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Today’s Ratings and Advice 13/06/13

Just to remind you that this morning we leave to go and spend a few days with Karen’s son, before he heads off to Afghanistan so tomorrow, Saturday, Sunday and Monday will be a very difficult time for me with regards Newsletters and advice. Much will depend, because of location, on wi-fi availability but I’ll be doing my best to get something out to you each day….I just don’t know when or, how much.

Yesterday again saw the Rating absolutely blitzing the layers with three quick fire top rated winners at 12/1, 10/1 and 5/1….all of which could have been backed at bigger. I did warn you about Copperwood, didn’t I. That is one quirky beast. He wins his races and is one you have to love or loathe….I imagine his owners love him. I do too, after yesterday!

The best thing about those winners yesterday was they were also my own selections for playing so, nobody should have been fumbling in the dark with regards what to do.

Hopefully today adds to the coffers but beware, rain has been falling and a double take on the going descriptions before getting stuck in, is advisable. We have four meetings to look at but very few 4+ year old handicaps. Newbury is all about having a notebook at the ready but I’m sure everyone will join me in wishing Lady Cecil and jockey Pat Cosgrave the best of luck .

I have received a couple of requests recently regarding the structure of the Newsletter and that it would be appreciated if I listed the rated races in time order. I had promised to do that once before but I’m always conscious of time constraints of a morning. I’m going to do this for you from Tuesday of next week and we’ll see how it goes.

I have the first update regarding Marquesa Naranja to pass on over the next couple of days. Rosie’s Lady is seriously enjoying her break and again, I’ll have an update on what her future holds, too.

Assumptions:

HAYDOCK PARK – Flat (Updated:13/06/2013 at 07:03:09)
Going
Good (Watered)
(GoingStick: 7.9 on Thursday at 06:30)

Stalls
Centre: 5f, 1m 2f and 1m 4f.

Rails
All races will run on the Inner Home Straight.
Actual race distances: 5f, 7f 1yd, 1m 1yd, 1m 2f 96yds, 1m 3f
201yds.

Weather
1mm of rain on Wednesday. Forecast around 4mm of rain before
racing on Thursday.

NEWBURY – Flat (Updated:12/06/2013 at 16:37:22)
Going
Good to Firm good in places
(GoingStick: 7.1 on Wednesday at 16:00)

Stalls
Stand rail straight course.

Rails
Rail has been moved out from the 8f to the 5f so round course
races will be 12m longer.
The far rail on the straight course has been moved out 4m from
the straight mile to a two and a half furlong cut off.

Weather
In the last 24hrs heavy drizzle.
Forecast: Wednesday- Cloudy with rain later. Max 15.
Thursday- Sunshine and showers. Max 18.

NOTTINGHAM – Flat (Updated:13/06/2013 at 07:01:23)
Going
Good to Firm, Good in places

Stalls
5 & 6f – stands side; 1m – centre; remainder – inside

Weather
4mm rain overnight. Currently cloudy and breezy. Forecast windy
with sharp showers from lunchtime onwards.

Watering
5mm water applied to quicker areas in back straight Wednesday pm.

Other
Clerk of the Course: Jane Hedley – 07881 316027

YARMOUTH – Flat (Updated:13/06/2013 at 07:01:28)
Going
Good to Firm
(GoingStick: 7.7 on Thursday at 07:00)

Stalls
Straight – Middle, 1m3f – Inside, 2m/1m6f – Stands side

Weather
No measureable rain overnight. Forecast is to be dry, overcast
with a southerly wind today. (Showers in Norfolk but unlikely to
reach Yarmouth).

Watering
Watering straight this morning to maintain.

* indicates horses having won previously on the going as currently described
§ indicates horses I perceive as being well drawn

YARMOUTH 3-50

*IF I HAD HIM….+8
BAAN….-10
OLIMAMU….-20
CAPE SCHNANCK….-22
ABSOLUTELY ME….-23
*SOWETO STAR….-28
IF WHAT AND MAYBE….-31
EANANS BAY….-34
DUBAI EMERALD….-34

ADVICE – This is about as bad as flat racing gets. Sir Alex Ferguson has a moose on his hands in my top rated, proof being he was beaten at odds on in a four runner race on Guernsey recently. You must decide what you want to do with this one….I’m just glad I’ll be behind a steering wheel!

NOTTINGHAM 3-35

YEOMANOFTHEGUARD….-28
BOUNTY SEEKER….-29
MAN OF PLENTY….-35
TRAM EXPRESS….-40
ROYAL SEA….-40
ROWLESTONE LAD….-40
KING’S REALM….-40
SMALIB MONTERG….-40

ADVICE – Don’t go near it for punting or laying purposes. I have deliberately got rid of these two races first because they are so poor.

NOTTINGHAM 4-10

§*COMPTON….+10
§*EL VIENTO….+9
*TIOMAN LEGEND….+8
§CHURCH MUSIC….+8
§*MISPLACED FORTUNE….+/-0
*FOREST EDGE….-7
DICK BOS….-8
*HEAD SPACE….-11
*HARRISON GEORGE….-15
*JOE PACKET….-17
NASSAU STORM….-17
CHEVETON….-19

THREE TO DUTCH – COMPTON, EL VIENTO, MISPLACED FORTUNE
20/80 – COMPTON
EXOTICS – COMPTON, EL VIENTO, MISPLACED FORTUNE
LAY – DICK BOS
PERCEIVED DRAW BIAS – High just preferred to middle/low

ADVICE – The three plucked from my top six for my own play have trip, ground and draw just fine. They will do for me.

NOTTINGHAM 5-45

PTOLOMEOS….+12
*MAC TIERNAN….+8
*ST IGNATIUS….-3
*ACTION FRONT….-13
CLASSIC VOICE….-18
PRESENT DAY….-27
FUSCHINO….-36
MISS CHARDONAY….-40
CRYSTAL HIGH….-40
ECHO OF FOOTSTEPS….-40
DANIEL THOMAS….-40
COMETOGRAPHY….-40
ROCKGOAT….-40
SPEEDY STAR….-40

ADVICE – If it rains…and only then if it turns the ground soft, would I consider punting my top rated. Common sense dictates (if you must punt this), that MAC TIERNAN is the most likely winner.

HAYDOCK 8-50

*MUSICAL BRIDGE….+9
*CRUISE TOTHELIMIT….+9
§*ANGELITO….+9
*WICKED WENCH….+8
*RUSTY ROCKET….+2
*CHOSEN ONE….-1
DIMAN WATERS….-3
ELAND ALLY….-10
*BRONZE BEAU….-15
§SULIS MINERVA….-16
BEAU MISTRAL….-26
§ECONOMIC CRISIS….-34
§SONG OF PARKES….-40
§RUTTERKIN….-40
JUST LIKE HEAVEN….-40

ADVICE – The only play I will have here is a 20/80 ANGELITO. Trip, draw and ground are right and he’s the only horse in this race I can say that about.

OF INTEREST

AFICIONADO (Newbury 5-05) – 20/80
CAPE OF HOPE (Yarmouth 2-10) – 20/80
CHORD CHART (Nottingham 2-00) – straight win

BET OF THE DAY

None today

LAY OF THE DAY

None today

Have a great day and if you set your Sky+ box to record the meetings at Haydock and Newbury you will definitely be able to spot up a few future winners.

Kindest regards

Ron

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