7 look best boxed. This is causing me a headache though because those best drawn have yet to win on good to firm, my primary criteria when making a selection.
I will simply run up a top two dutch, go 20/80 AMADEUS DENTON and play an exotic.

RIPON 7-50

*SAN CASSIANO….+9
*DEMOLITION….-8
*EUTROPIUS….-11
*NEVER FOREVER….-14
GOLD SHOW….-16
WEST BRIT….-23
MAYBEAGREY….-30
KICKINGTHELILLY….-37
MOCCASIN….-40

ADVICE – No draw bias to concern myself with in this race and it’s me trusting my figures implicitly this morning….top three dutch, a 20/80 SAN CASSIANO and exotics.

RIPON 9-20

*FOSSGATE….+12
*BRIGHT APPLAUSE….+11
CHOISAN….-6
*AUTHENTICATION….-9
*ALSAHIL….-11
LAYLINE….-17
TETBURY….-20
SWIFT ENCOUNTER….-21
UP TEN DOWN TWO….-30

ADIVICE – If my top rated wins this, the roof will come off the grandstands. Can he win the race that has been named after him? He has finished plum last on both starts since recording his last CD win here and at 12, it’s possible time has caught up with him.
I will join in the cheering if he scoots up but I’ll be having just a straight win bet BRIGHT APPLAUSE. He too is becoming a “standing dish” at this track and seven years younger, it may be in years to come he too is running in a race named after him here.
Nothing wrong with an October Rules type play if that floats your boat!

OF INTEREST

EMAAD (Hamilton 2-20) – straight win
PARTY ROYAL (Hamilton 4-10) – straight win
WELLINGROVE (Hamilton 5-20) – straight win
FUNDING DEFICIT (Ripon 8-50) – 20/80

BET OF THE DAY

SAN CASSIANO (Ripon 7-50) – looks a solid 20/80 to me. Track, trip and ground right and running from the front in this race might just be the place to be.

LAY OF THE DAY

None today

Have a great day and be lucky

Kindest regards

Ron

About Ron

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