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Today’s Ratings and advice 18/06/13

f it rains today it’ll be early, with a dry afternoon in prospect at Royal Ascot….a far cry from last year!

Since the Newsletter of last night went out I have been looking for further clues or indicators and can see nothing, at this stage, to make me adjust my position on anything mentioned so, it’s all systems go.

If you have a Twitter account then I suggest you follow PostRacingLtd as Sean Trivass, our roving reporter, will be at Royal Ascot tweeting like a goodun! If there is a tip flying around, you will hear of it!

Today we also have two off meetings at Thirsk and Brighton. With the bookmakers eyes possibly off these particular balls, we may find a couple in there to help pay for our day. We’ll see.

Assumptions:

ASCOT – Flat (Updated:18/06/2013 at 07:20:23)
Going
Good
(GoingStick: Standside 8.5, Centre 8.5, Farside 8.6, Round 8.1
on Monday at 08:15)

Stalls
Straight Course: Centre

Rails
For Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday the rail on the round
course will be positioned approx 3yds out from 9f to the
Home straight. Adding approx the following:
Old Mile- 6yds
1m 2f- 9yds
Races of 1m 4f and further- 12yds

Weather
Dry overnight to 7am Tuesday.
Warm with possible showers Tuesday afternoon. Occasional and
possible thundery showers forecast for the week. Cooler
after Wednesday.

Other
Updated Goingstick readings to follow

BRIGHTON – Flat (Updated:18/06/2013 at 06:55:42)
Going
Good to Firm
(GoingStick: 8.3 on Tuesday at 06:45)

Stalls
1m2f & 1m4f outside, Rest inner.

Rails
Races to be run on the inner, line.

Weather
Dry yesterday.
F’cast; spells of hazy sunshine and the continuing risk of
thundery showers until late afternoon.

Other
Roadworks on A23 coming into Brighton likely to cause minor
delays.

THIRSK – Flat (Updated:18/06/2013 at 06:40:24)
Going
Good to Firm (Watered)
(GoingStick: 9.1 on Monday at 13:00)

Stalls
Straight Course – Stands’Side

Weather
Fair day in store.

Watering
Watered overnight Sunday and Monday to maintain Good to Firm

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses I perceive as being well drawn.

ROYAL ASCOT 5-00

*MIDNIGHT OIL….+4
*JUNIOR….-7
TIGER CLIFF….-8
*INVESTISSEMENT….-14
MARCHESSE MARCONI….-19
*SURAJ….-21
*BLUE BAJAN….-23
*MUBARAZA….-24
*ROMAN FLIGHT….-26
JUSTIFICATION….-28
HOMERIC….-33
*WELL SHARP….-35
*TANTALISING….-35
*BIG EASY….-35
LIEUTENANT MILLER….-40
MAWAQEET….-40
APACHE….-40
MYSTERIOUS MAN….-40
SOFTSONG….-40
LA ESTRELLA….-40

ADVICE – If we compare and contrast the information contained within last nights Newsletter we find my top rated was one of the pair shortlisted. I will be having an additional 20/80 MIDNIGHT OIL.
For the purposes of a dutch, if you feel inclined to take out insurance, then rated horses 1, 3, 5, from my top six, look the way to go…same three for exotics.

This kind of race is not one you will be looking to get buried deeply in from a financial standpoint because as I type, only JUNIOR has won over this trip, on the flat and he is completely at the wrong end of the age scale.

THIRSK 3-30

§*MEANDMYSHADOW….+10
*SECRET CITY….+10
*VICTOIRE DE LYPHAR….+9
*TRADE SECRET….-1
*SPYKES BAY….-4
*WILLBEME….-8
§*LENNY BEE….-16
§BALDEMAR….-18
§*IMPERATOR AUGUSTUS….-20
TOWBEE….-23
HALF A BILLION….-25
CLUBLAND….-27

THREE TO DUTCH – MEANDMYSHADOW, TRADE SECRET, SPYKES BAY
20/80 – MEANDMYSHADOW
EXOTICS – MEANDMYSHADOW, TRADE SECRET, SPYKES BAY
LAY – HALF A BILLION
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High vastly superior to middle with low looking anchored.

ADVICE – Cracking little race in which I really fancy my top rated as he’s a front runner on a track that will suit, from a prime draw on ground just perfect. He is the only one of my top six boxed where I want them and I have selected two from middle to set up my dutch etc.

THIRSK 4-05

*FENNELL BAY….-12
*MUHARRER….-14
*DARK DUNE….-16
WAR POET….-19
*KEEP IT COOL….-19
*FLYING POWER….-22
*PINTRADA….-25
PATTERNING….-33
TEENAGE IDOL….-36

ADVICE – If the winner is outside my top three I’ll be scratching my head. Not a lot of profit in a dutch and with my not liking this from a punting perspective, I will probably just have a 20/80 my top rated.

THIRSK 5-20

*GLENRIDDING….+9
*DHHAMAAN….+1
*WEST LEAKE HARE….-9
*BANG TIDY….-12
*TED’S BROTHER….-15
*HOLY ANGEL….-16
*MAGGIE MEY….-23
*DANCE FOR GEORGIE….-25
*ADAM’S ALE….-27
BOY THE BELL….-34

ADVICE – No draw bias to concern me here and I’ll put faith in my figures….top three dutch, 20/80 GLENRIDDING and exotics but staking will reflect it’s low grade stuff.

BRIGHTON 6-00

*EVEN BOLDER….+10
*IMAGINARY DIVA….+10
JAWIM….-12
RUSSIAN BULLET….-19
BURNT CREAM….-21
JOHNNY SPLASH….-23
SCOMMETTITRICE….-32

ADVICE – Top pair should (hopefully), contain the winner but with these horses you would not be staking your life on it. Today my top rated joins the Centenary Club, this being his 100th race and it would be fitting were he to win….I just favour IMAGINARY DIVA myself.

BRIGHTON 8-00

*SOUTH CAPE….-4
*PAPHOS….-4
*ACIANO….-9
*BYRD IN HAND….-13
*FIRE KING….-16
*SEXTONS HOUSE….-23
HAWK MOTH….-31
PLUS FOURS….-32
SANGRAIL….-34
DUKE OF DESTINY….-40
STORMBOUND….-40

ADVICE – The racing here tonight is almost on a par with that reality stuff you see in the betting shops and the simple fact is, run all of them 100 times and each time we’d get something new turning up. October Rules or nowt here.

BRIGHTON 8-30

KATMAI RIVER….+9
*THE MONGOOSE….-7
*GRACIE’S GAMES….-14
JONNIE SKULL….-15
*SPARTIC….-16
FAIRY MIST….-18
JACKIE LOVE….-23
THE GURU OF GLOOM….-30
ALL RIGHT NOW….-32

ADVICE – My top rated needs plenty of rain and whilst some is forecast, I doubt it will be anything like enough. That leaves me with THE MONGOOSE….oh dear. Can I trust a front running ride to Adam Kirby? Not a lot of choice really so, a 20/80 THE MONGOOSE, it is.

BRIGHTON 9-00

*BERMONDSEY BOB….+2
*HAADEETH….-4
THE STRIG….-11
*MARIA MONTEZ….-14
GLAN LADY….-15
PUTIN….-19
COMMANCHE….-20

ADVICE – If we need to be looking to get out on this race then we are in deep lumber. I expect to see my fourth best follow up but, she’s my fourth best so, it’s a 20/80 BERMONDSEY BOB to loose change.

OF INTEREST

VIGOR (Brighton 6-30) – straight win
WAVEGUIDE (Brighton 7-00) – straight win
WAVERUNNER (Thirsk 4-45) – straight win

BET OF THE DAY

I’m looking to MEANDMYSHADOW – 20/80 – to turn me a profit from that Thirsk 3-30. He has everything “right” and with those other horses with a decent draw looking up against it, I’m thinking we’ll get a big run from him.

LAY OF THE DAY

None today

Have a brilliant day and I’ll be back tonight with day two of the RA Special.

Kindest regards

Ron

About Ron

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